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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

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Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#251

Post by SlowRobotAhead »

aazaa wrote: post #185

The most striking thing about the thread is how little of current importance was even mentioned: - Bitcoin would become the decade's best investment by far - the President of the US would conduct foreign policy through Twitter - electric scooters would become a billion dollar business (Bird, Lime, etc.) - the sharing economy would threaten the taxi and hotel industries (AirBNB and Uber) - escalation of school shootin…

> escalation of school shootings

Bubble thought. School shootings are down from previous highs and are actually very rare [0].

COVERAGE and willingness to use any incident to promote a very specific narrative are up.

[0] https://news.northeastern.edu/2018/02/26/schools-are-still-o...

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#252

Post by crdoconnor »

jaggirs wrote: post #237
crdoconnor wrote: post #233

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We've reached a point where package ecosystem eclipses the importance of language features (which, in brand new languages, typically only offer incremental improvements these days). It's not good enough to build a slightly better language any more. People won't learn a new language without their favourite packages (or equivalents).

A solution to this is leveraging the ecosystem of another language, like elixir (erlang) and all the jvm languages do.

This has a habit of creating impedance mismatch problems though.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#253

Post by wz1000 »

DevKoala wrote: post #40

> Network analysis and data mining will claim their first major political scalp. That'll be a watershed moment: the politics of information are going to start being the kind of core liberal issue that environmental issues currently are. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025703 This poster saw it.

I would say is held up until 2016. After the election of Trump and the ensuing Russophobia, mainstream liberals became allied with the security state (CIA, NSA, FBI), and quickly turned on former liberal heroes like Snowden, Assange, Manning etc.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#255

Post by Semaphor »

scarface74 wrote: post #232
Semaphor wrote: post #220

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Only slightly related, but is it the same in EU? Unlike the USA, Android has a much higher market share here.

I can’t find data on the EU specifically. https://www.mobilemarketer.com/news/survey-iphone-owners-spe... But the best I could find in Europe is. https://sensortower.com/blog/europe-app-revenue-and-download...

Thanks, the 2nd link seems to show that iPhone owners spend way more compared to the amount of downloads here as well.

Personally, I have quite a few paid apps, but the majority I bought over the years and keep using them. The top grossing apps are all subscriptions and the only one that I have with one is OSMAnd (Open Street Maps app) which includes a donation to OSM/contributors.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#256

Post by clashmeifyoucan »

> -People become more privacy aware after an image search engine with facial recognition is popularized and they realize that any picture ever posted of them by anyone is in the search result for their name. People become less willing to let others take compromising pictures as if they become posted, the link back to them will be made.

Not an image search engine as much as whole governments but this rings eerily true.

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#257

Post by darthreid »

jedberg wrote: post #240
scarface74 wrote: post #81

What’s amazing is how little changed. - Apple and Google are still the only two mobile operating systems that matter and they are still in relatively the same position. iOS still controls the high end where the money is and Android has the market share but the OEMs are not making any money. - Facebook is more profitable and popular. - Amazon is still the number one online retailer, the Kindle is still by far the most…

> Netflix is still the dominant streaming platform. Netflix didn't start streaming until 2011. So it wasn't a streaming platform at all in 2010.

they used to have discs for many platforms (e.g. PS3, Wii) where you could install Netflix and play online content before the app was released

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#259

Post by omegabravo »

surround wrote: post #203
chubot wrote: post #107

HN will split. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025709 Didn't happen! Kudos to @dang and the HN staff for keeping the site going for a decade !!

Well, there is lobste.rs

lobste.rs is invite only which makes it hard for people like me to sign up

Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)

#260

Post by moksly »

CoolGuySteve wrote: post #104
TulliusCicero wrote: post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> - As Moore's Law marches on, dynamic languages that are even slower than Ruby are likely to catch on. They may be to Ruby what Ruby is to Java, trading even more programmer time for CPU time. Interesting how plausible this one is, yet turned out to be terribly wrong: the newer hyped languages that got some uptake were largely compiled ones like Swift, Rust, Kotlin, and Dart.

One thing that always really bugged me about the "the language will figure it out" philosophy is the complete disregard towards carbon footprint. Like yeah, you can make an interpreted dynamic language that's pretty neat, but you can also make something like go, swift, or Julia that jits and also captures 90% of that ease of use while significantly reducing your hosting costs/energy consumption. Going forward I think…

Most setups and most hardware isn’t efficient enough for language to really matter. So the solution to carbon footprint isn’t to stop using python, it’s to stop burning coal.
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