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What Will Happen in the 2020s

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Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#191

Post by mc32 »

allovernow wrote: post #159
dclowd9901 wrote: post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your last point got me thinking about people sitting in a dark room waiting for autonomous cars to have trouble on the road then alert them to intervene, turning 1 driver:1 car into 1 driver:20 cars.

Sounds like a soul crushing job.

There are all sorts of people. To some art is “boring”. To some being a refuse truck operator is interesting or being a remote crane operator is exciting. I’ve met people who straight up love “cold calling”. I cannot cold call for the life of me. Some people are excited by engaging with strangers and trying to get them excited about a product or service.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#192

Post by chefkoch »

gfodor wrote: post #63

I predict the 2020's will turn out to be the most difficult-to-predict decade yet. The predictions of the OP in my mind fail to account for several yet-to-mature disruptive technologies that will potentially transform our society to the degree the Internet and web have. The only prediction I'll make is in the domain where I work: By the end of the decade, most people will be wearing some kind of immersive computing d…

The main usage will be porn.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#193

Post by aquaticsunset »

criddell wrote: post #188
RivieraKid wrote: post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The GPS thing is unlikely, what would be the rationale of that? This would be a very unpopular policy.

The rationale is taxation. As more cars go electric they have to replace the gasoline tax.

What country is this intended to be in? I can see it, possibly, happening in more forward minded societies... but certainly not the United States.

If anything because there’s no way in hell they can cost effectively retrofit the vast amount of old vehicles we all tend to drive here.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#194

Post by throwaway8291 »

throwaway5752 wrote: post #61
neonate wrote: post #45

https://web.archive.org/web/20200101163454/https://avc.com/2...

Time is running out: please help the Internet Archive today. The average donation is $45. If everyone chips in $5, we can keep our website independent, strong and ad-free. That's right, all we need is the price of a paperback book to sustain a non-profit library the whole world depends on. We have only 150 staff but run one of the world’s top websites. We’re dedicated to reader privacy so we never track you. We never…

I found a couple of old scanned mathematics books on the archive, which I could not find elsewhere. Many times a web.archive.org link cut short a journey to an old blog post, that might have been lost in the ether.

Thanks archive, I'm glad I can support you a bit.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#195

Post by nine_k »

joejerryronnie wrote: post #152
gfodor wrote: post #63

I predict the 2020's will turn out to be the most difficult-to-predict decade yet. The predictions of the OP in my mind fail to account for several yet-to-mature disruptive technologies that will potentially transform our society to the degree the Internet and web have. The only prediction I'll make is in the domain where I work: By the end of the decade, most people will be wearing some kind of immersive computing d…

A coworker and I were discussing this trend as it relates to the physical workspace. We imagined a psuedo-virtual cubical which you can “decorate” in any theme you’d like - jungle, sci-fi, steampunk, tropical beach, etc. - which would be rendered by your coworkers’ AR wearables/implants. My favorite concept of that discussion was virtual guardians to protect your flow - look, you can interrupt that developer but you’…

I, for one, make my physical workspace disappear from my view as much as possible. When I'm at my desk, 99% of what I see is my screen, 1% goes for the occasional look at the tea cup.

No room, or need, for decorations and fluff.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#196

Post by criddell »

Buttons840 wrote: post #177

My prediction: Average commute time will increase in proportion to the adoption of self driving vehicles.

I think so too. Autonomous cars are going to fuel urban sprawl like crazy. I know I want to get further out of the city. Once I can commute without driving I won’t mind a long commute.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#197

Post by iamwil »

redis_mlc wrote: post #150
ineedasername wrote: post #137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I remember when Second Life was predicted to transform everything from Education to basic human interaction.

It would be great if somebody could link to an analysis of what happened with Second Life. I remember the early hype, but then read a few interviews with users/losers who were just escaping reality.

I had a coworker that worked on the fraud team at Second Life. He said the engineers ran the place and would work on stuff that was technically interesting to them, rather than working on stuff that users wanted or needed. That probably didn't help.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#199

Post by rishirishi »

esotericn wrote: post #128
PaulAJ wrote: post #32

Any prediction of decentralisation of the Internet, or anything built on it, needs to explain how this will overcome the economies of scale (1 big data centre is cheaper than 1000 little ones) and the network effects (everyone buys and sells through Amazon because thats where you find the most buyers and sellers).

Network effects are important, granted. Regarding economies of scale - it's all so cheap that it doesn't matter for most cases that don't involve utterly tremendous amounts of resource usage. I mean, the primary thing holding this back is consumer level ISP's being arsey about servers. A 10 year old machine hooked up to my 35mbit home connection is more than enough to run most internet services. And that's effectivel…

How does the layperson know how to set up a node? And, care to.

Re: What Will Happen in the 2020s

#200

Post by chefkoch »

amursft wrote: post #53
djmips wrote: post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This has already happened AFAIK.

I recall seeing that they were experimenting with it. Yep, here's a story from August. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-08-12/china-s-p...

>Unlike decentralized blockchain-based offerings, the PBOC’s currency is intended to give Beijing more control over its financial system.

So not what you are expecting from a crypto currency?

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