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Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

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Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Shall they try your children first? Oh so sorry - they died young and in agony, from unintended side effects. But Science!

Of course we wouldn't try on humans first. Animal trials precede human trials.

animals are not humans so something that works on a mouse or a pig could have unknown bad side effects for humans.

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#22
post #2

Surprise surprise, he has 3 million yuans to be fined. Had he given more of those to the government officials and/or jurisdiction, he wouldn't even have to face the charges in the first place.

1 million yuan, apparently:

> Zhang was sentenced to two years in prison and fined 1 million yuan ($143,000), while Qin was given a suspended sentence of one year and six months in prison and fined 500,000 yuan ($71,600).

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#23

Interesting. I still roll to disbelieve on China shunning human enhancement. The gains are just too great, the fruit too low hanging. Several standard deviation increases in polygenic traits are on the table, including the most important economic trait, intellectual ability: https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection Given China’s almost unique state capacity to think long term, history of eugenic policies in sport, an i…

Well, if human gene editing really would work, than china (and others) would not only select for intellect, but also for obedience. Which is scary.

Apart from that I do believe, that in the future human gene editing makes sense. Once it is actually understood. (until then volunteers are allright with me, but experimenting with babys ... is a bit off)

Because we are successfully eliminating natural selection in various ways. But evolving works naturally through selection. Degeneration would be the long term effect, unless we find other ways. And improving our genes as we see fit ... seems to be a solution.

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#24

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course we wouldn't try on humans first. Animal trials precede human trials.

animals are not humans so something that works on a mouse or a pig could have unknown bad side effects for humans.

That is a fully general counterargument against animal testing to show the safeness of any drug or treatment. Clearly humans and other animals have enough in common such that successful animal trials are evidence of safety in humans.

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow those are optimistic numbers. Considering we have NO idea what genes select for most features (if any).

We don’t need the causal variants for embryo selection, just the predictive variants. We have this for height now. The only reason we don’t have this for IQ now is everyone doing GWAS studies are too chicken to put an IQ test in with their other measures. As the cost of a sequence declines, this will not last. Obviously, this is not an issue if there is state involvement.

People have done IQ vs genetic variation in GWAS. They find that there is almost no impact of common variants on IQ.

Example:

>A genome-wide polygenic score constructed from the GWA results accounted for 1.6% of the variance of intelligence in the normal range in an unselected sample of 3414 individuals, which is comparable to the variance explained by GWA studies of intelligence with substantially larger sample sizes.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29731509

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow those are optimistic numbers. Considering we have NO idea what genes select for most features (if any).

We don’t need the causal variants for embryo selection, just the predictive variants. We have this for height now. The only reason we don’t have this for IQ now is everyone doing GWAS studies are too chicken to put an IQ test in with their other measures. As the cost of a sequence declines, this will not last. Obviously, this is not an issue if there is state involvement.

We have already identified variants than can account for over 10% of variation in intelligence. Researchers have gotten around the lack of GWAS IQ test results by using years of educational attainment as a reliable proxy. These results have been achieved in less than 2 years and the science is rapidly progressing.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5985927/

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#27

Interesting. I still roll to disbelieve on China shunning human enhancement. The gains are just too great, the fruit too low hanging. Several standard deviation increases in polygenic traits are on the table, including the most important economic trait, intellectual ability: https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection Given China’s almost unique state capacity to think long term, history of eugenic policies in sport, an i…

Well, if human gene editing really would work, than china (and others) would not only select for intellect, but also for obedience. Which is scary. Apart from that I do believe, that in the future human gene editing makes sense. Once it is actually understood. (until then volunteers are allright with me, but experimenting with babys ... is a bit off) Because we are successfully eliminating natural selection in variou…

Yes. I am a little worried about genetic engineering in the very very long term, as it seems to make eusocial organization possible, which I find pretty abhorrent.

In the short term though, it seems like a good idea. Regardless, in a multipolar world we don’t have much choice in the matter.

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow those are optimistic numbers. Considering we have NO idea what genes select for most features (if any).

We don’t need the causal variants for embryo selection, just the predictive variants. We have this for height now. The only reason we don’t have this for IQ now is everyone doing GWAS studies are too chicken to put an IQ test in with their other measures. As the cost of a sequence declines, this will not last. Obviously, this is not an issue if there is state involvement.

Polygenic scores for IQ are correlated with other traits that are less desirable (schizophrenia for example).

I think the lift in IQ you get from embryo selection is counteracted by a lot of other (negative) factors.

It is also unclear to what degree epigenetic inheritance plays in IQ. My opinion is the 8-10 IQ point boost is less than variance from unknown factors relating to doing IVF versus natural birth. In other words I would still go with natural birth (which has been time tested by evolution)

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#29
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We don’t need the causal variants for embryo selection, just the predictive variants. We have this for height now. The only reason we don’t have this for IQ now is everyone doing GWAS studies are too chicken to put an IQ test in with their other measures. As the cost of a sequence declines, this will not last. Obviously, this is not an issue if there is state involvement.

People have done IQ vs genetic variation in GWAS. They find that there is almost no impact of common variants on IQ. Example: >A genome-wide polygenic score constructed from the GWA results accounted for 1.6% of the variance of intelligence in the normal range in an unselected sample of 3414 individuals, which is comparable to the variance explained by GWA studies of intelligence with substantially larger sample size…

Yes. For polygenic traits like IQ we need millions of samples tagged with IQ. 3000 is a really small sample.

Re: Chinese scientist who edited twin babies' genes jailed for 3 years

#30

Interesting. I still roll to disbelieve on China shunning human enhancement. The gains are just too great, the fruit too low hanging. Several standard deviation increases in polygenic traits are on the table, including the most important economic trait, intellectual ability: https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection Given China’s almost unique state capacity to think long term, history of eugenic policies in sport, an i…

China already has many highly “intellectual” people and is not a small population.
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