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The Two Kinds of Moderate

paulgraham.com

351–360 of 382 posts

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#351
What about situational political preference?

Star Trek economy is all well and good and I think it is the eventual outcome, but in a specific time and place, with specific people and their baggage, the immediate best way forward may be something other than what I would prefer.

Didn't Marx say politics went through stages? Feudalism to capitalism to socialism or something? He might have had a really valid point on this. We can't jump from primitive barter economies to interstellar travel.

Besides, even though I like certain ideologies, I can't help but see the practical on the ground results of faulty, corruptible humans trying to implement them and it seldom turns out for the good from what I've observed. I have to imagine we will get there over time, perhaps with non human AI at the helm.

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#352
post #350

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> California has no power to keep out sick red staters How does Massachusetts manage it then? They don't have the power to keep out those "sick red staters", and yet the entire state has healthcare (by law). Sounds like special-pleading to me. If a wealthy Blue state like Massachusetts can do it, then California can do it. I expect more from my representatives, not "sick Republicans in other states are stopping us!"

How do you think Massachusetts healthcare laws differ from California? They both have Obamacare which most people would say is not the same as universal healthcare.

Massachusetts has the lowest rates of uninsured residents in the United States at 2.8% [0]

California is 2.6x higher at 7.8% [1], is not improving, and is a much bigger state numerically, so we're talking about ~3 million uninsured people. Prior to Obamacare, California was at a dismal 16%. And note: CA had Dem supermajority rule for years prior to Obamacare's implementation, and can easily pass the healthcare legislation it's constituents want and deserve. They, unlike Massachusetts, have chosen not to.

Massachusetts has less uninsured because they go beyond the bare minimum provided by Obamacare. California Democrats can, and should, do more.

[0] https://www.wbur.org/commonhealth/2019/08/20/uninsured-rates...

[1] https://www.sacbee.com/news/local/health-and-medicine/articl...

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#353
post #350

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do you think Massachusetts healthcare laws differ from California? They both have Obamacare which most people would say is not the same as universal healthcare.

Massachusetts has the lowest rates of uninsured residents in the United States at 2.8% [0] California is 2.6x higher at 7.8% [1], is not improving, and is a much bigger state numerically, so we're talking about ~3 million uninsured people. Prior to Obamacare, California was at a dismal 16%. And note: CA had Dem supermajority rule for years prior to Obamacare's implementation, and can easily pass the healthcare legisl…

How specifically do the Massachusetts laws differ?

Remember Massachusetts' median income is around 30% higher than California, so it's possible even with identical governance the state with higher median income would have better outcomes.

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#354

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is an essay on politics. It goes to show that people in tech are acknowledging more that the industry is not apolitical and has a very real social and political effect on the world at large, and are so dropping the pretense of lacking political interest. That and like the rest of the world, the tech industry has become increasingly politically polarized over the last half decade.

I think you have conflated PGs blog with HN. They are firmly separate entities

The original post was edited completely to make my previous post read as nonsense

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#355

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, what left in the US? They have no idea what "left" is...

The "extreme" left in the US system maps (policy-wise) almost exactly to center-right in most other western democracies. Talking about viable politicians not twitter creatures by the way.

Er, how's that? To name some examples, many other western democracies compared to the US have the following set of policies, which would make for a far-right policy platform in the US:

* More restrictions on abortion

* Lower corporate taxes

* No birthright citizenship for children of foreigners

* School vouchers

* Mandatory military service

* Laws outlawing face coverings

* Less business regulation than the US

The American conservative think tank Heritage Foundation publishes an Index of Economic Freedom, which compares economic policies by country. The United States is ranked 12th, and is thus considered less economically conservative by economic conservatives than New Zealand, Switzerland, Australia, Ireland, the UK, Canada, and Iceland. Within one point of the United States there are also the Netherlands, Denmark, Estonia, Georgia, and Luxembourg. (https://www.heritage.org/index/ranking/)

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#356
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes let’s always take texts at face value, regardless of context. There’s no reason to point out that your relative who says everyone in his life is conspiring against him is addicted to meth. There is no reason to notice when an essay opposing increased mall security was written by someone who’s been convicted of shoplifting dozens of times. And we must never point out that a person advocating for the political stat…

In those situations, it's appropriate to point out potential biases or agenda from the author, but it is not appropriate to reinterpret their words based on a mental model one has of the author. That model is likely to be flawed and incomplete, but even worse, it makes the text subjective. Two people, reading the same text, won't agree what it said. That prevents honest discussion.

There's no such thing as an objective reading of a text. All readings are subjective.

All models are incomplete - that's why they're models.

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#357
post #187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Has anyone cornered him and beaten him up for having moderate beliefs? Going again to the 'not actually reading the article' point, he has sneakily defined a moderate as someone potentially only holding extremest beliefs and probably as likely to be beaten up as anyone else. An extremist moderate, say. > I'm in favor of ... but I refuse to vote for Republicans There are good and bad people in every part of the spec…

If you don't vote mostly with the rest of the republicans you can't really be one. For one you will lose the financial support of the republican machine and for two you will lose primaries to your more "right" thinking brethren. The Republican party as a block - Wants to turn immigration from a constant source of innovation and vitality that has benefited our nation to a dead highway with a gulag for brown people and…

> Wants to turn immigration from a constant source of innovation and vitality that has benefited our nation to a dead highway with a gulag for brown people and their children that want to live here so bad they are willing to sneak in even after the white people told them they weren't wanted.

But pointing out the obvious - that clearly isn't a conclusion you've come to by listening to Republicans. For example, if you look at Republican propaganda [0] they agree that immigration is a valuable source of potential innovation and vitality - the bit about prioritising high skill migrants.

That isn't an 'I've seriously thought about their position and weighed up what they said and then decided I don't like the platform' style opinion. It is a 'I've listened carefully to my people and know their talking points' style opinion. It would be a struggle to label it as moderate in any sense of the word.

[0] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/president-do...

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#358

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This political perspective is completely incoherent. Democrats have shifted rightward since WWII, along with every other political group in the country. Former Democrats who become Republicans because they feel the party has shifted out from under them are creating excuses to mask their own changing opinions.

> Former Democrats who become Republicans because they feel the party has shifted out from under them are creating excuses to mask their own changing opinions. To me, this is the incoherent view. Of course the voter base has changing opinions. It's completely to be expected that over the course of decades political alliances will shift. The entire point of what I said is that the political opinions of the Democratic…

> The entire point of what I said is that the political opinions of the Democratic party moved in a direction that did not match that of my general demographic. Now that opinions have shifted, we find that our interests are better served by Republican talking points than by Democratic ones.

I agree that the Democratic platform has moved, but it moved rightwards. The Republican platform has also moved (considerably more) rightwards. If your political positions were once aligned with the Democrats but are now better aligned with Republicans, your personal opinions have necessarily moved dramatically rightwards, and your new alignment has nothing to do with the shift of the parties.

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#359
What annoys me most about this kind of position that I haven't seen addressed enough is the assumption that politics is some kind of grocery basket of personal taste where positions on issues are all independent opinions.

Anyone who thinks about politics seriously and argues politics with people needs to base their opinions on something besides personal preference. This means trying to develop moral and logical principles and goals on which to base positions. When people do this, opinions on many topics will be highly correlated.

Re: The Two Kinds of Moderate

#360
post #140

> Whereas an accidental moderate's opinions will be scattered over a broad range, but will, like those of the intentional moderate, average to about 50. This is only the case if left and right are equally right and wrong, which is unlikely to be the case. The average place of an accidental moderate could be anywhere, even to the left of the left or the right of right right.

You are not a moderate if you are “left of the left” or “right of the right”.

No, but his definition of "moderate" isn't anything to do with those, it's just "thinks for themselves instead of taking on a group of positions" - which can land you anywhere, potentially.
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