Live data from Hacker News

Survey: 44% of Verizon Android users likely to switch to iPhone on Day One

tech.fortune.cnn.com

1–10 of 19 posts

Re: Survey: 44% of Verizon Android users likely to switch to iPhone on Day One

#6
The title is incorrect. The survey is of 700 AT&T and Verizon users. Also the 44% figure comes from this:

> Among Android owners, 44% are either very likely (19%) or somewhat likely (25%) to buy an iPhone on Feb. 10.

Not all of these will actually do that of course but it does show there is definite excitement about this phone, so much so that (IMHO) you will see a noticeable impact on the Q1 smartphone shipments and I definitely think Verizon will sell 10-20M+ of these in the first half, easily.

There is serious pent up demand for the iPhone in the US due to carrier lock-In. To argue this won't have a significant impact is... brave.

Re: Survey: 44% of Verizon Android users likely to switch to iPhone on Day One

#9
these surveys are meaning-less

What the actual number you have to care about is new subscribers. New subscribers to AT&T for iphone 4 was less than 10% last quarter.

Carriers will always choose those devices that they 'think' can give a new subscribers rate boost, hence Nokia failing in the US for some time with out-of-date-ui.

If Verizon iphone results in 10% or more new subscribers than Verizon made the right decision as they still will than have the new subscriber rate from android sales as well. If the rate does not get higher than 10% than Verizon iPhone move is a loss for Verizon counting the subsidies it pays to Apple.

Conversely AT&T will now use android to increase their new subscriber rates.

Also, in that mix android has LTE devices coming and Apple still has not launched an LTE iphone.

Post reply on HN