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S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

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Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You tax the buyback itself, right? You tax the money the company is spending on its own stock. That's the only step of the transaction where money is changing hands

Isn’t that a double tax? Taxed at buyback time, and taxed when shareholder cashes out and realizes their gain? Though I guess a small (10%??) tax could still make buyback tax + dividend long term gains is still less than normal income tax.

Triple actually. Corporate profits tax, new hypothetical buyback tax, and then again as capital gains when the shareholder sells.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#62

Read an idea in American Affairs in support of taxing buybacks. The logic goes that if all companies have a fiduciary duty to shareholders because the market is the most efficient capital allocator, AND all companies are giving their cash back to shareholders, THEN it must be true that the market can not figure out how to efficiently allocate this $1T of capital. Thus, the government should have “next dibs” for items…

I’m confused. Companies are using profits for the buy backs. Corporate profits are already taxed.

Not profits but debt. With the ultra-low interest rates of the last ten years, companies could finance bonds at rates just above inflation. However, instead of using those funds to grow the business (e.g. R&D), they simple bought back shares, increasing the price of the stock.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#63
post #52

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Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#64
post #51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's very interesting because that is what you would do if you wanted to liquidate a company and shut it down (on a leisurely timescale). Exactly how much of the US economy is being wound down? Maybe this is a great opportunity for new businesses with an appetite for R&D risk, maybe this is the US laying down so that China will replace it faster.

Absolutely. What we are witnessing is people extracting as much money as possible from healthy and unhealthy companies just because they can. This has been going on in the private equity/hedge fund world for decades, buybacks are the mechanism that is now being used on the public markets in similar, unethical ways. Oracle is betting on not having a future, they are extracting as much money as possible from the vehicl…

Based on what I know about Oracle's software quality to customer inertia ratio, they're probably betting right. I wonder if the future is as legitimately bleak for all of the other buyback companies.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#65
post #3

> drowning out real investment. The conclusion that buybacks are alternative for real investments is wrong. The aggregate change between R&D and capex versus buybacks and dividends is not just some arbitrary decision. ROI from R&D and investments is slowing down for various reasons. Instead of investing more without reason to do so, companies should give profits to owners or pay off excess debt. There is wrong and ri…

Companies (often ones with business both in and outside the US) generally borrow money to pay for buybacks (Apple as an example). So corporate debt goes up, paid out of future earnings if they exist, to keep the stock price up and keep shareholders happy. But it is not making business value which ultimately is what business exists for and should reflect in the stock price. So the price is propped up for some time per…

[deleted]

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#67

Read an idea in American Affairs in support of taxing buybacks. The logic goes that if all companies have a fiduciary duty to shareholders because the market is the most efficient capital allocator, AND all companies are giving their cash back to shareholders, THEN it must be true that the market can not figure out how to efficiently allocate this $1T of capital. Thus, the government should have “next dibs” for items…

That doesn't make any sense. The market is the most efficient capital allocator because shareholders are the market, not companies. Companies are giving their cash back to shareholders because each individual company thinks their shareholders can better allocate the cash, rather than the companies themselves. This is equally true for both buybacks and dividends. This is because most companies have no wish to operate…

The point is both the companies in question and the ultra-wealthy that are the beneficiaries of the vast majority of these buybacks AREN'T paying taxes, so it's another way for the government to at least attempt to capture the $$ that should already be going into the treasury instead of offshore accounts/subsidiaries/whatever double dutch triple lux tax evasion scheme of the month they're using.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#68
post #3

> drowning out real investment. The conclusion that buybacks are alternative for real investments is wrong. The aggregate change between R&D and capex versus buybacks and dividends is not just some arbitrary decision. ROI from R&D and investments is slowing down for various reasons. Instead of investing more without reason to do so, companies should give profits to owners or pay off excess debt. There is wrong and ri…

I've never understood this take. Buybacks cannot be analogous to dividends because they require you to relinquish your stake in the company to realize the gains. It's a public buyout offer, not profit sharing.

Mmm, that perspective doesn't really reflect the, I guess, party liquidity in a practical scenario.

The company has money, they trade at $X. In a trivial sense it means you can buy a share for $X +- some spread.

The capital return mechanism is that the company now owns the share, and can retire it, the part that really isn't important is who they got it from.

It's sort of like electrons in a metal, they're just sort of around. Worrying about the behavior in specific instances doesn't paint the picture of the aggregate behavior.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#69
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The government already gets first dibs through corporate income taxes. Buybacks aren't deductible from that.

Isn't corporate income tax the one that can be dodged by just shifting profit offshore? Or did they close that loophole?

Very few companies (mostly tech companies) can take advantage of those tricks. Exxon can’t assign all its oil fields to an Ireland subsidiary to inflate expenses and reduce profits in the US. The median effective tax rate for the S&P 500 in 2018 is 21%. That’s the same as or higher than the statutory tax rate in Canada, the U.K., Sweden, Norway, and Germany.

Re: S&P 500 Buybacks Now Outpace All R&D Spending in the US

#70

I’m not getting this headline. Buy backs are something done with profit. So replace the headline with “s&p 500 Profits now outpace all R&D spending in the US”.

Buy backs are increasingly being done with debt[1] and corporate debt-to-gdp ratios are way out of whack [2].

1: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/29/buybacks-companies-increasin...

2: https://www.forbes.com/sites/mayrarodriguezvalladares/2019/0...

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