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Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

sciencemag.org

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Re: Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

#5
post #3

Then why were they raising the alarm about a coming ice age in the 70s? This is a rewrite of history.

Is it really true that the scientific concensus was in favor of ice age in the 70s? I have heard people say this before but I have never seen the historical evidence.

Re: Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

#6
post #3

Then why were they raising the alarm about a coming ice age in the 70s? This is a rewrite of history.

This is what I came to say. There were very definite beliefs and they were pretty reasonable (although the evidence did not bear out) about global freezing in the early 1970s.

Interestingly, we might compare this with the popular idea of Nuclear Winter at the time. Essentially, a nuclear war was supposed to ignite a global conflagration that would incinerate the skies and burn so much smoke to block out the earth. But 1). The calculations were excessive in terms of the number of smoke supposedly produced and 2). Bombs became so powerful and caused such a shockwave as to almost extinguish their own fires.

Re: Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

#7
post #3

Then why were they raising the alarm about a coming ice age in the 70s? This is a rewrite of history.

They didn't, you've been told a lie:

https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/06/that-70s-myth-did-cl...

http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2005/01/the-gl...

https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn11643-climate-myths-t...

>A survey of the scientific literature has found that between 1965 and 1979, 44 scientific papers predicted warming, 20 were neutral and just 7 predicted cooling. So while predictions of cooling got more media attention, the majority of scientists were predicting warming even then.

Re: Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

#9
post #3

Then why were they raising the alarm about a coming ice age in the 70s? This is a rewrite of history.

It’s not the case. Newsweek has a cover story. None of the consensus of climate science said anything about an ice age.

The anti-warming FUD spreaders use this debunked claim to press their lies.

Re: Even 50-year-old climate models correctly predicted global warming

#10

People who don't believe in anthropogenic climate change at this point are no better than people who believe the Earth is flat.

What about the person who believes in anthropogenic climate change but doesn’t believe that humans will ever be able (or have ever been able) to cooperate to the extent that is necessary to prevent it, and questions whether required technological advances will ever be made?

Asking for a friend...

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