Earlier quoted context omitted.
Using that same source shows that after tax incomes increased from $56k to $67k over the exact same period. So housing expenditures actually grew at a slightly slower rate than income (17% vs. 19%). That proves the opposite: housing is actually become more affordable. Moreover, according to the source shelter only made up about half the increase in expenditures in the category. Expenditures on shelter grew even slowe…
> So housing expenditures actually grew at a slightly slower rate than income The point was that new home construction cost (the stat you used) isn't of significant magnitude to be relevant to overall housing price trends. I wasn't addressing price to income ratio. But regarding that, averages can hide growing divergences between incomes and home prices. Instead consider the median home price to income ratios over ti…
> In fact, the monthly payment for the median single-family home purchased in 2017, assuming a 30-year loan with a 3.5 percent downpayment at the average interest rate, totaled $1,620 in real terms—slightly below the $1,650 averaged in the 30 years from 1987 to 2016, but more than $900 below the real median in 1981 when interest rates were at an all-time high.
Moreover that doesn't even take into account the rising square footage or quality of the modern housing stock compared to thirty years ago.[1]
In terms of the relative comparison between high and low cost metros, the relevant division isn't large and growing metros. The report finds that two thirds of the 100 largest metros have price to income ratios below 4.0. Add in those outside the major metros, and the sizable majority of the American population lives in low cost housing markets.
Figure 19 of the report also shows that high-cost states like California, New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Hawaii have strong net outflows of young people. Whereas predominately low-cost states like Texas, Florida, Georgia, Arizona and Tennessee have strong net inflows.
Since 2010, high cost major metros New York, LA, and Boston have grown significantly slower than the US population. San Diego and San Francisco have barely outgrown the US as a whole. Miami, Seattle, and Denver are the only high-cost major metros to grow faster than the rest of the country.
[1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4532357/ [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_metropolitan_statistic...