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Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

palladiummag.com

11–20 of 66 posts

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#11
Really valuation as a pursuit was abandoned for a damned good reason - it took a lot of time to get it through most of humanity's thick heads that value is circumstance based. Even something outragously useful like a fountain of youth would become relatively worthless if it was nearly ubiquitous like oxygen.

Likewise the public sector section is annoyingly simplistic in that it doesn't grasp the difference between neccessary and sufficent in creation. Research certainly does give major dividend when it is pulled off but it also requires utilization.

I am not sure if the actual book addresses it better but any refusal to acknowledge the complexity and tries for a simple one size fits all is frankly insane.

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#13
post #6

A fundamental assumption of mainstream economics is that market prices are approximately correct. This is more for pragmatic reasons than anything; you need some sort of prices to compare unlike things and it's often easy to get some consensus on what the market price is. If you want to calculate GDP some other way then you will need to decide what millions of prices "should" be and persuade others with your argument…

I would say the assumption of correctness is a "if you are so smart why aren't you rich" sort of heuristic.

Essentially if you knew that and that it was wrong then it would lead to massive arbitrage opportunities.

Personally I believe that treating value in terms of "should" is asking the wrong question. The actual questions are chains.

* What is the current production cost? Can we do better? * What does it cost to produce production if we can? How long does it take to get it producing? * Can anything substitute for it acceptably?

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#14
post #6

A fundamental assumption of mainstream economics is that market prices are approximately correct. This is more for pragmatic reasons than anything; you need some sort of prices to compare unlike things and it's often easy to get some consensus on what the market price is. If you want to calculate GDP some other way then you will need to decide what millions of prices "should" be and persuade others with your argument…

I would say the assumption of correctness is a "if you are so smart why aren't you rich" sort of heuristic. Essentially if you knew that and that it was wrong then it would lead to massive arbitrage opportunities. Personally I believe that treating value in terms of "should" is asking the wrong question. The actual questions are chains. * What is the current production cost? Can we do better? * What does it cost to p…

Having the idea of doing arbitrage doesn't matter if you can't build a canal or railroad or pipeline to make it happen. It's only in financial markets where it might be realistic to pretend this is only a matter of being smart enough to come up with an idea. (Because they assume you have the money and that's the only thing you need.)

Also, focusing on cost ignores markets where the marginal cost is nearly zero and price is set in other ways.

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#15

Really valuation as a pursuit was abandoned for a damned good reason - it took a lot of time to get it through most of humanity's thick heads that value is circumstance based. Even something outragously useful like a fountain of youth would become relatively worthless if it was nearly ubiquitous like oxygen. Likewise the public sector section is annoyingly simplistic in that it doesn't grasp the difference between ne…

All theories of value integrate the idea of circumstance into their workings; Ricardo himself realized this. The spirit of the marginalist objection to an "objective" theory of value (I put objective in quotes because it's a mistake to view it as anything but as Marx put it a "phantom-like objectivity") was put by Whatley in 1832: "It is not that pearls fetch a high price because men have dived for them; but on the contrary, men dive for them because they fetch a high price" but as Cockshott and Cottrel put in Classical Econophysics, "if pearls washed up on the beach, they would not collect anything like their current price".

Ricardo's reply was that the precondition to a commodity having value is that it is firstly an object of demand. Smith's, Ricardo's and Marx's theories of value (the commonalities of which tend to be overstated, even by the likes of greats such as Samuelson) all describe the case in which if I decide to make a product and nobody (or not enough people) want it, this leads to my realization that what I've been doing is useless and subsequently moving my capital elsewhere.

I think Carchedi and Kliman defend Marx's version of the "labour theory of value" quite well, as do Shaikh and Tonak on empirical grounds, and from an opposing perspective Dumenil and Levy do as well. Others, such as Moseley and Patrick Murray, relax their conditions a litle and argue that it is a mistake to apply the theory to individual commodities, rather, it can only be applied to "aliquots representative of the lot".

I have a comment here with some (slightly outdated) information as to the status of the classical (mostly Ricardian and Marxian) theories of value among the people who still study it (usually heterodox economists): https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18490388

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#17
I'm trying to understand this.

If I sell you something does that count as part of GDP? If I sell my labor to a company does my selling of it become part of the GDP? Then the company sells the product I produced for it, is that added to the GDP as well?

Or is it only when a company sells something that it is counted as part of the GDP?

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#18

I'm trying to understand this. If I sell you something does that count as part of GDP? If I sell my labor to a company does my selling of it become part of the GDP? Then the company sells the product I produced for it, is that added to the GDP as well? Or is it only when a company sells something that it is counted as part of the GDP?

The quick answer to your broader question is that there are multiple ways of slicing how GDP is computed, and yes, economists are aware of them and have thought through the edge-cases as well as being aware of where the measures fall short.

E.g. in your example, see the Value-added approach: https://quickonomics.com/gross-domestic-product-gdp/

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#19
post #8

Mazzucato is one of the most suspect economists out there. Courts a huge public profile, is apparently an expert on innovation without ever having worked in the private sector, and all the conclusions appeared tailored to win more consulting work with left-wing parties. Her conclusions also tend to be far too simplistic. The reason why the UK has moved to using the private sector more is because the other way was ban…

>She seems to believe that the public sector can innovate...okay, where is the evidence of this?

Well, she wrote a whole book about it, she's not just asserting it. The public sector played a huge part in the genesis of the Internet for one thing.

>The examples of successful innovation are cases where private incentives have been merged with public funding. All very suspect.

But another pretty critical point of that book was that our public conversation is inhibited by the extremely limited vocabulary we use to describe it. Is a defence contractor really part of the "private sector"? Is a NASA engineering team part of the "public sector" the way an employee of a mail sorting centre is? What about an academic working for an old school monopolist like Bell? Ok, fine it was privately owned so if you want to use a crude and almost useless private/public sector split it is very easy to say "private" but it's not private sector in quite the same way as a local shop is, is it?

Re: Reinvigorating the most important battle in economics

#20

Wall Street earns the most, because it is the center of crony capitalism. (Not healthy captialism, but the theft side)

Does "it" earn the most? What is the definition of wall street? In my circles, those in tech have far out-earned those on Wall St, especially on a dollars per hour and quality of life metrics.
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