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You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

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Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#4
A lot of really stupid shit is going to happen in 2020, but if Starship makes it to orbit and Crew Dragon successfully launches astronauts, those are the only events anyone will remember in 100 years.

(Come, on tell me with a straight face you remember anything else important that happened in 1903)

Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#5

A lot of really stupid shit is going to happen in 2020, but if Starship makes it to orbit and Crew Dragon successfully launches astronauts, those are the only events anyone will remember in 100 years. (Come, on tell me with a straight face you remember anything else important that happened in 1903)

Don’t want to sound as a fanboy, but IF (and this is a huge if) Elon succeeds on his mission to make humanity a multi-planentary species, he’ll be remembered as a greatest human who has ever lived for a very long time

Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#6
I think it's great that there's a renewed discussion about the nature of productivity and growth and that people are starting to become aware that economic profit or consumer demand are not the same as progress on long term fundamental science and manufacturing. For way too long now we have all operated on the mainstream economic view that productivity growth is somehow like manna from the heavens and that we only need to let market forces play it out.

I wholeheartedly recommend reading Dan Wang's piece on the issue: https://danwang.co/how-technology-grows/

Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#7
post #5

A lot of really stupid shit is going to happen in 2020, but if Starship makes it to orbit and Crew Dragon successfully launches astronauts, those are the only events anyone will remember in 100 years. (Come, on tell me with a straight face you remember anything else important that happened in 1903)

Don’t want to sound as a fanboy, but IF (and this is a huge if) Elon succeeds on his mission to make humanity a multi-planentary species, he’ll be remembered as a greatest human who has ever lived for a very long time

I'm no Elon fan, and it's a really really big if, but - you're absolutely correct about that if he succeeds completely he'll go down in the same category as Edison or Napoleon.

Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#8

I think the article points out the main reason. It is more profitable to build Facebook than put a man on mars.

Connectivity-driven innovation is cheaper. Science is becoming harder and is getting less bang for its buck. We saw great progress in AI over the past few years but even this has taken far more effort and money than building social networks. Perhaps connectivity-driven innovation could help to speed up applied science innovation if power of the crowd is more efficiently utilized?

Re: You Promised Me Mars Colonies but I Got Facebook

#10
post #5

A lot of really stupid shit is going to happen in 2020, but if Starship makes it to orbit and Crew Dragon successfully launches astronauts, those are the only events anyone will remember in 100 years. (Come, on tell me with a straight face you remember anything else important that happened in 1903)

Don’t want to sound as a fanboy, but IF (and this is a huge if) Elon succeeds on his mission to make humanity a multi-planentary species, he’ll be remembered as a greatest human who has ever lived for a very long time

If humanity ever does become a multi-planetary species, it will be because Elon contributed to a process that will still require decades, if not centuries, of effort beyond his death to achieve. He will not in any way be solely responsible, or deserving of that level of recognition, although I don't doubt that his fans will consider him as such anyway.
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