Earlier quoted context omitted.
Most users will never analyze the "This application requests the following permissions..." screens; see: anyone that owns an Android phone.
I am not most users. Strangely, neither are most of the people I know. But we're the ones everybody looks to when they need to buy a computer, know if the web is safe, or clean up the mess when it turns out not to be. Quit it with the "most users" reasoning, unless your goal in life is to part fools from their money.
I don't follow your reasoning, but still:
Listing granular permissions is like throwing up a confirmation dialog before a destructive action: better than nothing, but more often than not gets ignored.
Yes, after that, your friends call wondering why all their data was deleted or why some app is updating their facebook wall. And you tell them to pay attention next time, and they swear they will.
And they don't.
I don't have a better solution, but that doesn't mean that this is the right one.