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Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

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Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#261

Earlier quoted context omitted.

UK roofs are made and ceramic and slate. US roofs are made of asphalt. Mostly because asphalt is inexpensive (particularly due to economies of scale/lack of them on ceramic). Ceramic lasts a lifetime, asphalt can be taken out by one bad hail storm. UK homes are made of brick. US homes are made of fiberboard and inexpensive woods. There's a reason why UK homes have lasted over one hundred years, and most US homes won'…

"UK homes are made of brick" I've lived in 11 properties in the UK (owning 4 of them) and most of them were made of stone and were 150+ years old - only the first one (a 1950s council house) was brick.

Where are you based? The majority of properties in the UK are brick.

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Those same incentives put a new Model 3 at $31,000 [0]. The entry level Toyota Camry is $24,000. You'll save $700-$1,200/year on 'energy' with the Tesla, save on oil changes and brakes and the Model 3 costs less to own than the Camry in maybe 7 years. Reduce pollution, avoid gas stations, have a lot more fun driving the safer Model 3. Electric cars are not just for the rich any more. [0] https://www.tesla.com/model3/…

Depends a lot of locale. Where I live, in local dollars, an entry level Camry is is $24,295 (or $28,250 for a hybrid) while a Model 3 is $50,990 after incentives. Also not sure about a Model 3 being safer than a Camry, they weigh a similar amount and are both IIHS TSP+. (And a hybrid Camry weighs close to 1000 lb more than a Model 3.)

Hybrid Camry is 3572 pounds maximum [1]

Weight of Model 3 is 3627 minimum up to 4,072 (extended range, extra batteries, which are heavy.) [1]

Model 3 has the lowest probability of injury in a crash of any car tested by NHTSA since 2011.[0]

[0] https://cleantechnica.com/2019/03/14/tesla-model-3-vs-toyota...

[1] Google Camry weight; Model 3 weight

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#263
post #219

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Storage costs are dropping rapidly. New batteries are nearly there for cost competitiveness. As the first generation of BEV batteries become 'spent', they will be reused in grid-scale applications. Space and weight are not a concern, and most will have ~70% of their original capacity. That accelerates quickly once Gen 2 batteries have hit end of life.

>Storage costs are dropping rapidly Read around, nobody actually believes Li-ion batteries can bridge the intermittency gaps of solar and wind. The production capacity may never be there and cost aren't there today and may never get there (cost for US to store 10-15% of excess summer energy to use in winter with Li-ion batteries would run tens of trillions of dollars). Li-ion batteries leak energy if you want to use…

Who in their right mind ever suggested such an obviously overpriced option when you can just build enough for peak and then shut them off during the off-season?

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#264
post #12

I wonder where they're getting their average price from, because I've never heard of a new roof and solar panel installation being that expensive. EDIT: They're comparing it to concrete roof tiles, which a quick search say that they last for ~50 years, twice as long as the warranty for the Tesla solar roof. https://www.tesla.com/solarroof/design

I'm getting solar put in and it's about that much.

Same here. The numbers line up, roughly.

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow, that seems quite high. Panels are around $0.50/Wh. Add in another $2000 in materials and labor cost $24k!

FWIW. The panels are $0.86/wh each with a micro-inverter that runs ~$160 per panel and 32 panels. So, ~$5000 for inverters, ~$11k for panels, which brings you to ~$16k and your not even tied into the power of the house, or adding the mandatory shutoff, or the new meters, or the Emphase system that tracks by the minute power consumption and usage of each panel, etc etc. So lets call the rest $4k Total of parts ~$20k.…

Yes. Your math is spot on, and the costs are similar on the East Coast.

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#267
post #27
post #22

I think a major challenge that is yet to be addressed is the fact that solar panels lose their efficiency over time [1] [2]. Seems like you're looking at 80% of rated efficiency after 20 years - and I'm unsure this includes failures. In the UK a 50+ year old roof is very common - most people expect a house to outlast them without anything but minor repairs. If I were building a house I would want something where it's…

In the US roofs last more like 25 to 30 years for shingles.

New shingle roofs go up to 50 years for the higher quality ones.

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#268

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't speed a very important factor when addressing climate change? I thought replacing ICE engines and developing more in renewable energy would be accepted.

Musk rejects Kanban and Toyota Production System. Chaotic pressure is only one type of production speed.

Hmm interesting. Is there an article that goes over Musk's internal production style or why he rejects the ones you've listed?

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#269

> And we’re actually going to have […] ‘installathons,’ ” Musk said, which will pit two teams against each other to see who can roof one of two similar-sized/designed roofs faster. Musk reiterated later that there’s “quite a bit of R&D just in the installation process itself.” Not a short seller, but that sounds a lot like: “We don’t yet know how to do this well, but in the meantime we are going to optimize for speed…

Have you ever seen roofers work? They move like there's a storm coming all day. Total hustle, it's why existing roof installs are relatively cheap. It makes sense that they need to ptiomize for near same amount of time.

Conventional roofs do not have live power and electronic components. Solar tiles (and panels) add "must not self-ignite" to the usual install requirements like "must not leak for N years".

Good, fast, cheap - between good and fast, I want good first. Cheap remains to be seen.

Re: Tesla’s new Solar Roof costs less than a new roof plus solar panels

#270
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does your roof generate electricity though? A solar roof is a roof + solar panels.

It's not going to cost 34k to install solar panels on his roof. Tesla's claim seems disengenous at best.

For a ~10kW (AC) system you're going to pay about that much, I just had it done.

It's misleading to look at the price of the panels alone. You also need (micro) inverters, you need to have it hooked up to the the grid, you need several inspections (construction + electrical). Getting all those panels installed on your roof and wired up is quite labor intensive as well. The installation cost is significant.

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