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Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

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Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#221
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As one example, imagine that someone invents a process to manufacture gasoline using carbon extracted from the air, at a price that's cost competitive with gasoline extracted from the ground. Any car running on that as fuel would immediately become carbon-neutral, and it could be produced anywhere on the planet. Almost overnight you could make the entire automotive industry carbon neutral (burning this gasoline would…

Sure, that would be great. Processes to do this exist - at higher energy costs. The thermodynamic hill is heavily against you on this. Cheap fusion or safe cheap thorium reactors would also be great. But an awful lot of smart people have bounced off those problems without success.

Yes, once you sort out the industrial process the price of manufactured gasoline would be driven by the local price of electricity at the production site.

Thermodynamics isn't the only thing to consider. There are parts of the world where spot electricity rates routinely go negative, because it's cheaper to pay a consumer to absorb excess electricity than it is to shut off a power plant. A process like this could absorb excess electricity when there's an excess of electricity.

You don't need to talk about fusion or thorium reactors when the cost of solar is low and falling, and we haven't _nearly_ saturated the planets capacity for generating electricity through solar. A combined facility that generated electricity through solar, then either sold electricity or manufactured gasoline (whichever is better in the moment)

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#222
post #114

I see a huge trend coming in “DIY Medicine”. Doctors, insurers, and the FDA are way too expensive for mere gatekeeping, and technology is developing new treatments and dropping equipment costs an order of magnitude faster than they can respond. For example, I can buy all of the equipment necessary for a PRP injection for less than the cost of a single treatment, and the doctor that does it knows no more about how to…

I wish I could address everything that's wrong with this comment.

The biggest thing is you seem extremely willing to take risks without understanding the gravity of what you're doing. Sure, you CAN give yourself PRP injections and LIKELY will have little to no side effects. Healthcare providers need extreme confidence that (a) a procedure will be effective (b) the risks are appropriate.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#223

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's a fun tech, but I fail to see any real world value that can be derived from it. I have worked on AR stuff before and found some niche uses, but I am having real trouble finding general commercial applications apart from fun and games.

define "niche". the construction industry will benefit hugely from AR.

I worked on an art installation that used AR cardboard cards as the "controllers" in a 50+ person platformer game. I also worked on a smaller business card AR project.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#224
post #132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

sequester that attitude, dude. if "governments really start putting money towards it"... that money comes from your paycheck first and foremost. if you're going to advocate for a market based solution (and you are, if you're talking about putting money somewhere) then consider the hard work of pricing external costs (those costs to the commons, you're so fond of considering), that governments are truly good at. we do…

> that money comes from your paycheck first and foremost Fantastic! I would love to help prevent a global catastrophe. > if you're going to advocate for a market based solution (and you are, if you're talking about putting money somewhere) I am not. I'm pointing out that this kind of problem is fundamentally impossible for the market to solve unless enormous, non-profit-seeking organizations (i.e., governments) artif…

> I would love to help prevent a global catastrophe.

great, you can start by reading books written by folks that don't agree with you.

> I am not.

actually, you are...

> ... into the market via coordinated incentives.

but, like... it's kinda funny.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#225
As we trend towards full automation, both manufacturing and distribution jobs are likely to be structurally disintegrated. Services will probably also be rendered obsolete, aside from highly personal / human / creative services that rest on the long-tail of AI. So a more realistic prediction might suggest that the majority of "promising areas" will lie in fields like AI, big data, statistics, decentralization, advanced mathematics, etc. The character and arrangement of these domains will depend largely on whether we continue a trajectory of capitalism focused on profits, or whether we begin a shift towards socialism and co-op models that focus on psychosocial and environmental value.

Profit path = more advanced big data and exploitative mechanisms, psy-ops tooling for political power preservation, centralized power, etc (think robocop / cambridge analytica on steroids). Psychosocial path = more innovation rooted in positive psychology, complex systems, decentralization, and facilitating self-actualization (think Her / pragmatic utopia). The overlap between the two seems to be psychology and complex systems thinking, so maybe "complex systems psychology" or even "social engineering" would be solid candidates?

Complex systems psychology would essentially be the next evolution of behavioral economics, where we observe and engineer the emergence of system-level phenomena by motivating individual agents to behave in ways that are psychologically positive (or aligned with a profit/power motif of someone atop a hierarchy) for the individual parts and the whole.

Social engineering is just more the micro version of that - figuring out how to infiltrate / manipulate complex social systems and then equipping organizations with defense tactics and tooling. Maybe even anticipating the emergence of new attack vectors before they can be exploited.

For anyone interested in complex systems, Santa Fe Institute is in the middle of Week 3 of their free online course. Highly recommended.

For anyone interested in positive psychology, Carl Rogers and Abraham Maslow are great places to start.

For anyone interested in social engineering, the SECTF is a goldmine.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#226

I'm gonna go in a different direction: broadly, solutions that deal with the problems of an aging population: 1. Technology that helps doctors/practices service more elderly patients 2. Wellbeing technology for seniors (Headspace/Calm should totally push towards this area) 3. Personnel management for homecare nursing List could go on and on. None of this is especially "trendy" but there's clear demographic reasons to…

A tool for children to remotely manage parents' phones, tablets, routers and (may be) computers would be nice to have. My parents are not very tech savvy and when something goes wrong getting someone to fix it takes forever. If I had remote access I'd do it in just a few minutes.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#227

I think AR has potential to be the most impactful new type of technology, but I don’t have any idea if wide adoption is 1 year away, or 10 years away (or more). At the moment most of the focus is around overlaying some virtual world in the real world, but I think that technologies like U1 chip being added to new Apple devices could be really interesting to allow objects in the physical world to better mesh with digit…

It's a fun tech, but I fail to see any real world value that can be derived from it. I have worked on AR stuff before and found some niche uses, but I am having real trouble finding general commercial applications apart from fun and games.

I recommend this article from HBR https://hbr.org/2017/11/a-managers-guide-to-augmented-realit...

It actually details how it’s used now to verify ships after construction to ensure that everything is in its right place. They do this by overlaying the schematics on top of the actual ship during inspection. I don’t remember the numbers (read the article a while ago) but the savings and accuracy gains by introducing this were significant.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#228

Earlier quoted context omitted.

crypto is fake money, and it will never survive government scrutiny. we need our dollars to be made by governments, not basement dwellers.

All money is fake money, the notion of a currency is a value fiction shared among a group of people. Most governments are very young, and do not last very long historically. Central banking is a handful of decades old, cryptocurrency is one decade old. Neither the maximalists nor deniers are right at this point. It remains to be seen when/whether cryptocurrency will replace fiat currency.

cryptocurrency will never replace gold-backed fiat currency.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#229
Privacy & Personal Analytics

I am working on an open-source implementation that is based on the fundamental idea of privacy. The consumers should have full control eventually.

For now only Google etc have all the information on us, but the great thing is that because of GDPR we see a move towards us being able to download it.

The system I am building allows us to combine data from across companies. This is huge. We are talking so much opportunity. The real challenge is making it easy for people to onboard while still providing security.

Feel free to contact me if you're more interested.

Re: Ask HN: What's a promising area to work on?

#230

I work in this field so I'm incredibly biased: automated business solutions that cut entry-level data employees out of the equation. You save TONS on the bottom line, and cut out human-driven process that is error prone and difficult to manage. I'm talking about things beyond "API-driven dev", more in the realms of Puppeteer, Microsoft Office automation, screen-scraping (mouse/keyboard), etc. I make API's out of thin…

Can you give some more insight into what you work on automating specifically?
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