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We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

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Re: We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

#131
post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>There is nothing to understand about that point. It's a linguistic distinction which makes no practical difference. It does make a practical difference. Important tasks are higher priority under tighter time constraints and vice versa. I fail to see how this isn't a practical distinction. >If you always lean towards Urgent things, you will neglect the Important. If you always lean towards Important things, you will…

In what universe do you live in that you operate under different time contexts/constraints to the rest of us? The very fact that you are forced to make a choice between Urgent and Important indicates that you ARE time-constrained within your context. If you could do both in parallel it wouldn't be a prioritisation problem. There is only one time context. It's called The Universe. For each worker (human!) Time is a fi…

Contrived hypothetical: It's tuesday evening, and I'm updating my to-do's before tomorrow. I have 3 hours after work, and 3 tasks:

1) A meeting (Important Urgent) 1 or 2 hours

2) Buy a gift for someone's birthday (Important - can be done any time but must be done) 1 hour

3) Check the marketplace for a limited sale (Urgent - much better if done immediately, but doesn't matter so much if not done) 1 hour

If task 1 takes only one hour, I do 3 then 2. If it takes two hours, I do 2.

There's two contexts above. Obviously as you pointed out, once you actually get to doing a task, there's only one context. But the point is that when adding a task to your to-do list you don't yet necessarily know what that future context will be.

Your choices here are to either make a priority queue for every possible future context (reasonable for this simple case, but doesn't scale to a more complex one), or mark tasks with the relevant information that will let you easily assemble the appropriate priority queue on the fly, once the context becomes clear.

Re: We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

#132

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Right? Isn’t this a basic premise of the article? The person will resist the documented facts because they don’t align with their deeply held beliefs.

Their manager might care, though.

Chances are if they do it had nothing to do with the facts.

They were already primed to find an excuse to punish them, but the facts are that, an excuse and never the reason.

Re: We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

#133
post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In what universe do you live in that you operate under different time contexts/constraints to the rest of us? The very fact that you are forced to make a choice between Urgent and Important indicates that you ARE time-constrained within your context. If you could do both in parallel it wouldn't be a prioritisation problem. There is only one time context. It's called The Universe. For each worker (human!) Time is a fi…

Contrived hypothetical: It's tuesday evening, and I'm updating my to-do's before tomorrow. I have 3 hours after work, and 3 tasks: 1) A meeting (Important Urgent) 1 or 2 hours 2) Buy a gift for someone's birthday (Important - can be done any time but must be done) 1 hour 3) Check the marketplace for a limited sale (Urgent - much better if done immediately, but doesn't matter so much if not done) 1 hour If task 1 take…

And what happens if your time-estimates are wrong; or unbounded?

You have two tasks (one Urgent, one Important) and 10 days at your disposal.

If each task takes at least 4 days, which one do you do first?

> But the point is that when adding a task to your to-do list you don't yet necessarily know what that future context will be.

I am not talking about pushing tasks on the queue. I am taking about popping them off the queue.

If you don't know how long a particular task takes how do you decide whether to pop a task off your Urgent or Important queue?

Just-in-Time prioritisation under uncertainty is hard.

Re: We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> depression comes when you are only applying logic to life and essentially seeing that there is no meaning to it. Depression is not a question of philosophy of your life. Philosophy may help you approach the depression, but you can’t get depressed because life is too logical - you may get sad, on the other hand.

> Depression is not a question of philosophy of your life. Oh I strongly disagree with this assessment. I am not a psychologist, but have suffered from depression on and off my whole life, and I assert that depression is indeed a philosophical problem. Depression, I think, is the experience of one's mind realizing that its model of reality (philosophy) is too flawed or incomplete to see a concrete path towards meanin…

This is the most accurate description of my depression and why it is seemingly impervious to therapy. It's not debilitating to the point of not being able to function in daily life, but is instead a constant, low-grade friction resulting in less drive and confidence and more inaction. Basically, life has taught me that my self-esteem was misguided, and I'm unsure of how to meaningfully act without it, so I just sort of fade away.

Re: We Are All Confident Idiots (2014)

#135
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>those who tend to be more realistic in their self expectations are more prone to depression. No, depression comes when you are only applying logic to life and essentially seeing that there is no meaning to it. Logic can not live without meaning, but life is tremendously bigger that our limited logic, regardless how fanciful we make it. >False confidence may be the route to happiness or at least optimism. No, this co…

"Love is giving something you don't have to someone who doesn't exist."—Jacques Lacan Generalizable to: Life has no meaning, but we can give it a meaning.

Also: "Divorce is taking things you no longer want from people you no longer love."—Zadie Smith
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