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Evidence? And alexa data is pretty useless, since a large amount of traffic to both tumblr and posterous is not on their home domain.
if for both Posterous & Tumblr a large portion of the traffic is hidden, all conditions being equal, on Quantcast & Compete Tumblr is way above Posterous.
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if for both Posterous & Tumblr a large portion of the traffic is hidden, all conditions being equal, on Quantcast & Compete Tumblr is way above Posterous.
They also have almost a year and a half of headstart...
Posterous is prolific, but it's not omnipresent. And I doubt it will ever become omnipresent, because it doesn't offer enough to differentiate itself from Tumblr and because it's nowhere near sexy enough to capture the vast audience that only cares about things being sexy.
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They also have almost a year and a half of headstart...
Tumblr's become a youth phenomenon. In high schools and colleges it's everywhere. Posterous is prolific, but it's not omnipresent. And I doubt it will ever become omnipresent, because it doesn't offer enough to differentiate itself from Tumblr and because it's nowhere near sexy enough to capture the vast audience that only cares about things being sexy.
The suggestion that Garry Tan is leaving because Posterous isn't working out is unsubstantiated, and that's what I'm arguing about. This is like pointing at Facebook when they were much smaller than MySpace, showing that such-and-such person just left, and saying it's because Facebook has lost the battle. It hasn't. The battle is still raging, and who will win is definitely up for grabs.
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And 2x bigger than that on the iPad please :)
I would pay money, right now, to be able to get a version of HN that would somehow solve the IOS interaction issues on the iPad/iPhone. It's always an incredibly painful dance to pinch open the screen so I can figure out how to click on the four elements - "Comments" vs "Article" and "Upvote" vs "Downvote" - I'm not sure how it can be fixed, but boy would life be better if it could. I should track how much time I spe…
Does this mean posterous isn't doing well?
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Tumblr's become a youth phenomenon. In high schools and colleges it's everywhere. Posterous is prolific, but it's not omnipresent. And I doubt it will ever become omnipresent, because it doesn't offer enough to differentiate itself from Tumblr and because it's nowhere near sexy enough to capture the vast audience that only cares about things being sexy.
I'm not arguing that Tumblr isn't successful or that Tumblr doesn't have more traffic (that would be a stupid argument!). What I am arguing against is this suggestion that somehow Posterous has "lost" and it's time for them to throw in the towel or something. Posterous is a fairly young service that's seen great growth and is, as far as I can tell, going places, and fast. The suggestion that Garry Tan is leaving beca…
Does this mean posterous isn't doing well?
While I think he is a great add to YC, maybe also Gary acknowledged Posterous lost the battle vs Tumblr? Anecdote: for our Quantter blog, we chose Posterous first. But then Marco Arment (busy) advisor of us, just told us: sthg like "Posterous?? those guys keep on trashing us (ie Tumblr)". While 1st impression preferring Posterous product, the switch to Tumblr was easy because of Posterous aggressive attempt to "poach…
This is great. I hope that 2-3 years from now we see large numbers of "designers in residence" at VCs and incubators. See also Jason Putorti's gig (now over) at Bessemer: http://www.bvp.com/team/Jason-Putorti.aspx