The money absolutely impacts the economy and the individual. If the fed were not providing this printed money to the banks, the banks would need to do some combination of the following to increase liquidity: 1) Increase interest rates to attract new deposits 2) Sell assets — such as foreclosed homes now in the banks possession With house prices at all time highs and interest rates at all time lows, both 1&2 sound gre…
I think it makes sense for the banks to wait for the Fed to do something. Banks are acting in the interest of their shareholders; the Fed for the population as a whole.
Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
61–70 of 110 posts
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#62The money absolutely impacts the economy and the individual. If the fed were not providing this printed money to the banks, the banks would need to do some combination of the following to increase liquidity: 1) Increase interest rates to attract new deposits 2) Sell assets — such as foreclosed homes now in the banks possession With house prices at all time highs and interest rates at all time lows, both 1&2 sound gre…
You left out #3, tighten lending criteria and raise interest rates on loans to increase income per dollar lent and reduce volume of lending, which also improves liquidity. But, yeah, if you are flush with cash and don't own a home but want to, #1 & #2 sound great if you consider only their first order effects on you. #1, especially, is a huge brake on the economy (as is it's close relative #3). Which probably also ha…
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#63The money absolutely impacts the economy and the individual. If the fed were not providing this printed money to the banks, the banks would need to do some combination of the following to increase liquidity: 1) Increase interest rates to attract new deposits 2) Sell assets — such as foreclosed homes now in the banks possession With house prices at all time highs and interest rates at all time lows, both 1&2 sound gre…
No matter how many times it is explained, at the end of the day people who are not me and who have no real valid claim to free money are being given free money and allowed to profit off of it.
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#64Earlier quoted context omitted.
Anything Zoltan on money markets is highly recommended. I think Bloomberg had him live at some event last night that was recorded.
Please share the link if you have it!
I'm not sure if it was actually recorded or not.
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#65Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#66Reserves are simply a low pass filter, making it very unlikely that high frequency events (routine events) will cause a crisis. But they still allow low frequency events to potentially cause problems.
Since the "cutoff frequency" of the "filter" is determined by the political process, then to answer the question about whether reserves are adequate we must consider how effectively the political process addresses these sorts of issues in general.
Consider the PBGC, the government coordinated insurance system for pension funds. It is dramatically under-funded, and if more than one or two large firms with big pension obligations went under, so would the PBGC. What this means is that it would be up to the political system to bail it out.
Underwriting capital (reserve capital, or capital that is generally kept idle) is useful for financial contracts because it is far more reliable than the uncertain outcome of the political system. It is also much faster to access pre-arranged underwriting capital than it is to wait for the political system to resolve an issue.
We learned in 2008 that underwriting requirements were too low, and the policy response was actually to reduce them further, allowing firms to use riskier assets for underwriting and the government buying some of those assets (QE).
From the perspective of a politician, the response to the 2008 crisis was superb. The Fed and Treasury teamed up to prevent more widespread insolvency of financial firms and even automakers. This led to both industries being increasingly beholden to politicians and the political process in general.
But imagine if the underwriting levels prior to 2008 had actually been adequate to prevent the cascade of insolvency. There would simply have been no crisis.
From the perspective of an insurance company or banker, reserve capital is sitting idle and going to waste. If the US requires more reserve capital, this gives a competitive advantage to foreign firms whose governments require less caution. So reducing underwriting requirements is a view supported by economic nationalists.
So considering that most policy discussion these days is dominated by the political class and by economic nationalists, of course the conclusion is that everything is being done in a very smart, sensible way.
In the past, before bailouts were so commonplace, we could expect the firms' selfish interests to moderate their appetite for risks to the firm's solvency, but this check is not really a factor anymore.
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#67Earlier quoted context omitted.
> What I care about is that economy and money will be broken for a while which will make people move away from the Dollar. Why though?
Because if FED and US can't do a good job to keep their currency and country running properly, doing austerity when it is needed, not bailing out banks etc. Nobody will trust that currency anymore. No country in the world can run a $1 trillion deficit or 5%(?) of their GDP every year and not have consequences. This might be "okay" now, but this will create an effect that when people finally start to move away from th…
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#68Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#69Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think it makes sense for the banks to wait for the Fed to do something. Banks are acting in the interest of their shareholders; the Fed for the population as a whole.
Following that line of reasoning, isn't a bank incentivised to accrue as much debt as possible because the fed will just bail them out if they can't pay it back?
Re: Why the Federal Reserve is pouring money into the financial system
#70Earlier quoted context omitted.
> If the fed were not providing this printed money to the banks I'm pretty sure you don't actually mean "printed money", since the Federal Reserve doesn't do that. No currency was created for this market operation, just balances in books kept by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
The money which the fed gave to the banks did not previously exist. The fed increased the balance sheet of the banks to indicate they had cash they would not otherwise have had. Fits my definition of “printed.”
(This is all bad so I may be splitting hairs, but I would advocate for direct currency printing over this lending scheme if given the chance.)