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NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

nytimes.com

151–160 of 214 posts

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#151
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, NSA used to have the best and brightest until Snowden. Now NSA can't get the best and brightest because they are conscientious objectors.

Orthogonality thesis 101: intelligence is orthogonal to values. I don't think the NSA has any trouble getting the "best and brightest" in terms of skill.

It's not, though. Hence why if you're more intelligent, you're more likely to be liberal. "Liberalism" is a set of values.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#152
post #145

We could call this historical period a great dis-integration where the consensus that formed the equilibrium of the last 60 years has been disrupted by tech, and we're looking at a period of volatility before reaching a new equilibrium. I've argued before that U.S. critical infrastructure vulnerability will prevent it from intervening in Taiwan and Hong Kong. Its lack of a strong homeland defensive posture on infrast…

If your cities immediately turn into "tribal warzones" when they lose utilities, you've definitely made some governance failures well before the cyberattack.

Can you be more specific? What governance processes counteract or prevent that failure?

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#153
post #95
post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are various tiers of leaders, each of which gets their own subset of authority. Perhaps the President and Congress gets their own bunkers, but I sincerely doubt mayor X in Y town in Ohio is getting flown out to a mountainside retreat. Coincidentally with the increase in military equipment being sold to local police departments these days, said mayors will have some firepower to work with if they ever do decide…

> There are various tiers of leaders, each of which gets their own subset of authority. Perhaps the President and Congress gets their own bunkers, but I sincerely doubt mayor X in Y town in Ohio is getting flown out to a mountainside retreat. So people will do what, attach the mayor? Not really responsible for the mess, and not really such a big shot to be worth it...

Oh, I wasn't thinking people would attack the mayors, I was more so referring to mayors using their power to attack the people in the bunkers.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#154

We could call this historical period a great dis-integration where the consensus that formed the equilibrium of the last 60 years has been disrupted by tech, and we're looking at a period of volatility before reaching a new equilibrium. I've argued before that U.S. critical infrastructure vulnerability will prevent it from intervening in Taiwan and Hong Kong. Its lack of a strong homeland defensive posture on infrast…

Is it possible that a US government agency is pushing an inflated threat assessment designed to raise its own budget? Did that ever happen in the past?

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#155

This opinion piece is borderline screed and I'm not sure what to make of it. Part of the piece is "OMG China!" with some pretty dubious assumptions, especially things like their GDP being bigger than the US is an existential threat. "The world is scary" is not a narrative I will respond to. Of course it is - it's bloody frightening. But have you tried framing the discussion in a way that is not so warfare and zero su…

> have you tried framing the discussion in a way that is not so warfare and zero sum-focused but rather collaborative? We live in extraordinarily peaceful times. Those have cropped up throughout history. They have never lasted because balances of power shift. We are not at the end of history. We are a footnote in a history book written a thousand years from now. I hope you're right, though.

The way to prepare for changes is by communicating, building alliances, and demanding security standards. Being able to keep secrets is important, but keeping too many things secret and compartmentalized is self-defeating.

You want the US to continue to be globally dominant? Stop over-regulating drones, for one thing. The lack of viable drone business models is a serious setback for training the next generation of aerospace engineers.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#156
post #152
post #145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If your cities immediately turn into "tribal warzones" when they lose utilities, you've definitely made some governance failures well before the cyberattack.

Can you be more specific? What governance processes counteract or prevent that failure?

Reduce wealth inequality through industrial and fiscal policy, don't stuff cities full of millions of culturally distant immigrants (distant from both each other and the existing population), encourage integration and patriotism instead of ethnic sectarianism via education and cultural pressure.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#157
post #96
post #53

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(I live in EU) For the 3rd and 4th points, we could rather envision a massive decentralization of power, which would be effectively a change in the model, but not necessarily in a bad way. Telecom, batteries and local energy production will allow much more flexible forms of local auto-organisations and decision-making. Parts of centralized institutions will be obsolete or further decentralized to better fit local spe…

> Parts of centralized institutions will be obsolete or further decentralized to better fit local specificities. I predict something a bit different. ie - Most "centralization" will move to the private sector, and they will become more and more powerful. Governments will become less and less powerful. Less and less able to check corporate hegemony. More and more decentralized as they weaken and fracture. Corporations…

So, the world will eventually become a high-tech network of city-state corps, each specializing in an industry and engaging in trade? Sounds like a good book.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#158

That states like China and Russia can recruit the best cybersecurity talent in their respective countries, and force them to work for the government, while the United States can't, is a problem. If I were the president, I would focus on talent recruitment and retention. Google is paying its top cyberstaff 700k? Offer them 1M. Also get rid of archaic hiring practices like drug tests, and streamline the process to obta…

I’m not biased at all, just a patriot, and I think the government should inflate the wages of all software engineers in the entire nation to $1M in the name of national defense.

I am also not biased at all, but I feel strongly that we need to support the deliberative efforts of our nation's software-building infrastructure-protecting heroes by giving them all individual offices with doors that can close and lock, also ensuring that the occupant of the office has a key for it.

And nice, high-backed office chairs. And dual monitors for each workstation, with the computation hardware refreshed at least every three years--to include a real graphics card, that actually works with virtualization, because of 3D mapping.

And the kitchenettes should also be enclosed in their own rooms, so microwaved fish or broccoli smells don't permeate all the offices at lunch time. Not that I definitely know that's a thing that actually happens, but I imagine that if it did, if might break a software developer's concentration. Every. Danged. Time.

For national security!

Should probably recommend these "critical security precautions" to all of our allies, too. And potential allies. And probably the adversaries will copy them, but not much we can do about that.

~

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#159
post #56

Such a bleak picture of the future where the only solution is for all of us to give up our privacy and allow the government to watch us so they can keep us safe. There are so many rants I could go off on this article I would not even know where to start but I will say this. What about the option of peace building? Why not put 1/3 of your insane military budget towards a new mission of going into the places you have t…

>"start building up their infrastructure like water plants and schools"

That has been tried. It doesn't work.

TLDR: You can build this stuff. But it's a waste of money without the human resources necessary to keep the infrastructure resources running & maintained.

Who do you think is going to run & maintain schools & infrastructure? Let's delve a little deeper--

If you spend time in a developing country, or research their demographics you'll see why.

Let me give you one example: Mexico.

"While SEP data show that nearly all students who complete lower-secondary education enroll in upper-secondary school, the nationwide graduation rate is currently just 67 percent." https://wenr.wes.org/2019/05/education-in-mexico-2 )

Mexico is doing pretty good actually.

So, let's see about a more relevant example: Afghanistan.

"Afghanistan it has, according publishes UNESCO, an adult literacy rate of 31.74%."

https://countryeconomy.com/demography/literacy-rate/afghanis...

The answer is:

Sure, you can build this stuff. But it's a waste of money without the human resources necessary to keep the infrastructure resources running & maintained.

Re: NSA Official: We Need to Prepare for the Future of War

#160
I have a lot of trouble taking this guy seriously given the amount of hand-waving and fearmongering in this article, especially around "A.I.". Last time I checked, the NSA did very little to fulfill its mission to help secure existing US assets against cyberattack, much less help improve security in emerging technology. As Snowden showed us, they are far more interested in wiretapping everything.
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