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Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

nimh.nih.gov

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Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#181
post #153
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

'Try'.

As in they attempt suicide more often, but have lower rates of success.

I'm implying that some of the attempts may be half-hearted. The US has more than 1 gun for every person in the country. The fact anyone survives a suicide attempt means that perhaps they didn't really want to die?

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#182
post #74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I thought it had to do with the British saying the colonists shouldn't have weapons that could help the colonists revolt against their government. So the constitution says that the people should have access to the weapons they need to overthrow the government if needed. Of course, the constitution writers didn't envision the government having tanks, airplanes, nuclear missiles, etc. that make it practically impossibl…

> that make it practically impossible for modern citizens to overthrow a corrupt government. Some of the citizens overthrowing the government would be in the military, though, no? Since the military is made up of normal people that live among civilians. It's more likely the military would split into factions, with the revolutionaries gaining control of a sizable chunk of tanks, airplanes, etc. Or maybe the military w…

>> Some of the citizens overthrowing the government would be in the military, though, no?

Very unlikely. Biggest part of military training is brainwashing you to always following orders. People that resist brainswashing are quickly discharges as "unfit for duty".

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#183
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Limit second amendment more to prevent more shootings. I've always wondered the validity of a "constitutional freedom" that allows random everyday people to own and operate tools that are essentially killing machines.

It’s an enshrinement of values - America puts more value on the protection of the individual from society than the protection of society from an individual.

Has anyone successfully protected themselves from society using guns? I'd say you'd probably end up dead if you tried that.

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#184
post #179
post #108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because suicide via firearms is the painless route. If you were going to kill yourself why wouldn't you do it with a gun. You have to be prepared for legislation like this only slightly decrease the number of suicides but drastically increase the suffering of the people that do.

Compared to other methods, it leaves a relative mess, you can easily screw it up, you're conscious for it...

And, as I remember from high school, when they put their skull back together for an open casket, they don’t look the same at all (that will forever haunt me).

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#185

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Suicide by firearm is (or can be) certain and instant. People who would not be able to stick a knife into themselves fatally, or dare to jump off a high place, are nevertheless capable of shooting themselves.

I think the risk of failure being lower for firearms is exactly the draw. But failure is still a possibility. I had a friend who unsuccessfully attempted suicide by a pistol in the mouth. He ended up with a hole in his nose. Having only brought one bullet with him, was in enough pain to get treatment. He still wears a small bandaid on the side of his nose, but he’s in a stable place now.

That's why I wrote (can be); and the horrific mutilations from failed firearm suicides also basically add to the argument against access to firearms.

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#186
post #62
post #42

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_cau...

Did you even bother to read the article? They state this themselves. > The lack of change in homicide rates during the period of interest lends some strength to the idea that changes in suicide rates were influenced by the show and not some other environmental or social factor that occurred during this period. [...] > While compelling, this research had several limitations. For example, the study used a quasi-experim…

They also write: "Conclusion: The release of 13 Reasons Why was associated with a significant increase in monthly suicide rates among U.S. youth aged 10 to 17 years. Caution regarding the exposure of children and adolescents to the series is warranted."

The could have written the exact opposite since the release also is associated (according to the authors) with a CI [downwards going to less increasing] trend in suicide rates.

April 2015 was also a spike April. And the March to April step in suicides 2017 when the series was released is not bigger than many other steps.

I would say there has to be more to it than what the authors provide to claim something is associated with an increase. Actually, all events that has happened since the beginning of the data series could be associated with a "significant increase monthly suicide rates among U.S. youth aged 10 to 17 years" since the long trend is in that direction.

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It will always be weird to me that threatening to murder other citizens for some vague, ill-defined hypothetical transgression is a mainstream, mostly accepted political viewpoint here in the US.

It's really not about that. The US was founded by a revolution that required guns. The founders wanted to make sure the same thing could happen again if needed. The second amendment isn't about personal protection, it is about the right to overthrow a government (ours or an invading one) if necessary. You can argue that times have changed or whatever but that was clearly the intention and it hasn't changed much.

I understand that. My point is that "if needed" is a pretty squishy phrase, and if you asked different groups of US citizens what that entails you'd get wildly divergent results. For example, I would say if we keep going along our path of putting people in camps, that is worthy of rising up — but there are other people who think that's a good thing and we should keep going.

There are also certain demographics that are much likelier to own guns, so "is armed revolution necessary" is really more a question of "is this particular group of people unhappy".

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#188
You should be _extremely_ skeptical of this finding.

1. It's an observational, retrospective study.

2. The control analysis is dubious, and its unclear if the control analysis was selected in advance.

2. It's an astonishingly high effect size.

3. They do numerous sub-group analyses without any indication that such analyses were pre-registered, and apparently without doing any multiple-comparisons corrections (e.g. bonferroni).

3. From the article: "The observed suicide rate for March 2017 — the month prior to the release of “13 Reasons Why” — was also higher than forecast. The researchers note that the show was highly promoted during the month of March, exposing audiences to the show’s premise and content through trailers. The researchers did not find any significant trends in suicide rates in people 18- to 64 years of age."

We're being asked to believe not only that the show itself can have this huge effect, but that the trailer can too. But only among males in a certain age group.

This stinks.

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#189
post #103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, but lowering the 50% one will increase usage of the other methods significantly. The US isn't magically going to have insanely low suicide rates if you make guns illegal. Sad/depressed/broken people are still sad/depressed/broken (nothing has changed on that front). There will be a slight drop in overall suicides and a very large increase in non-firearm suicide attempts (re: Japan). Here's an idea that doesn't…

>Yeah, but lowering the 50% one will increase usage of the other methods significantly. The evidence says otherwise. Most suicidal ideation is brief and impulsive, so making it harder to access effective means of suicide doesn't just lead to a substitution. Multiple studies have found a lasting reduction in the overall suicide rate after a highly lethal means of suicide became less easily available. The majority of p…

Unless you can show a country's (i.e. Australia's) suicide rate plummeting shortly after banning guns, I'm going to have a hard time believing it has a big an impact as you claim. There are lots of first world countries in EU and Asia where guns are banned that have suicide rates comparible to or higher than the US's (and I have a hard time believing guns are the only thing standing between the US being comparible to its peers and having insanely low suicide rates)

Even still, there are other ways of increasing suicide friction than outright bans. Firearm waiting periods (to prevent same-day purchase suicides) would increase friction, suicide pamphlets with every sale would increase friction, etc

Re: Release of “13 Reasons Why” Associated with Increase in Youth Suicide Rates

#190
post #153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As in they attempt suicide more often, but have lower rates of success.

I'm implying that some of the attempts may be half-hearted. The US has more than 1 gun for every person in the country. The fact anyone survives a suicide attempt means that perhaps they didn't really want to die?

Women are much less likely to own guns.
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