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Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

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Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#11
I, a Dutch national, invest in the stock market through Meesman [0]. Meesman offers the following funds for investing in the European stock market:

- MSCI Europe Custom ESG [1]

- Barclays Euro Govt. Bond [2]

Please note Meesman offers a very limited selection of funds (5 total). As such I am quite sure the Meesman company did good research on what funds best represent certain markets.

If you'd like to invest in the European markets, I suggest you take a look at both. These funds can be bought elsewhere as well, of course.

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[0]: https://www.meesman.nl

[1]: https://www.blackrock.com/lu/intermediaries/products/305363/...

[2]: https://www.blackrock.com/lu/intermediaries/products/228477/...

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#13
You're not comparing the same things. The US stock market that returns 6.5% is much more volatile than European government bonds that return 1.5%. You need to compare either bonds or stocks for both. It's difficult to compare the long-term performance of American/European because different starting points and the world wars confound things but European stocks certainly don't outperform American ones by as much as you're suggesting.

But in any case, there's no reason why you can only invest in European things (and in fact that would be stupid). The starting strategy for most people should be a mixture of index funds covering the whole world (weighted by market size) and bonds. The proportion of stocks/bonds is determined by your tolerance for risk. You can fiddle with this (for instance as a European it might make sense to overweight European markets because of exchange risk, on the other hand you might prefer to overweight American markets because you already have exposure to the European economy from living there) but you almost certainly want to invest somewhat internationally.

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#14
post #7
post #6

Why do you want to invest in Europe specifically? There are European ETFs that track US indexes if that's what you're interested in. Europe is a harder market for sure. There are less internationally recognized names, so you have to do more research.

There is an exchange risk inherent in that which will turn your real estate speculation into a currency speculation.

Not sure if these are available in Europe, but Vanguard in Australia offers hedged indexes like this one https://www.vanguardinvestments.com.au/retail/ret/investment... specifically to avoid the currency exchange floating.

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#15
post #6

Why do you want to invest in Europe specifically? There are European ETFs that track US indexes if that's what you're interested in. Europe is a harder market for sure. There are less internationally recognized names, so you have to do more research.

Because I don't want to deal with exchange rates risks as Jacquesm already pointed out.

I created an Interactive Brokers account and used this investment scheme:

    65% of funds in:
    80% VWRL
    10% VEUR
    10% VFEM
    
    35% of funds in:
    VECP
This is pretty fire-and-forget. I also don't really know anything more about investing, so this is pretty much the extent of my help, sorry. I don't know if these ETFs are hedged against currency fluctuations, but my gains/losses don't seem to have followed the USD, so maybe?

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#16
post #11

I, a Dutch national, invest in the stock market through Meesman [0]. Meesman offers the following funds for investing in the European stock market: - MSCI Europe Custom ESG [1] - Barclays Euro Govt. Bond [2] Please note Meesman offers a very limited selection of funds (5 total). As such I am quite sure the Meesman company did good research on what funds best represent certain markets. If you'd like to invest in the E…

I'm also in NL but use DeGiro, and I compared the two back when starting out on my first investments. Maybe I missed something but it seems DeGiro is much cheaper in terms of fees, and it's straightforward to set up a portfolio that's similar to any of Meesman's offerings. For something a single ETF that's globally diversified I buy Vanguard's VWRL monthly, which is also on DeGiro's list of "free" ETFs. The only drawback I've found is it's not automated like with Meesman and it's very "Doe Het Zelf".

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#17
You are in Europe yourself I take it? In the Eurozone?

I'd forget bonds personally. With negative real interest rates, bonds are just the safest way to lose money slowly.

You mention elsewhere you want to avoid currency risk in an ETF. You won't be able do that completely, but to keep it to a minimum you'd need an ETF composed of smaller European companies which have less of an international presence.

I'm unexpectedly in the market for a good European ETF myself as the provider of the two I currently hold (iShares) have just announced they're both being delisted, so I'll have to sell those and re-buy something else, with all the cost and risk that entails, which is pretty annoying. I'm currently considering the "iShares Core MSCI EMU UCITS ETF", which tracks 252 Eurozone companies, but again, these are generally big multinational companies so you're not really protected from currency risk.

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#18
post #6

Why do you want to invest in Europe specifically? There are European ETFs that track US indexes if that's what you're interested in. Europe is a harder market for sure. There are less internationally recognized names, so you have to do more research.

Because I don't want to deal with exchange rates risks as Jacquesm already pointed out.

Deviations from purchasing power parity in currencies have a half life of seven years. Unless you’re investing for the short term the effects of currency fluctuations on returns to your portfolio will be swamped by differences in growth across national economies and their stock exchanges’ growth rates. In the long run currency risk washes out in differences in economic growth. You’re better off investing in the stock market indices you think will grow more. Population growth in the US compared to the EU alone would suggest investing in the US over Europe. If you think we’ll continue to have a more or less peaceful 21st century you’re better off investing in economies you think will grow more, which would suggest investing in the Indian subcontinent and Africa. If you don’t think that’s the way to bet you should invest in places likely to have political stability above most anything else so you should invest in places with strong states unlikely to have massive political unrest that will maintain good relations with your home country. For security you’d invest in property in someplace like Switzerland through real estate investment trusts, or the US if you think the West will endure as a political reality and the US will avoid civil unrest in the coming decades.

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#19
You can have a look at ETF from Amundi, Lyxor, Legal and General (UK), Vanguard EU/UK.

There are three problems broadly speaking. First is the currency, American index funds are in dollars while you don't have dollars. There are a couple of index funds that are quoted in EUR/GBP, above.

Second you need to find a bank that offers trading accounts and allow to buy these. It is god awful to find one. European banks are simply disconnected from the stocks market, they don't run brokerage and might not even know what it is when you ask for it. The only thing they sell and know about is their shitty in-house investment plan that's losing money every year.

Third is taxation. American have lax taxation because it's local and they depend on it for their retirement. On the other hand Europe can have high taxation which really kills your profit and some classes of assets have dual taxation (US export + EU taxes) that makes even the best investment worthless.

Re: Ask HN: How to invest safely in Europe?

#20
Why do you want to invest in the European stock market specifically in the first place?

There's nothing that keeps non-US citizens from investing in US market ETFs.

That said, European economies are quite diverse. There are ETFs for the European market as a whole (Euro Stoxx 50, for instance) but they tend to fare worse than their national counterparts.

In addition to simply investing in US ETFs you might consider investing in European ETFs that reflect strong national markets. However, investing in European markets probably requires more research and market knowledge than the fire-and-forget approach US-based ETFs are famous for.

National NASDAQ equivalents such as TECDAX might be interesting, too. Keep in mind, though that these typically are much more volatile than NASDAQ because these indices don't comprise tech giants such as Amazon or Apple but much smaller companies which often are unknown to the general public but in many cases still are market leaders in their respective categories. Therefore the risk higher is higher - but so is the potential return.

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