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‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

independent.co.uk

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Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#2
That's alarming, I wonder how these kinds of things skew global population.

If we assume girls are not preferred in the two most populous countries in the world (China, India) and their societies have a lower ratio of females to males, then the global trend of 1:1.08 female to male ratio must be skewed in a similar way somewhere else? right? Or does this account for that?

In other news, I thought we were headed for a different problem[0].

[0]: http://theconversation.com/the-y-chromosome-is-disappearing-...

Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#5
Wow! I just released a data story on Indian population with a section on "Case of the missing women"[0]. This has profound effects on a society like India, even 2-3 decades later!

[0] https://numbersofindia.github.io/stories/population-06-2019/...

Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#7
This one might be a bureaucratic issue/miscalculation more than anything else. Even in the dark days when female foeticide was prevalent, it never happened at the same level. If the reporting is correct, and there is a high probability it is not given the propensity of Indian media to report news based on sensationality rather than facts, the findings would be really shocking.

Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#8
I can only imagine that there are a number of secondary effects of creating a skewed male/female ratio.

Simply put, there are not enough women to go around.

I suspect this leads to lots of overly fierce competition for women. Women treated more as precious commodities and less as human beings. Men lacking experience dealing with women. A certain percentage of men being unhappy much of the time because finding a mate is frustrating, or they've simply given up on it.

This is only conjecture but it's hard to imagine it being otherwise.

Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#9
post #2

That's alarming, I wonder how these kinds of things skew global population. If we assume girls are not preferred in the two most populous countries in the world (China, India) and their societies have a lower ratio of females to males, then the global trend of 1:1.08 female to male ratio must be skewed in a similar way somewhere else? right? Or does this account for that? In other news, I thought we were headed for a…

>the global trend of 1:1.08 female to male ratio must be skewed in a similar way somewhere else?

It's skewed everywhere simply by the fact that women live to be older. When looking at people under 30, the male skew is even worse. Here's a population pyramid for example

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/India#/media/File:Indien_Bev%C...

Re: ‘No girls born’ for past three months in area of India covering 132 villages

#10
The article doesn't indicate how the villages were sampled.

Suppose a village has a birth rate of 8 babies a year (2 babies every 3 months). There's (roughly) a 50% chance the babies will be male and female, 25% chance that they're both female and 25% chance that they're both male.

That means that if you're sampling from a district that has 1,000 villages (with the average birth rate of 2 babies / 3 months, roughly the birth rate indicated by the article), one quarter of the villages will have 2 male babies - that's 250 villages with 0 female babies born in the last 3 months.

Not making any claims regarding foeticide in India - just saying that the way they chose the villages matters a lot.

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