Earlier quoted context omitted.
I would like to add an additional layer of economic nuance here, beyond Econ 101 and BA Econ. While it is true that an economy is not necessarily a fixed “lump of labour”, you also need to take into consideration many more factors before making another blanket statement about how labour and an economy works. There are localized crowding effects that take place at all levels of labour (bottom to the top), and various…
> The trend you see is that every year, tech grows by ONLY the number of visas they are granted. That very strongly suggests that there's a shortage of tech workers in the United States. What's the unemployment rate for CS majors? [1] > From the data, which theory of the labour market do you think best describes the history of the tech sector in the USA? The data appears to describe a tech sector that cannot find eno…
H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
201–210 of 235 posts
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#202Earlier quoted context omitted.
> I will make an argument for the cynics that believe they should be protected from competition: that immigration restrictions and caps like the H1B curtail the freedom of Americans to buy services from who they want to. American people that run American businesses are prohibited from hiring people they believe to be best suited for the job. This argument makes sense from the point of a business owner but not necessa…
If your model is that there is a fixed number of jobs, then bringing in one immigrant deprives one American of a job. The obvious consequence of this model is that if a country has a 5% unemployment rate, then it should simply expel 5% of its population, and suddenly the number of people will perfectly match the number of jobs. Of course, that's not how things work. It's not true that adding one person to the economy…
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#203Earlier quoted context omitted.
It's certainly true that immigration has a positive effect on GDP, at least in the short term, and in the long term depending on other circumstances, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's in the interest of everyone or even most people in the country. We are not paid as a percentage of GDP. It doesn't help me out too much that goods and services are slightly cheaper or more plentiful, or that the stock market goes u…
> It doesn't help me out too much that goods and services are slightly cheaper or more plentiful, or that the stock market goes up, if my wages are depressed to a larger degree. You admit that wage depression happens to workers in fields where foreign labor is allowed to participate ("Americans overpay software, doctors, lawyers, and many other professions because they are unwilling to allow free labor movement from…
Yes, but when "everyone else" just means certain groups of high-skilled workers, owners of large businesses, government employees, and people reliant on government benefits, because they're the only ones whose income is not reduced by the importation of labor, you have a pretty big problem for your country.
>But the negative effects of that monopoly are evident
OK, but no one is talking about giving a monopoly to a single person, so the negative effects are going to be vastly smaller.
>A system where every single profession is monopolized would inevitably lead to misery, not to the increase of wages of everyone.
Good thing no one is suggesting that. Keeping foreign labor out of the market is not the same thing as a monopoly.
>It is also surprising to see people that work with the internet to advocate ideas that would be seen as insane if applied to the internet itself.
Please elaborate.
>It used to ->
OK, but, like, it doesn't any more.
>Adam smith buried mercantilism under the argument that it was better for everyone to free trade
Better for everyone that's still trading, I guess.
>Again, do you think you would be richer if the iphone or computer you use to post here were had to be made in the US as opposed to china, and it cost 2, 5, or even 10x as some Apple officials have claimed it would have cost?
I'm not sure about me, personally. I've done fairly well in the economy we have. The people in, say, Appalachia, who are killing themselves or addicted to drugs, are probably not as well off as they would be if we had employed economic protectionism to their benefit, even if their smartphones cost more.
In the long term, I'd prefer to pay more for my computer and phone and know that people who my children and grandchildren are going to share a country with are going to have each other's interests in mind, and that those people are going to be raised by people that are not suffering from the effects of poverty or from lacking any meaning in their lives. It doesn't do much good for my posterity if the people with which they share a country see them as an economic resource to squeeze for whatever they're worth because they have no common bonds of shared history or culture that tie them together, or if those people are damaged from being raised in squalor. I believe we need to put our communities above our GDP for a while.
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#204Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It doesn't help me out too much that goods and services are slightly cheaper or more plentiful, or that the stock market goes up, if my wages are depressed to a larger degree. You admit that wage depression happens to workers in fields where foreign labor is allowed to participate ("Americans overpay software, doctors, lawyers, and many other professions because they are unwilling to allow free labor movement from…
>the value-wages of everyone else. Yes, but when "everyone else" just means certain groups of high-skilled workers, owners of large businesses, government employees, and people reliant on government benefits, because they're the only ones whose income is not reduced by the importation of labor, you have a pretty big problem for your country. >But the negative effects of that monopoly are evident OK, but no one is tal…
Software engineers are the the high-skilled jobs being protected by H1B caps, you know, the top 10% income in the country.
> OK, but no one is talking about giving a monopoly to a single person, so the negative effects are going to be vastly smaller.
I've made an argument in kind, this is an argument of degree. I'll answer in degree: its just as much rent as any positive effect on real wages. If it were to suppress wages a lot, its because the monopoly was very strong. Monopoly power does not require having a single actor, it can happen with many. A good example is medicine: no doctor in the world that is board certified can provide medical care in the united states. Only a small subset of doctors in the world can: american doctors certified by american institutions. The result is that doctors outside the US are willing to provide top level care at 10~20U$S an hour, while they do so at 10-20x in the US.
The result is also evident: medical care is extremely expensive in the US.
> Good thing no one is suggesting that. Keeping foreign labor out of the market is not the same thing as a monopoly.
It is to the employer: they are unable to buy from someone else. There is no big difference between making it illegal to import cars, and give a monopoly to american car companies than to make it illegal to bring foreign car workers. The result is that the cost of manufacture rises for everyone. When you import anything from outside, you are also importing the labor: untaxed, unfettered, sometimes illegal labor. IF you were to bring the worker from the other country into the US, the US would enjoy higher tax revenues and have the exact same GDP (ceteris paribus).
Countries were people leave enter a spiral of misery, countries were people enter have the exact opposite effect!
> In the long term, I'd prefer to pay more for my computer and phone and know that people who my children and grandchildren are going to share a country with are going to have each other's interests in mind
I believe you believe this, but I also believe you don't. Ban any foreign product from your consumption today and you will see why: everything would turn insanely expensive and inconvenient. In any case, I reiterate that your model of how an economy can prosper with protectionism is only in the rhetoric of politicians and in the real of climate denialism or flat-earthers. It just not whats observable. The freedom of trade is almost 1-1 correlated to country prosperity around the world, and the most miserable countries are the protectionists ones.
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#205Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The trend you see is that every year, tech grows by ONLY the number of visas they are granted. That very strongly suggests that there's a shortage of tech workers in the United States. What's the unemployment rate for CS majors? [1] > From the data, which theory of the labour market do you think best describes the history of the tech sector in the USA? The data appears to describe a tech sector that cannot find eno…
I believe your interpretation is being disingenuous with the data and everything known about how H1Bs are utilized. You seem to gloss over the fact that tech jobs don’t actually require everyone to hold a specific CS degree (in reality and practice few do if you have the skills). So once you expand your definition of skilled workers to include everyone that could adequately fill such positions, you are looking at a m…
> From the linked article, you likely also have adequate coding skills if you come from an engineering, scientific, STEM, or similar background.
The linked article discusses the fact that people with a broad range of undergraduate computer-, math- and engineering-related degrees have unemployment rates of 1.5-2% in the United States. Long-term unemployment for these groups is even lower, in the 0.4-0.7% range.
> Then add people from bootcamps that came from outside STEM.
Now you're discussing people who likely don't have the same qualifications as people coming in on H1B visas. On the other hand, you're not providing any evidence that these people have trouble finding employment in the tech sector, so I don't know what I'm supposed to make of your argument here.
> You seem to apply to another perpetual myth in economics that companies like to spout about labour shortages and skilled labour shortages.
Everything you're describing points towards a constrained labor market in tech. Unemployment for people with relevant undergraduate degrees is near 0%. Companies are desperate to increase the number of visas for tech workers. People can go to "bootcamps" for a few weeks to get basic training in programming, and then quickly find high-paying employment. If I can add to that: big tech companies are offering lavish workplace benefits (free gourmet food, free gyms, free transportation, etc.) in order to try to attract talent. This all points towards a very tight labor market in tech.
> You also ignore that H1Bs are frequently used to replace citizens, their poor working conditions, and lower salaries. [...] What you seem to ascribe to is a shortage of workers that are willing to be taken advantage of, work for lower wages, and work in poor conditions.
I've read the horror stories, just like everyone else. But in general, we're talking about people making 80k+ USD per year, many far more. Most people in America would love to be "taken advantage of" for $100k/year. It's very difficult to get behind a political call to action to exclude foreigners from the labor market in order to limit wage competition for people in the top few percent of the income distribution.
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#206Earlier quoted context omitted.
Alright, drama queen, so you're saying that H1B holders can't take PTO or even unpaid time off? If so, I have empirical evidence that disproves your point ;) What you meant to say is you can't be in between jobs, but even then, you're allowed up to 60 days. GC backlogs suck. Kids aging out is just evil and wrong and needs to be fixed. But don't blame the backlog on country caps. If there were never any caps, you woul…
> Alright, drama queen, so you're saying Personal attacks and name-calling aren't allowed here. Could you please not post in the flamewar style to Hacker News? We're trying for something other than that on this site. If you'd read https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and follow those rules when posting to HN, we'd be grateful. You might also find these links helpful for understanding where they came from:…
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#207Ugh, these cases give H1B's a bad name. I do wish there was crackdown on crap like this. Where I work the H1B applicants (who don't get selected) have masters, from a US university, for a degree that applies specifically to their job. These folks should be on the red carpet to US citizenship. They have checked every box. Instead they get treated like crap. They should SHUT DOWN these other players who clog up the pro…
As a baseline, I'm in favor of a lot of immigration and think people have way too many hoops to jump through in general, but the H1B crowd in particular is a group that matches even what most of those opposed to mass immigration claim to desire in immigrants. That said, i've noticed different "worlds" of H1B worlds, with different impacts upon other workers. I did a govt job on the US East Coast (Richmond, VA) that h…
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#208However, it sounds like you came here voluntarily on an H1B and are now disappointed that you still don't have a green card, even though H1B and GC are separate things and no one ever promised you one. Nor does the US govt owes you one.
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#209Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Alright, drama queen, so you're saying Personal attacks and name-calling aren't allowed here. Could you please not post in the flamewar style to Hacker News? We're trying for something other than that on this site. If you'd read https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and follow those rules when posting to HN, we'd be grateful. You might also find these links helpful for understanding where they came from:…
The parent comment was unsubstantive. It served no purpose, but to falsely paint the author as a victim. I disagree that calling someone a "drama queen" is flaming or name-calling.
You can agree or disagree, but addressing another user the way you did is definitely outside the community norm here and a bannable offense, so please don't do that on HN again.
Also, since your account has so far commented on only one topic and done so rather pugnaciously, I should let you know that single-purpose accounts are not allowed on HN, and especially not accounts that use the site primarily for political battle.
Re: H-1B: Federal judge backs government’s narrower view of ‘specialty occupation’
#210Earlier quoted context omitted.
>the value-wages of everyone else. Yes, but when "everyone else" just means certain groups of high-skilled workers, owners of large businesses, government employees, and people reliant on government benefits, because they're the only ones whose income is not reduced by the importation of labor, you have a pretty big problem for your country. >But the negative effects of that monopoly are evident OK, but no one is tal…
> Yes, but when "everyone else" just means certain groups of high-skilled workers, owners of large businesses, government employees, and people reliant on government benefits, because they're the only ones whose income is not reduced by the importation of labor, you have a pretty big problem for your country. Software engineers are the the high-skilled jobs being protected by H1B caps, you know, the top 10% income in…
Yes, of course it is. The degree to which you restrict participation in a market matters.
>its just as much rent as any positive effect on real wages.
What does that matter?
>Monopoly power does not require having a single actor, it can happen with many.
The "mono" part of "monopoly" disagrees with you. But there is no point in squabbling over words here. We both understand that there are degrees to which you can restrict participation in a market, and the more you restrict participation, the more severe are the effects of the restriction.
>It is to the employer: they are unable to buy from someone else.
They have tens of millions of people to buy from.
>The result is that the cost of manufacture rises for everyone.
I'm not sure why you're bothering to mention this. No one is disputing that restricting imports raises the price of goods, or that restricting the importation of labor raises the price of labor.
>the US would enjoy higher tax revenues and have the exact same GDP (ceteris paribus).
There is of course a third alternative, which is to impose duties on imports of goods in addition to restricting the importation of labor, which would substantially raise wages for low and medium skilled workers in this country.
>Countries were people leave enter a spiral of misery, countries were people enter have the exact opposite effect!
That depends on who is coming and going, and why they are doing so.
>Ban any foreign product from your consumption today and you will see why: everything would turn insanely expensive and inconvenient.
Why not mention the lesser alternative to banning, which is to impose duties? Of course outright banning things for which our existing chain of production is insufficient would cause massive problems.
>In any case, I reiterate that your model of how an economy can prosper with protectionism is only in the rhetoric of politicians and in the real of climate denialism or flat-earthers.
You keep talking about the economy prospering, by which I assume you mean GDP going up fast. My goal is for the people to prosper, not the economy. Of course the economy must prosper to a degree for the people to prosper, and it's attractive to try to optimize GDP because it's an easy thing to measure, but it's not the main goal. Sometimes optimizing for GDP is at odds with building healthy communities, and when it is, I would prefer to pick building healthy communities. Or perhaps you think those two things can never be at odds for some reason?