Live data from Hacker News

Baumol Effect

en.wikipedia.org

51–60 of 69 posts

Re: Baumol Effect

#51
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Musicians are used instead of imaginary button pressers because this is a real world effect. Think about it this way...assume everyone is paid fairly for the value of their work, no "exploitation" (although that's a tough thing to impartially define). A factory worker who does 10% of the work in producing 1000 widgets per day can enjoy a much higher standard of living than his grandfather who made 5 widgets a day wit…

The modern doctor is far more productive. She's healing 10 highly productive units. In fact I think that could generalise for all service based work. Providing a service enables people to not have to do the thing themselves. As such the productivity of the service can be considered a factor of the productivity of the people they are providing the service for.

The Baumol effect does not imply that the value of the doctor is not higher today. It just means that on a per-unit basis physicians are not more productive (and possibly less today thanks to EHR). A doctor can still only see 1 patient every 15 minutes just like they could 50 years ago.

A BMW factory that produces 100 cars/day might be more valuable than a Toyota factory producing 100 cars/day, but it wouldn't be more productive on a per unit basis.

Re: Baumol Effect

#52
post #28

Isn't the premise that "real wage growth is closely tied to labor productivity changes [of that particular job, in all cases]" just completely wrong in itself? If increased productivity (of everyone in a profession due to some new technology) means less people are needed in a given profession, demand for employees decreases and thus wages go DOWN along with product prices. Also the "natural equilibrium state" for wag…

>If increased productivity (of everyone in a profession due to some new technology) means less people are needed in a given profession, demand for employees decreases and thus wages go DOWN along with product prices.

Demand is elastic. Productivity growth triggers price declines and increased consumption in many industries. Most industries are not static, they continue to invest in technology (the underlying basis for productivity growth). The more investment they make, the cheaper it is to deliver their goods/services and the more they sell. This can push those industries to hire more workers and drive wage growth higher.

Re: Baumol Effect

#53
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Musicians are used instead of imaginary button pressers because this is a real world effect. Think about it this way...assume everyone is paid fairly for the value of their work, no "exploitation" (although that's a tough thing to impartially define). A factory worker who does 10% of the work in producing 1000 widgets per day can enjoy a much higher standard of living than his grandfather who made 5 widgets a day wit…

The modern doctor is far more productive. She's healing 10 highly productive units. In fact I think that could generalise for all service based work. Providing a service enables people to not have to do the thing themselves. As such the productivity of the service can be considered a factor of the productivity of the people they are providing the service for.

>The modern doctor is far more productive. She's healing 10 highly productive units.

Hence the doctor will charge each patient more money. That's the Baumol effect.

Re: Baumol Effect

#54
How Baumol got the insight, from his obituary in the WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/articles/baumol-diagnosed-the-disease-of... [paywall]):

"Dr. Baumol’s insight in the 1960s was that costs inevitably rise fastest for things that are difficult to automate, including medical care, garbage collection and the live performance of a Mozart string quartet.

It came to him in the middle of the night.

“It was 4 in the morning,” he recalled in an oral history. “I suddenly woke up and said I know why those costs are going up! I got up, wrote down a few notes, and went to sleep again.” His theory became known as Baumol’s Cost Disease."

Re: Baumol Effect

#55
post #34
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Do they really believe the value of playing music is derived solely from the effort to produce it If you remember anything from your economics courses, you should remember that in an efficient market, the price of something should decline to its marginal cost of production, due to competition undercutting the overpriced competitors. Your point might be relevant if there are wild swings in the demand for music.

And has that happened? Instead top trained musicians command huge salaries and people pay out the ass to see them. "In an efficient market" Well we aren't living in a perfectly efficient vacuum so who cares? You are point in case what Im talking about. You believe that the sanctity of your theoretical view of the world is more important than what happens in the real world. I could argue about what happens to musician…

Read up on what "dismal science" means. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dismalscience.asp

Re: Baumol Effect

#56
post #36

The article makes for odd reading. The example of the productivity of musicians seems both arguable and unnecessary. The principle could be better described with a theoretical task. As a hypothetical, There is a magic button in Australia that has to be pressed by a human being once a minute or London explodes. They used to pay someone a loaf of bread a day to press the button. Now they have to pay someone a real inco…

Musicians are used instead of imaginary button pressers because this is a real world effect. Think about it this way...assume everyone is paid fairly for the value of their work, no "exploitation" (although that's a tough thing to impartially define). A factory worker who does 10% of the work in producing 1000 widgets per day can enjoy a much higher standard of living than his grandfather who made 5 widgets a day wit…

The factory worker has a higher standard of living because everything he buys is made by other factory workers at lower prices too.

Instead of ten factories with 10 workers making 10 widgets, they make 200 widgets, or 20 each. As long as they unionize to demand their stake.

Re: Baumol Effect

#57
post #28

Isn't the premise that "real wage growth is closely tied to labor productivity changes [of that particular job, in all cases]" just completely wrong in itself? If increased productivity (of everyone in a profession due to some new technology) means less people are needed in a given profession, demand for employees decreases and thus wages go DOWN along with product prices. Also the "natural equilibrium state" for wag…

Paradox is always in the eye of the beholder and their assumptions.

Re: Baumol Effect

#58
post #15

It seems pretty obvious to me that jobs which show the Baumol Effect are ones where the raw labour cost before inflation was dramatically below the value produced for the end customer. For public-facing roles, this value (in monetary terms) will also be driven up by the very effect that drives up the salaries of those producing the value.

Do you think live music has higher value than food, even if food is in short supply? If you had only $10/day to spend, would you spend it on music or food?

Re: Baumol Effect

#59
post #18

> Baumol and Bowen pointed out that the same number of musicians is needed to play a Beethoven string quartet today as was needed in the 19th century; the productivity of classical music performance has not increased. it’s kind of odd to consider a performance more productive if it can be done with fewer people. what if productivity is being able to entertain more people with the same number of performers?

Actually, I can 'play' a Beethoven string quartet from my phone by myself. So technically classical music performance productivity, in the loosest definition possible, has increased. Of course, as you mentioned, that could be considered an arbitrary metric.

Your phone/home speakers can't replicate a live orchestra.

Re: Baumol Effect

#60
post #55
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And has that happened? Instead top trained musicians command huge salaries and people pay out the ass to see them. "In an efficient market" Well we aren't living in a perfectly efficient vacuum so who cares? You are point in case what Im talking about. You believe that the sanctity of your theoretical view of the world is more important than what happens in the real world. I could argue about what happens to musician…

Read up on what "dismal science" means. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/dismalscience.asp

Good read, I was not aware of that. I still feel it is somehow apt.
Post reply on HN