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Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

stratechery.com

161–170 of 313 posts

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No government is going to let FB and any coalition do an end run around their national currency and their banking institutions. That's the point of confusion. This is not an end around. This is about extracting tolls - slivers - from economic activity. They will all comply with the status quo, they will say what needs to be said, they will bow as they need to bow, they merely want to get their little cut on a billi…

>That's the point of confusion. This is not an end around. Whether that's the intention or not doesn't matter, it has the potential to be and that is simply not acceptable. When a developing world country like India needs to use monetary policy to stimulate their economy but those transmission mechanisms aren't working because a significant part of the economy is using Libra, that's a major threat to their sovereignt…

>It's digital colonialism.

Opposed to the European-originated paper trading system

Libra isn't colonialism, it is competition.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#162
post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually, the US used to have any number of currencies in the 19th centuries and it was a mess. Having a centralized currency is a reasonable thing, though the Fed is a private entity, it operates ultimately like other central banks. The banks don't have any special power - if you want to open one, you can do that right now. If they did have some special sauce, VC would be pouring it, and mostly, it's not. Banks don'…

> Banks don't make their money or derive their power through the 'creation of money'. A bank just opened and has $0 in the vault You give the bank $1000 The bank lends me $800 Your current bank balance = $1000 My current bank balance = $800 Total money in the bank = $1800 You might say that the money wasn't created because they can't afford to pay out $1800, but if for some reason at this point they need to pay back…

There are now decentralized systems that have monetary policy baked in, where the system can't become under-collateralized, see MakerDAO.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#163
post #130
post #87

My primary concern is that with a set of 20 or 100 validators, you can’t call it a decentralized platform (it’s a blockchain run exclusively by a centralized consortium). The article discusses the fact they intend to to decentralize it in 5 years, but that would be the equivalent of a dictator stepping down and promoting democracy which... doesn’t always come to pass.

I've been wondering about this too. I don't see how the incentives are setup that the Association would want to move towards an entirely permissionless network. Especially if Libra gets heavily adopted at 100 nodes (as they don't need to improve trust at that point and letting more companies into the association will decrease transaction throughput).

There are also some technical barriers on the path to a permissionless network. The consensus algorithm Libra is using currently requires full connectivity between validators and is only robust so long as 2/3 of the validators can be trusted. Much has been made of the risk of a "51% attack" against Bitcoin, but one need only control 1/3 of the validator nodes to disrupt Libra, which is a far lower threshold than 51% of computation capacity. Your standard botnet isn't much of a threat to Bitcoin since the participating devices aren't optimized for mining, but Libra would be an entirely different matter.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#164

I'm crossing my fingers that this pseudo crypto money never takes off. Having Facebook control this would be so terrible and the proof that we didn't learn anything over the last couple months. Don't fool yourself even though they released a white paper and some pseudo decentralized schemes this is no different than a casino chip. Unfortunately I feel like it might pick up and become a thing.

If you don't want it to become a thing, then support decentralized cryptos that are trying to achieve the same goal, like Ethereum.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#165
post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Regarding a country’s ability to manipulate their own currency or execute monetary policy which is mostly in the direction of printing more: the end game of crypto seems to take this option off the table for all governments in the long term. Why? Because assuming all other things being equal (convenience as medium of exchange etc.), an individual is always going to prefer holding currency that isn’t subject to inflat…

Governments can easily ban and pursue anti-crypto measures to prevent anything such as money they can't control. Yannis Varoufakis said it best: the idea of apolitical money is a fiction and a dream. Money has always been associated to and controlled by governments. Bitcoin currently is actually heavily manipulated/moved by Tether which is controlled by Bitfinex.

Yes Tether moves Bitcoin because it's literally people in Asia who want to dump their fiat to buy Bitcoin. There is no grand conspiracy here, people tried to claim Tether were printing money out of thin air to drive up BTC but even the NYSAG had a look at their operation and found no such result.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#166
post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Regarding a country’s ability to manipulate their own currency or execute monetary policy which is mostly in the direction of printing more: the end game of crypto seems to take this option off the table for all governments in the long term. Why? Because assuming all other things being equal (convenience as medium of exchange etc.), an individual is always going to prefer holding currency that isn’t subject to inflat…

Governments can easily ban and pursue anti-crypto measures to prevent anything such as money they can't control. Yannis Varoufakis said it best: the idea of apolitical money is a fiction and a dream. Money has always been associated to and controlled by governments. Bitcoin currently is actually heavily manipulated/moved by Tether which is controlled by Bitfinex.

>Yannis Varoufakis said it best....

Any links to support your last two assertions ? I'm interested in checking them out.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#167

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Government's grasp on what money should mean is one of the primary ways democratic governments exercise power. Could you explain that statement? I can’t help but counter that isn’t often the government’s control of money that enables the rise of authoritarian governments! Perhaps privatization of currency might strengthen democracy not undermine it.

...I really don’t agree with that counter. Many, and probably most, governments on this earth today have divergent understandings of money and power. You can be rich in Russia, but that money can be easily rendered worthless by somebody pointing a gun at you or your family. There is no comfort in being rich if you are not politically connected, and even then you have to be more connected than the other guy otherwise…

I don't understand how your point of view conflicts with the parent's. Are you saying that yes, power over money can be used to tyrannical ends, but real tyrants needn't bother?

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>That's the point of confusion. This is not an end around. Whether that's the intention or not doesn't matter, it has the potential to be and that is simply not acceptable. When a developing world country like India needs to use monetary policy to stimulate their economy but those transmission mechanisms aren't working because a significant part of the economy is using Libra, that's a major threat to their sovereignt…

>It's digital colonialism. Opposed to the European-originated paper trading system Libra isn't colonialism, it is competition.

It's both. I'd compare it to what UK, France and Spain did in America. Competitive colonialism.

Or you could say that all these European superpowers of the time competed with Native Americans.

Re: Facebook, Libra, and the Long Game

#170

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that really truly settled by economists? Objectively. I mean there have sure been a lot of currency crisis and hyperinflation events in modern world history.

I think you need to read up on the era before central banking, and bank notes. It was chaos. https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2012/12/07/166747693/epis...

Counterpoint: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_banking#Scotland
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