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Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

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Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#61
post #48
post #8

This topic is so aggravating. On one hand, you have the "Don't eat science words, they give you the autism cancer!" reactionaries, and on the other side, you have the "Everything is completely benign, because science!" reactionaries.

I know there are better examples, but the one that always comes to mind for me is Asbestos. Everyone thought that was safe, now it kills 100,000+ people a year. And to make matters worse, companies were able to suppress evidence of its danger for decades. We never know what evidence is being withheld from us, so I feel like a little irrational paranoia is actually rational. Edit: Oh, and how about Exxon withholding a…

There is another good one. Bayer took HIV infected blood from US and Europe and sold it in Africa, infecting many people with HIV in the process.

Also, many medications have under reported side effects. I myself have experienced insane side effects from an antibiotic. Doctors I have seen fail to report to the FDA and claim it is something else. I have talked to many people with the same symptoms and again they encountered the same issue with the medical community. While the FDA actually has been adding more and more serious side effects to the medications label, due to people self-reporting because doctors fail to do so.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#62
post #26

Here is the paper that made me start to take organic food seriously a few years ago: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3945755/ I don't have the skills to evaluate it in depth but it seems to indicate a plausible connection between glyphosate and leaky gut, which could explain why a lot of people who don't actually have celiac's have troubles with wheat. This is conjecture on my part, but it's possible tha…

I wouldn't decide for organic because of that. Like I said in another comment in this thread, organic farming still uses pesticides, just not the synthetic ones. In my opinion as a farmer, the foundational principle of Organic Farming is not a path towards better farming practices, but one that divides what is supposedly natural and organic, and what is artificial and synthetic. This has more to do with a romantic id…

I think you don’t give yourself enough credit by calling it a “romantic ideal of purity;” it really does make a difference.

A little pesticide is fine for cosmetic value: people buy more of the prettier fruits and veggies, great. But when you start to apply modern engineering to it, you get extremely powerful pesticides which are able to do something much more dangerous.

The most talked-about example of what I am talking about is to consider that McDonald’s has uniform french fries throughout the US. They are able to do this because the potatoes that make the french fries are genetically identical; there is exactly one McDonald’s French Fry Potato plant.

As a consequence we are freezing the evolution of part of our food supply while the pests continue to evolve to be better and better at eating those bits. The absolute precondition to do this is that human engineering clears out the pests with advanced pesticides, so that the plants don’t need evolution to stand on their own. And that is really dangerous as it pits human wits against the laws of nature for the long-term.

This is also another reason why that label of “organic” is somewhat wrong. It labels whether something happened in the production of some produce. That is very helpful, say, in response to the OP’s article about avoiding a particular pesticide for health reasons. But it doesn’t say anything about doing the historical deeds of farming where you take your best performers and plant them again for the future: and, worse, there’s a “security vulnerability” here where I can deliver a bunch of organic produce but not support evolution. I can just plant the same crop, look for signs of pests, douse only those fields with advanced pesticides, and the other fields get delivered “organic” even though their survival had only to do with random chance in how they were cultivated, not whether they were tougher in the presence of (weakened) pests.

Thanks for coming here and arguing for Integrated Farming... are there any certifications we can look for that indicate this? (I am under the understanding that anyone can call something "integrated" and it's all on the honor system.)

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#63
post #12

I am really looking forward to the day we can replace chemical herbicides with weed-hunting robots. It seems such a huge market opportunity... little, inexpensive bots that can roam a field, picking out weeds the moment they appear as seedlings, never touching the crop itself, not putting anything in the soil. When I was a kid growing up in central Illinois in the 1970s, before Roundup, "walking beans" was a common s…

At a smaller scale, Farmbot already does this.

https://farm.bot/

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#64

Here is the paper that made me start to take organic food seriously a few years ago: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3945755/ I don't have the skills to evaluate it in depth but it seems to indicate a plausible connection between glyphosate and leaky gut, which could explain why a lot of people who don't actually have celiac's have troubles with wheat. This is conjecture on my part, but it's possible tha…

“The linking of this effective herbicide to the alphabet soup list of conditions enumerated by the authors seems to be “shotgun science” — namely, multiple associations based on population‐based statistics, disconnected correlations, and manipulation of numbers and conditions that create an epidemiological recipe for errors and nonvalid associations. The authors link every kind of disorder imaginable to a widely used…

It's a fair point to bring up, but that statement is extremely biased in phrasing. Why is "effective herbicide" relevant here? Agent orange is also an effective herbicide. Further, "a widely used chemical that has not been specifically linked clinically to any of those disorders" ... you might not pick up on it, but "specifically linked clinically" has some pretty specific meaning and is an extraordinary level of proof to call for at this stage. What they have at this point are theoretical pathways for the observed effects and epidemiological correlations. Taken together, those are pretty damning and worthy of urgent funding of further study.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#65
post #62
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't decide for organic because of that. Like I said in another comment in this thread, organic farming still uses pesticides, just not the synthetic ones. In my opinion as a farmer, the foundational principle of Organic Farming is not a path towards better farming practices, but one that divides what is supposedly natural and organic, and what is artificial and synthetic. This has more to do with a romantic id…

I think you don’t give yourself enough credit by calling it a “romantic ideal of purity;” it really does make a difference. A little pesticide is fine for cosmetic value: people buy more of the prettier fruits and veggies, great. But when you start to apply modern engineering to it, you get extremely powerful pesticides which are able to do something much more dangerous. The most talked-about example of what I am tal…

> McDonald’s French Fry Potato plant

I'd love to see any info you have on that, because I'm not seeing anything at all. My Google Fu may be weak, but all I find is that McDonalds continues to deny using GMO potatoes.

Also, anecdotally, McDonalds french fries are far from all identical.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#66
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It appears that people have wisened up to this style of business... More to the point, I think there was a profound amount of attention scrutinizing Monsanto, more than any other company I can think of. The concept of Monsanto's business model has been probably the most chilling example of vendor lock-in ever imagined, and certainly throughout the 1980's and onward, raised more than a few eyebrows anywhere it was exp…

The only thing that got farmers sued by Monsanto was the planting of "Roundup-Ready" seeds and subsequent application of glyphosate to the crop , which would kill a non-Roundup-Ready crop. You could plant Monsanto's GM seeds all you wanted without legal risk, so long as you treated them like any other crop and didn't try to exploit their GM properties.

> The only thing that got farmers sued by Monsanto

That is factually incorrect.

https://geneticliteracyproject.org/2018/06/01/dissecting-cla...

The licensing cases were world news.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#67
post #62
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wouldn't decide for organic because of that. Like I said in another comment in this thread, organic farming still uses pesticides, just not the synthetic ones. In my opinion as a farmer, the foundational principle of Organic Farming is not a path towards better farming practices, but one that divides what is supposedly natural and organic, and what is artificial and synthetic. This has more to do with a romantic id…

I think you don’t give yourself enough credit by calling it a “romantic ideal of purity;” it really does make a difference. A little pesticide is fine for cosmetic value: people buy more of the prettier fruits and veggies, great. But when you start to apply modern engineering to it, you get extremely powerful pesticides which are able to do something much more dangerous. The most talked-about example of what I am tal…

>The most talked-about example of what I am talking about is to consider that McDonald’s has uniform french fries throughout the US.

Granted I haven't been to Mcdonalds in a while, but from what I remember this is 100% not the case. You get fries of all different sizes.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#68
post #54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It appears that people have wisened up to this style of business... More to the point, I think there was a profound amount of attention scrutinizing Monsanto, more than any other company I can think of. The concept of Monsanto's business model has been probably the most chilling example of vendor lock-in ever imagined, and certainly throughout the 1980's and onward, raised more than a few eyebrows anywhere it was exp…

The only thing that got farmers sued by Monsanto was the planting of "Roundup-Ready" seeds and subsequent application of glyphosate to the crop , which would kill a non-Roundup-Ready crop. You could plant Monsanto's GM seeds all you wanted without legal risk, so long as you treated them like any other crop and didn't try to exploit their GM properties.

I must be reading the situation wrong. Would you mind describing how situations detailed in this article jibe with your account?

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/agricultural-giant-battles-smal...

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#69

I sprayed a bunch of glyphosphate yesterday and I'll spray a bunch more today. I live on country property that is infested with yellow starthistle, an invasive noxious weed. Right now is it's growing season. There's absolutely no practical way to beat it back without chemistry. I'm sympathetic to concerns about our food chain but to the folks hoping for the downfall of Monsanto/Bayer: You are hereby invited over to p…

Glyosophate is an emotional issue rather than a logical one. And there are rarely shades of gray in the conversation around chemicals. There’s a huge difference between air dropping tons of the stuff over a thousand acre monoculture, and spot spraying to control noxious weeds. I don’t think what you’re saying is overly snarky: when faced with the pragmatic challenges of managing a large amount of land, it changes one’s opinion. I mean, the chemicals involved in our day-to-day lives are countless. The judicious use of them for a reasonable, practical purpose isn’t so ghastly.

Re: Roundup’s Risks Could Go Well Beyond Cancer

#70
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yup, I hear you. I try to put my faith on the in-between folks, who say, "we can't prove in a court of law that this is harmful, but in this case there is a plausible mechanism and the risks don't seem justified. In this other case, there's no plausible mechanism for harm or the benefits outweigh the risks." The people who show some kind of doubt are, as always, the ones to actually listen to.

Sort of a tangent here, but I find very often in the workplace that my managers want me to tell them about how I "know" something will work. I never know if something will work. I can only be mostly sure that it will. It goes against my nature so much to respond to these questions the way that they want.

If it helps you out personally, it may be nice to impose a translation filter between the rest of the world and yourself here?

These other folks say “know” when they mean “have confidence in” and they are looking for you to similarly say “know” meaning that. Your internal meaning of knowledge can be much stronger, but they are just asking for you to give your reasons why you think that would be the case. You can feel free to hedge as well.

“I think we can resolve all of these things if we just make a UserInteractions table on our end, rather than proxying all of this to the upstream API. We will still proxy the interactions, but our source of truth can be our table.”

“How do you know that will work?”

“Well, it involves taking on some risks, like when they update things and never tell our source of truth about them, then our two systems are out-of-sync. I think that probably the problem of synchronizing our table with their system is simpler and more tractable than getting their system to behave in a normal way where we don't get successful responses until we're sure that the interaction has happened. It would be different if everything was changing every second of course, but that isn’t what we’ve been seeing happen on our staging server. The rest of it is not too bad, there are three API endpoints which generate these UserInteractions and they all touch it but rewriting them can’t be more than a day’s work, so the only hard problem is populating this UserInteractions table in the first place, but that’s not an ongoing risk, just a one-time cost for a developer to pay. That’s why I’m confident that this is a good choice moving forward.”

“How do you know that interaction times won’t suffer?”

“Well, I cannot say 100% for sure but usually requests over the local network to the local database are going to be faster than general network requests, unless things are really unusually smooth between the two. But at our present number of users and our projected go-live numbers, I have seen MySQL setups handle that with no problem and if it is a problem then we’ll have to face that scaling difficulty either way, as MySQL is not just used for these UserInteractions but also for X, Y, and Z.”

You see? I don’t need to claim absolute knowledge here, I just need to express:

1. There is some sort of cost-benefit analysis of trade-offs happening here,

2. someone has done this analysis, and,

3. more info can become available and I can be held accountable for this trade-off if this choice later becomes problematic.

It’s sort of a part of negotiation rather than part of technical responsibility. If you can appeal to an outside authority (“The OWASP security guidelines clearly state...”) or at least an unbiased one (“I ran this by Susan, who is a developer at our contractor that we work with, and she agreed it was worth a shot and gave me some good feedback about a potential pitfall that I should avoid...”) or otherwise communicate that some sort of expertise has peeked in to a problem, then people feel naturally more confident and trusting about it. If you don’t do that then it starts to sound more like “we should do this because I say so” even when the problem is legitimate and painful.

I guess I’m saying, think of yourself as a doctor talking to a patient about an upcoming surgery. They are right to have nebulous general concerns and they talk in funny ways that technically do not have much scientific value, but it is important to reassure them when needed, provide them options when needed, and just trust that if they lose trust of you and want to get second opinions, they are acting in good faith and have every right to be concerned about these things that are probably innocuous but have a tiny probability to kill them.

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