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Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

technologyreview.com

1–10 of 11 posts

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#2
It's been raising 3-4 mm per year. Double that and it's still nothing to worry about.

Have beachside property? You have 20-30 years to GTFO. Sell it to somebody who will rebuild it for a 30-59cm higher sea level and move inland or to a highrise if you can't handle it.

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#3
From the report:

For a +2 °C temperature scenario consistent with the Paris Agreement, we obtain a median estimate of a 26 cm SLR contribution by 2100, with a 95th percentile value of 81 cm. For a +5 °C temperature scenario more consistent with unchecked emissions growth, the corresponding values are 51 and 178 cm, respectively. Inclusion of thermal expansion and glacier contributions results in a global total SLR estimate that exceeds 2 m at the 95th percentile.

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#4
Ignorant, uninformed question: are insurance actuaries managing mortgages and properties following these updates? What is going to happen to families with land in areas that are going to be permanantly flooded in 10, 20, 30 years? Do we even have a plan for that?

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#5

Ignorant, uninformed question: are insurance actuaries managing mortgages and properties following these updates? What is going to happen to families with land in areas that are going to be permanantly flooded in 10, 20, 30 years? Do we even have a plan for that?

And ~~where should I buy my house today to get a good deal on tomorrow's beachfront property?~~ how long until this starts having interesting effects on real estate prices?

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#6
This is a giant steaming pile of horseshit. The world will get 4 inches of rise (at most) by 2100. The tragedy is that politicians believe the climate con men. Most of the numbers are faked. Everyone who is paying actual attention to the fraud knows it. The climate screamers are protecting their funding and their fake SJW totalitarian aspirations.

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#7
post #5

Ignorant, uninformed question: are insurance actuaries managing mortgages and properties following these updates? What is going to happen to families with land in areas that are going to be permanantly flooded in 10, 20, 30 years? Do we even have a plan for that?

And ~~where should I buy my house today to get a good deal on tomorrow's beachfront property?~~ how long until this starts having interesting effects on real estate prices?

I think it's impossible to say, since if you were off by a single foot your property would be effectively worthless

I believe sea level rise is already beginning to slow down the housing market in Miami

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#8

Ignorant, uninformed question: are insurance actuaries managing mortgages and properties following these updates? What is going to happen to families with land in areas that are going to be permanantly flooded in 10, 20, 30 years? Do we even have a plan for that?

I can't answer your question, but what will happen to the property market after sea level rise is a central part of Kim Stanley Robinson's book New York 2140. It is fascinating and I can highly recommend it.

Re: Global sea-level rise could be double our current predictions

#9

Ignorant, uninformed question: are insurance actuaries managing mortgages and properties following these updates? What is going to happen to families with land in areas that are going to be permanantly flooded in 10, 20, 30 years? Do we even have a plan for that?

> following these updates?

Follow up from someone likewise uninformed: do they have an escape clause that means they can avoid paying out (act of God, etc) meaning that no one is actually directly accountable?

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