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Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

news.ycombinator.com

371–380 of 589 posts

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#371

My most immediate question (after others you already answered in this thread) is about getting enough CO2. When you start absorbing CO2 from the air, won't the CO2 in the neighborhood be depleted very quickly? And I'm assuming you can't pump enormous amounts of air either for various reasons (noise, energy usage, other environmental issues). Of course there's wind to bring more CO2, but I'm curious about your computa…

They're looking at cheap off-peak electricity sources, one of which is excess wind power at night, so they're likely to be operating when the wind is blowing anyway.

(Not that they need it - gas diffusion is fast - but it's a cute synergy.)

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#372
post #38

I don't have anything new to add, other than to say - this is a very well written startup pitch. I'm in awe of how clearly you've laid out the opportunity.

The only thing I have to add here is that a random stranger from the internet is rooting for you. This post sounds awesome and has all the makings of a classic American success story. Good luck!

It's almost surreal reading through the comments in this thread. I'm so used to the internet being a constant wave of negativity and hatred of everyone, especially in recent years.

This thread is such a nice break from that, feels so refreshing. I don't know anything about this process but I hope it works out.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#373

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>What would be the point of converting the carbon dioxide to alcohol to gasoline and spending electricity to do it? At a minimum you could just pump at the alcohol stage. Sounds like a great idea! My general point is that zero carbon energy sources like wind and solar are at least mildly zero sum, and creating brand new load on them would likely just result in capacity moving over to other producers like natural gas…

We'll need a lot more wind and solar, so Prometheus will drive the expansion of these. We'll start out taking intermittent power that's low cost (wind at midnight, for example), but will soon have resources built for us to expand. This will be good for displacing other fossil fuel use (other than transportation), as we will be increasing the availability of renewable power, and also solving the problem of being able…

So the plan is to only use excess renewable energy that otherwise wouldn't get produced and consumed? If not wouldn't you be a net carbon generator, as you would be burning fossil fuels and releasing carbon in order to capture a lesser amount of carbon in your process?

What steps are in place to prevent the process from displacing other renewable use? Take the fact that it is less than 100% efficient to store renewable energy as gasoline. Others might make more efficient use of this renewable energy by immediately using it to displace fossil fuels, with no or lower storage losses. Under this scenario Prometheus is again a net carbon generator. (edit: The same dilemma is faced by any other type of storage.)

It strikes me that Prometheus will come into its own if it can guarantee that it doesn't displace more efficient users. This will happen when fossil fuel usage becomes negligible or we (as a society) come up with a sophisticated energy scheduling algorithm that can take account of efficiency.

It comes back to that fact that whilst it is green to replace fossil with renewable energy, it's even greener if we can increase efficiency and avoid consuming that energy in the first place.

Don't get me wrong, correctly used it's a great thing you are doing.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#374
This isn’t going to let us electrify the transportation decrypt. Here’s some back of the envelope numbers. An ICE is about 33% efficient at converting chemical energy to kinetic. I don’t know how efficient this process is, but to be generous, I’ll guess 75%. (I could be way off!) Factor in transmission losses of about 2% to the refinery and 5% losses to distribute the fuel, and you get about 6% of the generated electricity making its way to kinetic forward motion. Contrast this with an EV, which has a battery roundtrip efficiency of 99% and motors of around 85-90%. The end result is about 80% of the generated electricity getting used.

Now, I hope we can electrify the transportation sector, but our current generation and transmissions systems are inadequate. I am did he calculations for the state of California, and found that they would need to be roughly doubled in size. An immense undertaking, but a doable one.

However, I do not see us increasing the electricity generation and transmission systems by a factor of 25, which would be required for this technology.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#375
post #286

Hi Rob. I'm CTO of a company that generates electricity from waste heat at industrial facilities. Pipeline compressor stations often generate 35MWth+ in waste heat, which we can use at about 20% efficiency to generate electricity. Many pipeline compressor stations are not anywhere close to distribution lines so just merrily pump this heat up their stack. Especially with new pipelines where companies are battling (leg…

> Pipeline compressor stations often generate 35MWth+ in waste heat, which we can use at about 20% efficiency to generate electricity. Can the waste heat be used for distillation instead? To heat up the fuel/water mix to separate the two cleanly? It would seem to me that the future of "waste heat" is to actually utilize the heat, instead of powering a relatively inefficient heat-engine. Perhaps instead of 20% efficie…

Your instincts are excellent: using heat directly is always and everywhere better than turning it into a fungible commodity like electricity, only to convert that electrical energy to some other form later. (Creating liquid fuel is no different in this regard.)

The reality is that there's almost never a practical direct use of the heat at the facility where it is created. It is too low quality for the onsite processes. Economizers and Regenerators are two common pieces of equipment that suck out what heat can be used - what's left is too low temperature for whatever they're making onsite.

Sometimes there's an opportunity to broker a deal between two adjacent facilities, where one can use the heat that the other considers waste. But those are rare.

Happy to talk about this until you wished you'd never asked. Feel free to email.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#376
post #338

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"60kWh/gallon" -- is that gallon of gasoline? Or ethanol? Or CO2? If you know the figures off-hand (to save me doing the chemistry), how much water and CO2 is required to produce the gallon of output?

Gasoline. Each metric ton of CO2 corresponds to approx. 113 gallons of gasoline. The amount of water is approx. 1:1 by volume.

Very rough calculation:

* 60 kWh / gallon of gasoline * 100,000 gallons / year * = 6 GWh / year * = 3.5 MW solar array (from on-line calculator) * ~ 18,000 m^2 of solar panels (500W, 1.9m * 1.3m) (roughly 3 football fields of solar panels).

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#377
Appreciate you're sharing some of these details (thank you). I have been thinking about this same basic idea but with hydrogen and fuel cells but will need to evaluate the merits of electricity -> gasoline vs. electricity -> hydrogen.

Being able to work with existing infrastructure and vehicles and other components designed to work with gas is a huge advantage. And of course the simpler storage of gas vs. hydrogen is nice too.

In terms of efficiency we can do a little back of envelope calcualtions. Prometheus converts electricity to gas at 60 kWh a gallon (33.7 kWh) or about 56% efficient. Hydrogen production via electrolysis comes in at between 44.5 - 55 kWh/kg-H2 (I've seen a wide range of estimates) for a kg of Hydrogen (33 kWh) so about 60-70% efficient.

Of course then there's the reverse process of burning gas or using a fuel cell for electricity production. The Toyota Mirai gets about 68 miles per kg of hydrogen and the roughly equivalent Toyota Camry hybrid gets about 52 mpg.

So boiling this down (if I got this right and my data is good):

Gas method: 60kWh -> 1 gallon of gas -> 52 miles = .86 miles / kWh Hydrogen method: 55 kWh -> 1 kg of h2 -> 68 miles = 1.23 miles / kWh

Of course this ignores all the challenges to building the hydrogen infrastructure, public fear (warranted or not) about hydrogen, capital costs of both systems, etc. It's also likely the hydrogen conversion gets more efficient than the 55kWh to product 1kg but wanted to keep this conservative.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#378
post #270

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Doesn't matter, air is a fluid, so diffusion works in your favor.

Yes, but does it work fast enough?

You can figure that out: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1365-2389....

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#379
post #317

What are the major challenges you have yet to face to make it economically viable? e.g manufacturing your nano material at scale or obtaining higher efficiency..

There are no limiting factors to us scaling now.

I am curious about the membranes - is the production capacity available to produce them in such massive quantities you'll need?

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#380

Can you make vodka out of thin air?

Yes, we have thought about having an "air bar" at events. Downside is we'd have to make sure it was pure ethanol. Gasoline is easier, because it can be a mix of many things that burn. Engines are much less picky than our livers.

You could theoretically sell devices for people to install in their back yards to brew their own fuel? Even assuming, for simplicity, the use of mains power and ethanol fuel.

Edit: already mentioned in the "How small can you scale it?" thread elsewhere.

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