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Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

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Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#51

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Don't skate to where the puck is, skate to where the puck is going to be. Electric cars can't compete against gasoline cars until the price hits about $6/gallon. And considering that crude prices are relatively low, but gas in CA is almost $4/gallon in the Bay Area, it doesn't take much time for normal rates to hit $6/gallon in the next 10 years or so. At that price, it becomes more economic and that's the time frame…

What? They compete today with significantly lower fuel cost. You see 100+ mpge on every electric car I know of today, you're looking at half-1/3 the per mile cost in an electric car. That more than makes up for the higher upfront cost over the lifetime of the vehicle, with cars you can go buy right now, today.

And that doesn't even take into account the superior UX.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#52

How could the math possibly work out on this? If a gallon of gas holds 33.70 kWh of energy, and you can get cheap electricity for $0.1/kWh, you're looking at $3.37/gallon if you have a magical process that converts with 100% efficiency. Even if you hit your efficiency goal, which would be impressive, who is paying $7/gallon for gas? Just buy an electric car. This can only possibly be useful when all of the oil is gon…

At industrial scales, you can buy electricity much cheaper than $0.1/kWh if you locate your facility in the right place. For example, hydroelectric power near a large dam can cost as little as $0.02 to $0.05/kWh.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#53
post #15

This is really cool, I have a two questions the last one maybe a bit sillier than the first: - I'm not a chemist, maybe you said this implicitly, but roughly at what rate would this capture a kilogram of carbon? - Why did you choose the name 'Prometheus' the titan who created man, gave us fire, and as punishment for the latter part, had his liver eaten out by a vulture every day for eternity?

First question - each ton of CO2 captured is equivalent to approx. 113 gallons of renewable gasoline. If we replace all fossil gasoline in the US, for example, that's approx. 140 billion gallons, equivalent to approx. 1.2 Gigatons of CO2. You can more than double that for the world. If we include all liquid fuels (including heating), it's larger still. It's a hugely significant CO2 emissions reduction. Second questio…

I believe you misread the first question. It wasn't asking for the numbers on the conversion from CO2 to gasoline; it was asking about the rate at which you remove CO2 from the air.

What's the expected total removal per year in, say, your first, fifth, or tenth years of operation?

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is no waste. The only inputs are water, CO2, and electricity. The only outputs are fuel and oxygen.

What about the device itself, its lifetime, and the resources used to build it?

We expect a long lifetime (approx. 20 years or more), assuming modest maintenance costs. The capital is actually pretty inexpensive for a room temperature, unpressurized, electricity only system, so this helps mitigate longevity risks.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#55

Congratulations. I wish you the best.

Thanks!

How much of what you are doing is "behind closed doors / patented / patent pending"? If there was a list of materials needed to do this on a consumer level, I could see a lot of people wanting to play around with this as a hobby.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#57

Would you be willing to share vague details of your roadmap? Specifically; How many barrels of ready to burn gasoline are you outputting per day in 6 months? 1 year? 3 years? The fact that the general fuel is going to be sold and re-burned means this is at best carbon neutral, so from a cynical environmentalist point of view, what's the point? This can't help anyone unless you pump the synth-gas into the ground and s…

> The fact that the general fuel is going to be sold and re-burned means this is at best carbon neutral, so from a cynical environmentalist point of view, what's the point?

It's meant to replace a carbon-emitting process (burning gasoline made from fossil fuels) with a carbon-neutral process. The replacement process is not carbon-neutral.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#58

How could the math possibly work out on this? If a gallon of gas holds 33.70 kWh of energy, and you can get cheap electricity for $0.1/kWh, you're looking at $3.37/gallon if you have a magical process that converts with 100% efficiency. Even if you hit your efficiency goal, which would be impressive, who is paying $7/gallon for gas? Just buy an electric car. This can only possibly be useful when all of the oil is gon…

Don't skate to where the puck is, skate to where the puck is going to be. Electric cars can't compete against gasoline cars until the price hits about $6/gallon. And considering that crude prices are relatively low, but gas in CA is almost $4/gallon in the Bay Area, it doesn't take much time for normal rates to hit $6/gallon in the next 10 years or so. At that price, it becomes more economic and that's the time frame…

> gas in CA is almost $4/gallon in the Bay Area

And the national average (today) is $2.95, you might as well compare Hawaii and Alaska which are also economic islands.

>it doesn't take much time for normal rates to hit $6/gallon in the next 10 years or so.

The national average 10 years ago was $2.45, which is $2.90 accounting for inflation. The only way gas hits $6 is if we have a second Great Inflation or massive political changes in the United States and abroad.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#59

How could the math possibly work out on this? If a gallon of gas holds 33.70 kWh of energy, and you can get cheap electricity for $0.1/kWh, you're looking at $3.37/gallon if you have a magical process that converts with 100% efficiency. Even if you hit your efficiency goal, which would be impressive, who is paying $7/gallon for gas? Just buy an electric car. This can only possibly be useful when all of the oil is gon…

We expect a gallon of gasoline to require approx. 60 kWh of electrical energy. If the price of that electricity is below 5 cents, the economics work. If the price is lower, the efficiency of the conversion could also be lower if that optimized other costs (like capital). Electricity is routinely below 5 cents now at utility scale (wholesale), which is where we will want to be.

Ah, that certainly explains it. I'm still highly skeptical of how widespread this will ever be, since electric cars will become even more compelling as electricity costs decrease, but you've convinced me to not dismiss this completely as impractical. Thanks for the context.

Re: Launch HN: Prometheus (YC W19) – Remove CO2 from Air and Turn It into Gasoline

#60

Would you be willing to share vague details of your roadmap? Specifically; How many barrels of ready to burn gasoline are you outputting per day in 6 months? 1 year? 3 years? The fact that the general fuel is going to be sold and re-burned means this is at best carbon neutral, so from a cynical environmentalist point of view, what's the point? This can't help anyone unless you pump the synth-gas into the ground and s…

If we replace fossil gasoline with renewable gasoline, that reduces CO2 emissions. Our gasoline will be zero carbon, and may actually be certified as slightly negative, as we will not be emitting CO2 from drilling and refining as fossil fuels do. If we replace all liquid fuels now made from oil with fuels made from air mining of CO2, it could reduce emissions by approx. 10 gigatons per year. That is huge.

The membrane will definitely replace distillation in a number of industries, but the most exiting thing to do with it is to replace fossil transportation fuel with renewable fuel.

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