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Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

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Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#101
post #86
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just ask Trendon Shavers, Charlie Shrem, or Ross Ulbricht.

Don’t ask Ross Ulbricht. You’ll have to ask the DEA agents who embezzled money while making unsubstantiated accusations of murder for hire. https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2016/08/stealing-bitcoin...

The accusations were quite substantiated, his defense was about as laughable as 'my baby brother did it'.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#102
post #7

I think the news was out for some time and only now the rumor started to confirm. Tether is trading at exactly $1/$1 on Kraken. It had touched $0.85/$1 on October 2018 though. It was discounted for the last quarter of the last year. The discount lasted for several months suggesting lack of liquidity and possibly lack of funds. The Tether discount suddenly disappeared. And suddenly a discount/premium appeared on Bitfi…

>I think the price is more relevant than the news.

Only true if the price is pure market driven, not manipulated by a powerful player. Like say...idk Bitfinex.

>I personally hold a significant amount of USDT/Finex Dollars and not worried.

I'd be panicking, but to each their own

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#103
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The lesson will never be learned. The Ponzi scheme is as old as money itself. It’s never gone away. The one thing that crypto currency truly has revolutionized is the Ponzi scheme. You can do it any number of ways, add any number of twists, and do it over and over again. With crypto you don’t even have to be subtle. When the pot gets big enough you just outright steal it. It’s possible that Satoshi himself will try t…

> It’s possible that Satoshi himself will try to liquidate his stake at some point, crashing BTC itself and make off with a cool billion. Who knows. That might have been the plan all along. Not quite possible with the auditing capabilities Bitcoin provides. The moment any amount from those accounts is moved, Bitcoin would probably tank.

I wonder what the maximum leverage you could short with if you had access to those coins...

Break the private key, do a 30x leverage short and move the coins!

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#104
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The lesson will never be learned. The Ponzi scheme is as old as money itself. It’s never gone away. The one thing that crypto currency truly has revolutionized is the Ponzi scheme. You can do it any number of ways, add any number of twists, and do it over and over again. With crypto you don’t even have to be subtle. When the pot gets big enough you just outright steal it. It’s possible that Satoshi himself will try t…

> It’s possible that Satoshi himself will try to liquidate his stake at some point, crashing BTC itself and make off with a cool billion. Who knows. That might have been the plan all along. Not quite possible with the auditing capabilities Bitcoin provides. The moment any amount from those accounts is moved, Bitcoin would probably tank.

There is no auditing whether he sold all his keys in the physical world. They may never have "transacted" on the blockchain, but that does not mean he never just gave away the ability to transact them physically.

He may also have taken out a loan from a traditional financial institution and used them as collateral.

There is a very real possibility that they are in fact owned by someone else now, who has made the same exact calculation you have - they are a valuable asset that has exactly zero liquidity.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#105

Everyone agree's that tether should have a 1-to-1 backing. The delicious irony in it all is that the money in your bank is backed by about $0.10 for every dollar they owe savers. I hope for the day when people expect the same of the banking system that underpins the whole economy.

You fail to understand how bank reserves work. > your bank is backed by about $0.10 for every dollar they owe savers. And the bank has the other $0.90 in long-term assets. While no bank can survive every depositor wanting every dollar out of their chequing account on the same day, there is something auditable backing each dollar of deposit.

Not to mention the insurance for that $0.90, should those long-term assets go caput.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#106
post #97

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You may remember the implosion of mtgox, and people buying mtgox ‘dollars’ at a discount. There’s always a greater fool, apparently.

Wait, what's so foolish about buying debts for a discount? There's an entire industry (collections) devoted to that. Sure, that time they lost, but hindsight is 20/20.

Mt. Gox bankruptcy claims proceedings are marching along slowly, so I wouldn't say that they've lost just yet.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#107
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's a huge difference: Yes, the bank only holds $0.10 in cash, but at least in the US, the F.D.I.C. backs up every dollar in your bank account up to $250,000. That's a major reason the reserve banking system functions. If there were an F.D.I.C. for tether then I'm sure people would have different expectations (and likewise, if there were no F.D.I.C. for the US banking system).

I can only imagine what would happen to the value of that USD were the FDIC invoked.

FDIC insurance has been invoked many times in its history, including over 14 billion in payments over the last decade.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#108
post #76

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It’s possible that Satoshi himself will try to liquidate his stake at some point, crashing BTC itself and make off with a cool billion. Who knows. That might have been the plan all along. Not quite possible with the auditing capabilities Bitcoin provides. The moment any amount from those accounts is moved, Bitcoin would probably tank.

There is no auditing whether he sold all his keys in the physical world. They may never have "transacted" on the blockchain, but that does not mean he never just gave away the ability to transact them physically. He may also have taken out a loan from a traditional financial institution and used them as collateral. There is a very real possibility that they are in fact owned by someone else now, who has made the same…

> There is no auditing whether he sold all his keys in the physical world.

Are you trying to claim that someone would buy Satoshi's coins without moving them to a wallet they control?

In this scenario, the person would have 'purchased' the coins with precisely zero assurance that Satoshi wouldn't just move them to a new address at any point, as he/she/they still have the private keys.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#109
post #96
post #8

It's almost like unregulated financial institutions have a tendency to screw over their customers... No one could have predicted this in the consistently solvent, regulated, and trustworthy cryptocurrency market. It's too bad bitfinex got ripped off by a surely unrelated entity. /s Have we learned our lesson yet?

What's the lesson? That cryptocurrencies have different risks than other kinds of financial technologies? I think that is pretty commonly understood already.

Among the crypto currency enthusiasts, sure. But each wild bull ride there are new investors/victims who are following the headlines, not the industry.

Re: Crypto Market Roiled by New Allegations Against Tether, Bitfinex

#110
post #7

I think the news was out for some time and only now the rumor started to confirm. Tether is trading at exactly $1/$1 on Kraken. It had touched $0.85/$1 on October 2018 though. It was discounted for the last quarter of the last year. The discount lasted for several months suggesting lack of liquidity and possibly lack of funds. The Tether discount suddenly disappeared. And suddenly a discount/premium appeared on Bitfi…

I imagine that bitfinex/tether is liquidating reserves to hold the peg. They can keep it pegged until they run out of money and then not only is tether worthless but so are all your coins on their exchange (and probably most other exchanges that use tether). That’s how bank runs work.

Lessons learned from sovereign debt crises: don't defend the peg. Let it float now, it will hurt more if you defend it all the way to insolvency. Devaluation is better than forced debt restructuring or full bankruptcy.

Oh well, we'll see it all again.

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