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Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

nytimes.com

381–390 of 778 posts

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#381
post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm still trying to figure out the root cause. Is it because, production is not keeping up to demand? Or is it because demand is dying? So far it seems former, not later. Some analysts are saying random things like impact of tax credit and competition coming in to EV market. I still don't see anything close to Tesla offering in EV space, at least in US. They really need to focus on offering EV at $18K price point wit…

EV are still too expensive and Tesla ridiculously so. That’s not a problem if you can’t keep up with demand, but competition creeps up. Why would you buy a Tesla when you can buy a Hyundai Kona for a lot less? We need better leadership though. I live in Denmark where EVs aren’t very widespread because of taxes. In Norway more than half of new vehicles sold are EV. Norway has more money than us, but they didn’t really…

"Why would you buy a Tesla when you can buy a Hyundai Kona for a lot less?"

Lol, is this a serious question?

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#382
post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm still trying to figure out the root cause. Is it because, production is not keeping up to demand? Or is it because demand is dying? So far it seems former, not later. Some analysts are saying random things like impact of tax credit and competition coming in to EV market. I still don't see anything close to Tesla offering in EV space, at least in US. They really need to focus on offering EV at $18K price point wit…

EV are still too expensive and Tesla ridiculously so. That’s not a problem if you can’t keep up with demand, but competition creeps up. Why would you buy a Tesla when you can buy a Hyundai Kona for a lot less? We need better leadership though. I live in Denmark where EVs aren’t very widespread because of taxes. In Norway more than half of new vehicles sold are EV. Norway has more money than us, but they didn’t really…

"Why would you buy a Tesla when you can buy a Hyundai Kona for a lot less?"

Sorry, but this is just a completely dumb question/statement. People buy 5x the number of Teslas than Konas because they Teslas are much, much more delightful.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#383

Well, I guess that explains the Autonomy Day [1] event from just two days ago where they presented themselves as the Pack Leader, when everyone else knows it's Waymo (by far). Quoting user RivieraKid [2]: Take a moment and think about why are they doing this event now. Elon is setting a stage for a capital raise, he's pitching the autonomy narrative after the Model 3 cash cow narrative failed. They're trying to convi…

I'm very very skeptical that Waymo is far ahead, if ahead at all.

Tesla has already an impressive product on the road that is constantly improving.

Waymo could (likely) go the way of vaporware for all we know.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#384
post #331

Earlier quoted context omitted.

First US car company in 60 years, electric at that. Best crash test ratings. Highest owner satisfaction. First US-owned factory in China. Built in about 6 months. Ability and willingness to use OTA updates. Willingness and ability to put auto-pilot on the road for consumers. Ridiculous performance. Better chip than Nvidia. Top 2 auto battery supplier. Best selling lux car in US (ICE or EV). Dramatically better batter…

> Plausible FSD story. No. > Camera-based autonomy. That's among the reasons the former isn't true. > $35k price point That PR point has largely been abandoned. I mean, nominally they’ll still sell it to you if you jump through hoops, but they’ve deliberately made it less accessible because, as much as it was an important PR point, it was never really viable.

This comment is the very definition of head in the sand lol.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#385
post #7

It was fairly obvious that this was going to happen when they announced their "Investor Autonomy Day" a couple of days before earnings. Get people thinking about the long term rather than this quarter.

If anyone with money believed a word of what Elon mumbled on Autonomy Day the stock would have moved up. (It didn’t)

The stock didn't move down at all after the (negative?) earnings call either.

Tesla is currently priced correctly.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#387
post #365

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I suspect it would be a total loss. But rationally it seems like a really unlikely thing to happen. Tesla just made a $920 million payment in March, they have a 20% gross margin, and have $2.2B cash on hand. Sure they may have to slow their growth, or take out another loan, but Tesla is hardly at the brink of bankruptcy. There are some serious competitors targeting the model S and X coming, although none I've heard c…

> But the model 3/Y competition in the $40k to $60k range is looking significantly more sparse, especially with similar range. E-tron Q4?

E-tron is $74,800 and a range of 204 miles.

Model Y starts at $48k and has a range of 300 miles.

Doesn't seem like a fair comparison, does it?

A fairer comparison would be the model S. The Model S base is $78,000 ($3,200 more), but has a range of 285 miles (1.4x the Audi) and 0-60 in 4.0 seconds instead of 5.5 seconds for the Audi.

The biggest issue is the Audi seems to have very poor efficiency. So you need a model S size battery (95kw) to compete with the model Y (75 kwh or so). Or you compete with the Tesla model S with a 100 kwh battery and end up with only 71% of the range.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#388

I see this trend continuing for Tesla. Aside from Musk's leadership, which is very polarizing, I don't see their cars as being very compelling compared to the upcoming offerings of Audi and Porsche. Tesla isn't really competing against Ford/Chevy/Honda/Toyota. Instead they are competing against BMW/Mercedes/Porsche/Audi. By comparison Teslas seems like a toy compared to those other brands so I will gladly wait and gi…

I assume you've never test driven or owned a Tesla.

Once you do, you'll see the light!

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#389
post #190

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apply bankruptcy and sell the assets for cheap... Id imagine many would want to pick up the remains...

Specifically what remains? They are basically the only OEM pushing self driving without lidar. Their manufacturing facilities are childish compared to other large automakers. Solar City, powerwall, and the solar roof are huge money losers and barely make a dent in the P&L statement. Maybe just the brand name? But will the brand have the cache once it suffers bankruptcy? Maybe it will.

First US car company in 60 years, electric at that. Best crash test ratings. Highest owner satisfaction. First US-owned factory in China. Built in about 6 months. Ability and willingness to use OTA updates. Willingness and ability to put auto-pilot on the road for consumers. Ridiculous performance. Better chip than Nvidia. Top 2 auto battery supplier. Best selling lux car in US (ICE or EV). Dramatically better battery efficiency. No dealerships. Online ordering. Plausible FSD story. Camera-based autonomy. $35k price point.

Re: Tesla Posts Big Quarterly Loss as Its Electric-Car Sales Lag

#390

Seasonal 4th to 1st quarter may have been a loss but these numbers stand out to me as being a bit more important. Cars sold: Q1 2019: 63,000 Q1 2018: 29,980 Q1 2017: 25,000 Q1 2016: 14,820 Q1 2015: 10,045 Q1 2014: 6,457 Q1 2013: 4,900 Q1 2012: 0 Revenue Q1 2019: $4.5 billion Q1 2018: $3.4 billion Q1 2017: $2.7 billion Q1 2016: $1.6 billion Q1 2015: $1.1 billion Q1 2014: $713 million Q1 2013: $562 million Q1 2012: $30…

Indeed - >100% growth in YOY Q1 deliveries is actually rather impressive, however you skin it - biggest leap they’ve seen ever.

I find quarterly reporting and the credence it’s given absolutely absurd - particularly when dealing with businesses that are scaling rapidly and treading novel territory.

What happened to the decade+ holds of traditional retail investors? Why are we so obsessed with turning investments around in X months?

You hear all of these “if I’d bought IBM stock in 1956” stories - so why does the short term take such precedence?

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