I figure we’re going to be reading articles similar to this about blockchain in a couple of years.
I think Bitcoin and Ethereum will be around longer than Hacker News.
IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
51–60 of 127 posts
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#52To me, the main mistake was the series of commercials giving the strong impression that IBM already had this incredible Artificial General Intelligence that was indistinguishable from a highly intelligent human and was solving a myriad of difficult practical problems better than any expert. I suspect that most who were well-versed in AI felt the ads were disingenuous from the start. I know I did. I think the marketin…
To me it seemed obviously overhyped. Having worked in the machine learning/AI field back in the 90s all the claimed capabilities of Watson didn't seem credible.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#53I was recently diagnosed with neuroendocrine cancer, which my PCP had been misdiagnosed for 10 years as IBS. This is more the norm than the exception for people with this type of cancer, Steve Jobs included. It's a perfect example of where AI can likely diagnosis what my PCP could not. AI tools need to find cancer problems to solve which are more suited to their capabilities. e.g. does anybody know of a company worki…
I'm am sorry to hear that. I don't know about companies, but cancer screening with machine learning is a very active topic in academia at least. Other topics include outcome prediction, and analysis of treatment alternatives.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#54To me, the main mistake was the series of commercials giving the strong impression that IBM already had this incredible Artificial General Intelligence that was indistinguishable from a highly intelligent human and was solving a myriad of difficult practical problems better than any expert. I suspect that most who were well-versed in AI felt the ads were disingenuous from the start. I know I did. I think the marketin…
In my opinion you don't even need to be an expert. - if you're a generally competent, learned person - and the new product feels like a giant leap from anything that exists already - it's likely not all it claims to be.
I've always had a 20% threshold
If anyone is promising a 20% or greater improvement over the current leaders, I immediately file it away as a scam until I see extraordinary proof.
Other than some very immature industries, even 20% leaps don't happen without earth shattering once-in-a-generation breakthroughs.
Some call me a pessimist, and occasionally I'm unfairly dismissive of new technologies. But for every one I get wrong, I get 99 others correct.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#55[from wikipedia] Thomson Reuters sold Thomson Healthcare to Veritas Capital for US$1.25 billion On June 6, 2012. The new company, Truven Health Analytics, became an independent organization solely focused on healthcare. Truven is a portmanteau of the words "trusted" and "proven". IBM Corporation acquired Truven on February 18, 2016, and merged with IBM's Watson Health unit.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#56The best reference about Watson last year was on reddit, "Watson is a brand, not a "thing". It covers any technologies that IBM sells in the cognitive space. They are further broken up into the business areas." All hype and marketing built on open source tools, all while AWS, Google, and Azure build out bigger cloud offerings. As OP mentioned, they used to be a great company.
Which makes sense if they over-promise and under-deliver. IBM have their reputation and brand recognition to uphold after all (haha only serious).
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#57I figure we’re going to be reading articles similar to this about blockchain in a couple of years.
The fact Bitcoin is worth $90 billion and has survived a decade of endless criticism, means blockchain is successful beyond anyone's wildest dreams a decade ago. I would say Bitcoin and Ethereum have been way more successful than Watson has.
People kept investing with Bernie Madoff for decades too, because his investments kept giving returns. People will keep shoveling money into Bitcoin as long as its value keeps swinging wildly. That's hardly a measure of success.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#58At one point, there was an API available via the IBM Cloud that you could use in order to ask Watson questions. I've rarely been that underwhelmed.
After using that, I realized that Watson was mostly a gimmick.
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#59At one point, there was an API available via the IBM Cloud that you could use in order to ask Watson questions. I've rarely been that underwhelmed. After using that, I realized that Watson was mostly a gimmick.
It’s called Bluemix - it’s hilarously underwhelming
Re: IBM Watson Overpromised and Underdelivered on AI Health Care
#60Earlier quoted context omitted.
The fact Bitcoin is worth $90 billion and has survived a decade of endless criticism, means blockchain is successful beyond anyone's wildest dreams a decade ago. I would say Bitcoin and Ethereum have been way more successful than Watson has.
People kept investing with Bernie Madoff for decades too, because his investments kept giving returns. People will keep shoveling money into Bitcoin as long as its value keeps swinging wildly. That's hardly a measure of success.
How much will Bitcoin have to be worth, and for how long, to make it successful in your eyes? Or is the entire idea of a digital asset with intrinsic value impossible to you?