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Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

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Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#11

Apparently, they have 10,000 cars in transit to customers right now as part of their international roll-out. Still came in worse than the worst analyst estimates. US deliveries of the M3 also tanked in January and February after a record December. March saw an uptick, but it's still far below the December number. But this has likely to do with the end of the subsidies.

Well, they can only make so many cars. If 10000 are in transit, then that's 10000 they can't book as sold. It is interesting though that they can't count these as sales, as many companies do many things with deferring sales, I would think if they are in transit, they are (sold). If they are sending 10k cars there without them actually being sold, that would be something else entirely. Perhaps general acceptable accounting rules don't allow for booking sales before delivery, but I'd find that crazy to be the case.

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#12
post #8

This figure makes me wonder how other car manufacturers are able to generate demand. Honda alone sells 1m+ cars per year in the US. For all the news, Tesla will likely make 400k deliveries during entire year around the world.

This is about deliveries, not demand. They still have a large backlog of orders, and they haven't even entered the European market yet.

is there any evidence they still have a backlog?? Seems like the only backlog left is countries they just began delivering to or haven't started deliveries there yet..no one knows how big that backlog is

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#14
post #8

This figure makes me wonder how other car manufacturers are able to generate demand. Honda alone sells 1m+ cars per year in the US. For all the news, Tesla will likely make 400k deliveries during entire year around the world.

Lower prices? Cars geared toward the Everyman.

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#15
post #11

Apparently, they have 10,000 cars in transit to customers right now as part of their international roll-out. Still came in worse than the worst analyst estimates. US deliveries of the M3 also tanked in January and February after a record December. March saw an uptick, but it's still far below the December number. But this has likely to do with the end of the subsidies.

Well, they can only make so many cars. If 10000 are in transit, then that's 10000 they can't book as sold. It is interesting though that they can't count these as sales, as many companies do many things with deferring sales, I would think if they are in transit, they are (sold). If they are sending 10k cars there without them actually being sold, that would be something else entirely. Perhaps general acceptable accou…

From the press release (at: http://ir.tesla.com/news-releases/news-release-details/tesla...):

"We count a produced but undelivered vehicle to be in transit if the related customer has placed an order or paid the full purchase price for such vehicle."

It sounds like it is count as sold, but not delivered. Production was 77100 which leaves about 3500 cars as both unsold and undelivered.

That is only about half a week of production, but at the same time it implies softness in overall demand compared to the past.

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#16
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is about deliveries, not demand. They still have a large backlog of orders, and they haven't even entered the European market yet.

is there any evidence they still have a backlog?? Seems like the only backlog left is countries they just began delivering to or haven't started deliveries there yet..no one knows how big that backlog is

No, there is no evidence of a backlog, outside of certain trims. The model 3 SR still has a backlog, by virtue of not having been made yet.

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#17
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is about deliveries, not demand. They still have a large backlog of orders, and they haven't even entered the European market yet.

is there any evidence they still have a backlog?? Seems like the only backlog left is countries they just began delivering to or haven't started deliveries there yet..no one knows how big that backlog is

I’m just working from previous articles which said that a large percentage of their orders were at the lower price point, which has only opened up recently.

Re: Tesla’s First-Quarter Deliveries Plummet

#18
post #8

This figure makes me wonder how other car manufacturers are able to generate demand. Honda alone sells 1m+ cars per year in the US. For all the news, Tesla will likely make 400k deliveries during entire year around the world.

Tesla's market is extremely niche. Luxury car to an uneducated car buyer.

Car enthusiasts won't get a Tesla because Tesla's ARE inferior to the competition at that price point.

You don't buy a Tesla because you want your car to work for 2 years without breaking, you buy a Tesla to show friends.

I know luxury Ford products sold 20k/yr, and those were some seriously high end SUVs. Same price point.

I cannot see how Teala is sustainable.

Edit, the reliability problems aren't unique to Tesla, any new car has them. I don't understand why people straight lie about it not having reliability issues.

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