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YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

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221–230 of 313 posts

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#221

Where are they getting the engine? You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered. People have been trying to build small, cheap jet engi…

> But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours

I think it's slightly more correct to say that they have a service interval measured in hours. The jetcat ones require service every 25h of use, but there are other companies that require service less frequently, although the highest interval I found is 100h.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#222

Where are they getting the engine? You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered. People have been trying to build small, cheap jet engi…

> It doesn't move his clothing

It doesn't even seem to move the clothing of the guy that ducks behind him around 2:30.

There are a few paint flakes that come off and blow around a bit at 2:50 or so.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#223

Earlier quoted context omitted.

To me one implication of a moonshot is that you're aiming to hit a small target, and a miss is a miss no matter how close you get. You made "end[ing] human hunger for a few hundred million people" your goal, but it isn't the case that anything short of that equals complete failure. Even if you only got a fraction of the way that'd be a massive success in my view.

Totally, and it that sense not sure if we would count. There probably isn't much of a sustainable space in below a few hundred k though.

Here’s a quick question, what makes you think it’s the lack of technology that is the cause for poor farming yields? What makes you think it’s not due to property rights and rule of law?

If you went 50 years in to the future and came back with X widget for farming and just dropped it in random place in South Sudan or Niger, I don’t think they would just become farming power houses.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#224

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed, this seems like a huge problem and this > The startup’s most pertinent problem is creating the autonomous stabilization technologies that will make flying the Speeder effortless and safe. looks like a smokescreen for marketing to the tech crowd. Everyone is going to believe they can solve the stabilisation problem: that's "just software" and we see demos of robots solving stabilisation problems all the time.…

If that "most pertinent problem" is tech savvy investor/journalist bait... it's genius. I read that and thought "well that's probably solveable." OTOH... In the context of a moonshot, maybe the non-existence of an affordable & appropriate engine is ok. Tesla started with an unaffordable battery, and built a really expensive car with it. The car was good though, compared to other cars in the sheiks & princes price ran…

The military market for tiny turbine engines has been serious for decades; cruise missiles use them. I really do not believe that a plucky SV attitude towards engineering and VC funding is going to waltz into this domain and shock the world. But I definitely believe that SV self-confident arrogance would lead some to convince themselves otherwise.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#225
I thought that YC was only interested in stuff that "scales"? This is just a toy for wealthy type-A thrill-seekers. How big of a market is that?

Seems sort of like a premium jet-ski that flies, but is even louder and more annoying, and has far more property damage potential in addition to being capable of producing even more gruesome accident scenes than crotchrocket motorbikes.

I think they should go for it, but I expect they'll be as popular as Bugatti Veyrons.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#226

Where are they getting the engine? You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered. People have been trying to build small, cheap jet engi…

The sound, I think, is coming from a large headset like the ones prominently worn by the ground crew. I don't think it's the pilot's headset, as it does diminish a bit at the greatest range, and I would expect some radio talk between the pilot and the crew. I suspect they are noise-canceling headsets, as there is something about how it sounds that reminds me of vacuuming with a noise-canceling headset on. Small has b…

I'm a bit suspicious of the camera shake when it's zoomed in before takeoff. I don't have video editing software available to me at this moment, but it would be interesting to track a few points and see if the path they trace out is actually random or if it looks artificial. Artificial camera shake is easy to spot this way if the VFX specialist was careless.

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#227

Where are they getting the engine? You can get model aircraft jet engines with enough power for this.[1] Various human-carrying craft have been built that way, such as the Zapata Flyboard.[2] But the engines have a lifespan measured in hours and not enough reliability for carrying humans. That's why all the demo videos of these things are over water, or tethered. People have been trying to build small, cheap jet engi…

I guess, these might be the engines: https://pbs.cz/en/our-business/aerospace/aircraftgines/jetgi...

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#228
post #211

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> [small jet engines, price, piston engines for GA] Another important reason is fuel consumption. Jet engines in general are extremely thirsty, AFAIK the only reason they became (unexpectedly!) competitive with piston engines is that they allow the planes to fly so much higher where the air is thinner. In addition, small turbines are even less efficient than big ones.

And all GA jet engines now are turbofans with high bypass ratios. Not something you can do at small scale. Would have guessed the relative speed they operate at also plays a role. And wouldn't this require quick changes in thrust? Not sure that heavy big diameter fans could do that.

Are GA turbofans really more common than GA turboprops?

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#229
post #21
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Motorcycles can already do that due to the wonders of lane splitting. Wouldn’t you need a pilot’s license for this? If it only flies so low that you don’t, isn’t it then suuuuper dangerous? I say the dangerous part as a former Boosted Board afficionado and current motorcycle rider

Id guess it would be less dangerous than driving than say, a turbo busa, given you have less things to crash into!

Don’t sell it short! You can crash this into everything you can crash a motorcycle into PLUS everything in the sky!

Re: YC's latest moonshot bet is a startup building a $380K “flying motorcycle”

#230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It seems to me that if you want to do this right, you ought ot be thinking about how you can bootstrap the infrastructure and industry to produce the neccesary products and agricultural inputs locally. Also, can you make it sustainable. AFAIK, industrial farming is destroying soil quality in nations that use it, and some farmers are looking at returning back to techniques like crop rotation...

The good news is our farmers are way too poor to put too much fertilizer/inputs into their fields, they're generally applying fertilizer with a spoon seed by seed. To be honest, we're not going to tell farmers that they should pay 4x more to produce their inputs locally. These are some of the poorest people in the world, telling them they should continue to have a hunger season every year because of long term concern…

Good to know you're thinking about these kind of things :) I think your definitely trying to do a good thing :)
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