WebAssembly. If it usurps javascript, and there is every reason to believe that it will, then it will revolutionise the web.
Does that need ten more years? I’ve been hearing about it for so long now. What’s taking so long?
Old browsers need to die.
Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
51–60 of 70 posts
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#52For the first time in history, there now exists a substrate upon which AGI can manifest. Almost immediately after it was created, machine learning cropped up. Machine learning wasn’t new, it just never had the computational substrate it needed to produce the amazing results it’s become known for. Since ML was already established, it was low hanging fruit and it’s no surprise to see it catch fire so to speak. As time…
>I am being completely honest when I say that this is the sole reason why I have not decided to have children and when I implore anyone who reads this to not bring anyone into the world. The future will be very bleak for future generations. If everyone listened to you, there would be no future generations. Have you thought this through? "Let's end the human race, because something bad might happen" doesn't exactly so…
Yes I actually have. As I have explained, the human race will come to a sad end because of ai. What is the point of creating more generations when ai is just around the corner? It was unpleasant enough for me to discover for myself the obvious truth of ai. Why should I subject another generation to the agony of slowly realizing that human kind is caught in an existential snare? And what right do we have to create new people who will very likely suffer through massive societal decline at the best? Have you thought any of this through?
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#53AI goes from niche to interesting. Or at least at the moment it's widespread with things like Alexia and Siri but not very good but should get better.
We are at an interesting point hardware wise. You can make an argument that the approx processing power to be equivalent to a human is around 100 TFlops (https://jetpress.org/volume1/moravec.htm) and the cost of that drops about 10x every 5 years (https://aiimpacts.org/wikipedia-history-of-gflops-costs/) and is now of the order of $10k (https://fudzilla.com/news/graphics/47726-nvidia-unleashes-th...) which would make that about $1m ten years ago and $100 ten years in the future. Cheaper hardware may lead to a fair bit of innovation.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#54Last year, I correctly predicted Jeff Bezos will divorce due to extra-marital affair.
Here are my prediction for the next 5-10 years.
1. Autonomous cars will be common, and they will have hive minds as AI progresses. 2. Governments around the world will look different, as AI will supplant politicians as representatives (probably in late decade). 3. Banking systems will crash and bartering will occur in the first half of the decade. It will change to adapt usage of cryptocurrency. 4. Blockchain will be part of the internet infrastructure. AI personas will exist as butlers for people, these personas are actual replica of their personalities. 5. Robotics will replace most jobs such as waiters and cashiers. Some of these robots will be monitored or operated by one or two persons. That job will require higher tech education/degrees.
(I have 5 more but it's not related to tech, lol).
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#55Blade runners will be a thing. In Burroughs sense https://imgur.com/a/GnICH3U
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#56longer timescale atomistic molecular simulations to predict protein folds.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#57Thawing permafrost releases significantly more methane than expected and it supercharges the acceleration of climate change, and the earth itself supplants humans as the primary source of Greenhouse gases.
Yes, I think a lot of people still aren't aware of this problem, which has been studied for many years now. Once the positive feedback loop takes hold it's game over.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#58There's already a budding anti-tech movement. People destroy robots. There is a mistrust between users and services. This is definitely not the answer HN would like, but this can grow into a full-blown anti-tech counter-culture where people don't use smart phones or laptops, and instead pickup less invasive devices like the lite phone 2, nokias, pay-as-you-go flip phones, etc. There's a large dissent towards office w…
I think you got a lot right here.
Don't get me wrong, I love my online banking as much as the next guy, but a lot of technology being produced has a very negative impact - look at social media.
Re: Ask HN: What is your prediction for next 10 years?
#59I will say ride sharing combined with EV tech.
I am not bullish on self-driving cars - I think that will take longer than people think (more than ten years to become mainstream).
I think EV combined with ride calling (Uber/Grab etc.) will grow considerably.