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Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

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Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#21
The Wisconsin Foxconn saga should teach us all to be highly skeptical of the claims that companies make when seeking these types of subsidies: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-02-06/inside-wi...

Analyses of the Amazon-NYC story should factor in the probability that the 25,000 promised jobs would never have fully materialized.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#22

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

Too many debates I read online today assume that the city was going to hand Amazon a $3b check. Some sort of misunderstanding of how taxes/tax subsidies work.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#23

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

> One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city

But they do and I don't think there's any escaping that. It's natural.

The problem comes with the various state and local governments wanting to subsidise things like this. They can offer things that perhaps objectively disadvantage the nation but help locally. Of course NY is go bend over backwards to get Amazon HQ2. All those people. All that income tax. And they're allowed to. That's the problem.

I think this is one of the things that the EU does fairly well. "State aid" is furiously complex and often outright illegal because allowing a single country to offer beneficial rate will usually mean the collective EU loses out on tax.

The famous example is Apple getting their corporation tax down to 0.005% in Ireland for putting all their EU business through their Irish books. Apple are allowed to do that. Ireland is not. Ireland were forced by the EU to collect a sensible rate retroactively.

Would it be a bad thing if local or state subsidies over (eg) $500k had to undergo federal scrutiny? If taxes were a little more balanced? It might mean that national planning could be more effective and encourage growth in states that cannot afford to subsidize (eg Louisiana, Mississippi).

I guess it's all for naught if you continue to allow lobbying, but every little helps, right?

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#24

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

NY made the offer to Amazon. If citizens of NY don't want their government to be able to bargain with a business or organization on an individual level then they should take that power away from government.

Something I haven't been able to find: did NYC actually withdraw anything promised for Amazon to back out, or did Amazon just get buyer's remorse after seeing the mixed reaction the city had?

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#25
post #22

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

Too many debates I read online today assume that the city was going to hand Amazon a $3b check. Some sort of misunderstanding of how taxes/tax subsidies work.

So, what you’re saying is that there’s not currently $3 billion saved that can now be invested in the schools, subways, etc.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#26

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

> One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city But they do and I don't think there's any escaping that. It's natural. The problem comes with the various state and local governments wanting to subsidise things like this. They can offer things that perhaps objectively disadvantage the nation but help locally. Of course NY is go bend over backwards to get Amazon HQ2. All those people. All that income…

>But they do and I don't think there's any escaping that. It's natural.

Lots of things are natural but part of the point of civilization and organized society is to control what is natural for the benefit of the population at large.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#27

The Wisconsin Foxconn saga should teach us all to be highly skeptical of the claims that companies make when seeking these types of subsidies: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2019-02-06/inside-wi... Analyses of the Amazon-NYC story should factor in the probability that the 25,000 promised jobs would never have fully materialized.

Amazon should not be compared to Foxconn just because they both happen to be topical. Amazon would need to hit targets to get the tax breaks. There is no way that committing fraud or completely misleading NYC would be worth the reputation hit Amazon would get all for just $3bn over ten years.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#28
post #25
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Too many debates I read online today assume that the city was going to hand Amazon a $3b check. Some sort of misunderstanding of how taxes/tax subsidies work.

So, what you’re saying is that there’s not currently $3 billion saved that can now be invested in the schools, subways, etc.

Not sure why you are being downvoted. That is exactly correct.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#29
post #2

I know in the technical sense, calling it Amazons rejection is accurate, but in reality this was a power play of a different kind from the people of the city. While I've not found a consistent stance among people I talked to almost everyone found it at least troubling how Amazon could wield this kind of power. The people who opposed it were vocal and diligent. I'd argue NYC rejected Amazon. More importantly, while ci…

> I'd argue NYC rejected Amazon. Over 60% of NYC residents who had an opinion supported Amazon. Over 70% of Long Island residents supported them. This is a victory for some well organised political activists but to cast it as a victory for NYC is a bit much. At the very least it makes NYC a less likely competitor to the Bay Area. https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/02/am... > The Bay Area: NYC is n…

    > Over 60% of NYC residents who had an opinion supported Amazon.
Well, now might be the time to remember that we don't have democracy by referendum. We elect representatives who listen and make decisions.

If enough of that 60% got up off their asses and did the legwork, the result might have been different. Instead all they had was just an "opinion". Sorry, but that's not enough.

Re: Did New York Lose Anything with Amazon’s Rejection? It’s Complicated

#30
post #22

Agree with the article. The economists can argue all day about how the equation will work out to be a net profit to NYC regardless of subsidies, but that seems short-sighted. Every decision can not be reduced to a profit/loss question. One company should not have bargaining power over an entire city, and they certainly should not get special economic treatment over others. It points to and perpetuates an unhealthy po…

Too many debates I read online today assume that the city was going to hand Amazon a $3b check. Some sort of misunderstanding of how taxes/tax subsidies work.

Yes, but the whole thing has a Karmic feel to it. Amazon used a very public HQ process which turned the process into a public game show. Since they used public pressure on local politicians as a bargaining chip to get a deal done, it feels fitting that it backfired this way.
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