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Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

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Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#51
post #4

Sounds like it's a bit more nuanced than the headline would suggest. More CO₂ only means more growth when CO₂ is the limiting factor on growth in the first place. Water, nutrients, and sunlight all play a role as well.

Is it ever the limiting factor though? I don't expect to see more animals if the O2 content of the air rises, except perhaps at high altitudes.

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#54

Study means little as it takes a specific forest in Canada. We should probably look at Amazonian forests, California's redwoods, India's Vindhyas and Namibia's rainforests too.

The basics of photosynthesis are more or less identical across green plants. All the cool evolutionary shit has been going on in preserving water and capturing light, pointing at CO2 probably not being a limiting factor.

Even the one neat CO2 trick I remember was really a hack to preserve water: some desert plants have a mechanism to store a day’s worth of CO2, allowing them to close pores and prevent evaporation.

Anyway, if you’re looking for a counterexample, I’d switch environments altogether and try again in bacteria, algae, and maybe grasses. While I doubt there would be much of a difference to trees, the first two are at least a few degrees further away from them in the deity’s org chart. All three categories also strike me as possibly being more relevant than trees in terms of total biomass, although that’s just a hunch that may be completely wrong.

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#55
post #50

Do plants in cities grow faster than plants in rural areas?

Cities tend to have more air pollution, but the difference in CO2 and O2 are neglible.

I once ran the numbers for O2, which is proportional, and it came out to roughly 10m of high in the atthmosphere. I. e. climb a tree in the countryside and you’re at O2 pressure similar to a city.

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#56

Study means little as it takes a specific forest in Canada. We should probably look at Amazonian forests, California's redwoods, India's Vindhyas and Namibia's rainforests too.

The basics of photosynthesis are more or less identical across green plants. All the cool evolutionary shit has been going on in preserving water and capturing light, pointing at CO2 probably not being a limiting factor. Even the one neat CO2 trick I remember was really a hack to preserve water: some desert plants have a mechanism to store a day’s worth of CO2, allowing them to close pores and prevent evaporation. An…

Different groups of green plants have significantly different photosynthetic cycles (notably C3, C4, and CAM) which respond very differently to changes in CO2 concentration. For C4 plants (about 3% of plants) the current CO2 concentration is at the point of saturation. C3 plants (85% of plant species, including most trees and grasses, and staple crops such as wheat) have rates of photosynthesis proportional to CO2 concentration to about 1000ppm or so. (The desert plants you mentioned use CAM cycle, but overall their contribution to CO2 consumption is small.)

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#58
post #39

What is the right amount of CO2 to have in the atmosphere scientifically speaking?

Depends on what your utility function is.

If it's "as close to the nature right before apes became humans", it's easy to answer (though hard to justify on any grounds other than quasi-religous belief in Gaia or something). If it's "planet with more plants and animals" it could be quite different, and any honest scientist would answer it "we don't really know, but here are some considerations..."

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#59
post #46
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not. It's a false claim from climate skeptics based on this study: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-04616-8 The study is about sub saharan Africa, mostly the African savanna, and the identified drivers are human causes (decline in burned area, changes in herbivores density). They explicitly exclude CO2 levels increase as a driver.

>Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70% of the observed greening trend, followed by nitrogen deposition (9%), climate change (8%) and land cover change (LCC) (4%). https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004

I acknowledge that CO2 contributes to fertilisation. I was refuting the claim about the saharan desert. Your new link doesn't seem to contradict me :

> CO2 fertilization effects explain most of the greening trends in the tropics

Re: Rising CO2 won't make trees grow more, study suggests

#60
post #59
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Factorial simulations with multiple global ecosystem models suggest that CO2 fertilization effects explain 70% of the observed greening trend, followed by nitrogen deposition (9%), climate change (8%) and land cover change (LCC) (4%). https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate3004

I acknowledge that CO2 contributes to fertilisation. I was refuting the claim about the saharan desert. Your new link doesn't seem to contradict me : > CO2 fertilization effects explain most of the greening trends in the tropics

Yes, I accept your correction. I accept that the Saharan desert may be greening primarily for other reasons. It seems to have been on a long term trend towards greening irrespective of the Industrial Revolution, and there are other human activities that are greening it. Although, your link does leave open the possibility that rising CO2 explains up to 22% of the greening in the Sahara.
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