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U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

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Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#91
post #64
post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The purpose of insurance is such that individuals share the burden to cover random, life-impacting events. From the consumer side, insurance is the purchase of a service to cover any a future debt falling under the category of the service, ie. an unforeseeable, unintentional act of damage by or to the consumer. I have no intention of burning down my house. I pay so that if it were to happen, I am not stuck paying off…

So how is that different from hedging your bets? Insurance is gambling. The servicer is the house and always wins (unless they screw up). That is not to say that gambling can't serve purposes other than entertainment, because it can. That doesn't make it not gambling.

Hedging is when you act to counteract [part of] a bet. So you're right, insurance is like hedging a bet. Which makes it roughly the opposite of betting, in most uses.

(If you "hedge" so far you're unbalanced in the other direction, you're not actually hedging your bets any more. "Hedge funds" aren't really for hedging if you use them as a primary investment.)

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#92
post #69
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lotteries are reverse solidarity: a lot of people pay to make 1 person rich. Lotteries are my prime example when I want to highlight that humans don't act rationally

A possible explanation for why one would participate in a lottery: What if $5 per week for the rest of their life doesn't impact an individual's standard of living, but $10 million would drastically improve it? Does it then make (more) sense to participate?

That depends on the probabilities involved. If you send me $5/week, I might decide to give you $10 million one day. I don't have $10 million and I don't think I would want to give it away if I got that kind of money, but it could happen. Are you interested? Do you think anyone would be?

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#93
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Australia, which has very relaxed gambling laws. I can walk into most pubs/bars in my city and find poker machines for example, as well as a sports/horse betting facility. There are huge social consequences to gambling. If you look at an entire society you have some people that will have problems with it and some people that won't. You may fall into the "won't" pile but surely society benefits if we prevent…

> surely society benefits if we prevent a large number of our members from falling prey to addiction. how does society benefit from prohibiting people from doing things that only hurt themselves?

But many people are part of a family or a group of people in some way, and gambling, alcohol, drugs “that only hurt themselves” tend to also hurt other people.

If we are going to be liberal, we also need to ensure society as a whole isn’t damaged in the process. War on drugs, as an example, have more or less destroyed other countries. Legalised drugs are probably better, but could be taxed and those with problems should be treated as they have a sickness. Gambling could be state run and be handled the same way.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While there is some amount of speculation, it represents a small portion of the entire financial space. If you sincerely hold this view, you should take a closer look at the purpose of financial instruments and markets.

I do not believe this counters the OP's point. While the core purpose of financial markets may be beneficial vehicles like hedging and price discovery, the fact that the pragmatic outcome of the law is to leave wall street as one of the only outlets for "legalized betting" cannot be ignored. There is a sister post that in trying to argue against this only seems to support the point. "a house that always wins"; as has…

> _don't stock pick_, because if you do, you're the dumb money handing it over to the HFT firms.

I think you mean _don't day trade_. HFT is a tax on changing your bets. If you pick a stock and stick with it for years, it's negligible.

It still might be good advice not to stock pick, but I don't think HFT is the reason.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#95
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Australia, which has very relaxed gambling laws. I can walk into most pubs/bars in my city and find poker machines for example, as well as a sports/horse betting facility. There are huge social consequences to gambling. If you look at an entire society you have some people that will have problems with it and some people that won't. You may fall into the "won't" pile but surely society benefits if we prevent…

> surely society benefits if we prevent a large number of our members from falling prey to addiction. how does society benefit from prohibiting people from doing things that only hurt themselves?

The problem is when they have dependents. As a society we have decided that it is a bridge too far to make people pass a test before they can procreate/own pets/etc... so we have to make sure that most of them will be able to maintain their responsibility via lots of bans and regulations.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#96
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I live in Australia, which has very relaxed gambling laws. I can walk into most pubs/bars in my city and find poker machines for example, as well as a sports/horse betting facility. There are huge social consequences to gambling. If you look at an entire society you have some people that will have problems with it and some people that won't. You may fall into the "won't" pile but surely society benefits if we prevent…

> surely society benefits if we prevent a large number of our members from falling prey to addiction. how does society benefit from prohibiting people from doing things that only hurt themselves?

A retired fireman pissing his life savings away into a slot machine hurts me, because now I have to either support him, or deal with him sleeping between the dumpsters, in my building's back alley.

Slot machines are a hack that exploits human psychology, to the loss of everyone, and the benefit of... Casino owners.

I understand that people want to gamble. I also think that it should be aggressively discouraged.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#97
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lotteries are reverse solidarity: a lot of people pay to make 1 person rich. Lotteries are my prime example when I want to highlight that humans don't act rationally

Lotteries are rational for the same reason that insurance is rational. Insurance on the face of it is irrational -- insurance companies make money, therefore buying insurance is paying a premium above what the expected reimbursement is over the lifetime of the insurance. It's a reverse lottery; the expected outlays exceed the expected returns. What you pay the premium for in insurance is to reduce downside variance.…

yes i agree with these sentiments but the statistics involved are vastly different. The probability of a life-altering event is a lot greater than winning a lottery.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#98
post #54

I've been thinking of running a periodic contest in my MMO game. The one who can camp out for at least a minimum time span, the furthest out in space will win a prize. (Space, in the as-yet unimplemented design, would get deadlier by the square of distance from home base at coordinate 0,0) Prize entrants have to pay something like $1 and completely eschew non-cosmetic in-game purchases. How would the law distinguish…

Which game?

This doesn't apply to any game yet, and may never. I would like to build it into my game. ARK at least used to have some sort of contest with large cash prizes, but I don't know the details.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#99

As it may be of interest, here's the related portion of the Wire Act: Whoever being engaged in the business of betting or wagering knowingly uses a wire communication facility for the transmission in interstate or foreign commerce of bets or wagers or information assisting in the placing of bets or wagers on any sporting event or contest, or for the transmission of a wire communication which entitles the recipient to…

By my most literal interpretation of this law my inlaws can now be arrested for our march madness bracket. This seems absurd that we've let even this level of ambiguity come to pass in a country that used to pride itself on personal liberty; especially when the law was paid for by clear corporate cronyism and special interests to benefit from its passage. Can anyone legally versed tell me why I shouldn't be this ince…

Part (b) of the same section adds this nugget:

> (b) Nothing in this section shall be construed to prevent the transmission in interstate or foreign commerce of information for use in news reporting of sporting events or contests, or for the transmission of information assisting in the placing of bets or wagers on a sporting event or contest from a State or foreign country where betting on that sporting event or contest is legal into a State or foreign country in which such betting is legal.

So if it is legal in your state to you to have casual betting (which is often the case, for example New York State excludes "casual" bookmaking [1]) and it is legal in the other state to have casual betting, then there's likely no conflict with the Federal law.

[1] https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/laws/PEN/225.00, General Definitions, 9. "Bookmaking" means advancing gambling activity by unlawfully accepting bets from members of the public as a business, rather than in a casual or personal fashion, upon the outcomes of future contingent events.

Re: U.S. Now Says All Online Gambling Illegal, Not Just Sports Bets

#100
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is insurance not gambling?

Insurance is the precise opposite of gambling; instead of concentrating reward, it distributes risk. When you buy insurance you're not betting that something bad will happen to you, you're hedging your otherwise implicit bet that something bad _won't_ happen to you.

You're just rephrasing it. How about:

I'm betting State Farm $12 a month my apartment will burn down before I die or move out.

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