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Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

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Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#111

Two points: 1) Jeff Bezos' quote on the fridge is the maximum of lame. This is the guy that treats his employees really well and cares about them more than about his personal wealth, right? 2) Avoid boring people. Why? Some people are just boring through no fault of their own. A series of misfortunes brought them into that stage. There are stuff to learn from boring people to and they deserve attention and love like…

Wasn't the Amazon factory thing a bit overblown? Or are the abuses actually on-going and not rare in number?

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#113
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Reading Factfulness got me to pay attention to per capita GDP growth rates over decades, as opposed to static comparisons at the moment. China blew my mind. Their per capita GDP has increased around 130x (in constant dollars) since 1960, from the $60/year range to over $8000/year. I now use it as a rebuttal to the stock assumption that Western-style democracy, capitalism, and individualism are the only route to prosp…

I think Russia itself could be used as another example of your rebuttable if you look a bit further back in time. At the end of the 19th century the country was still extremely agrarian - far less developed than the other great powers. But by the 1960s it had essentially made up for a century of lost time, at which point the famous stagnation set in. The classic line is something to the effect of 'capitalism is the b…

I'm no expert, but it seems to me we're seeing something like a phase change in economics... nations start illiterate and agrarian and are basically stable for a long time, then they go through this sudden (2-3 generations) shift to modernism, and then... they're stable again. America isn't fundamentally more prosperous now than it was a generation ago. Worse, what economic growth is happening seems to be efficiently concentrating at the top. And it's not just America. European nations are like this too, Japan is like this. Eventually, China will probably be like this.

What's the next phase shift? That's an interesting question. I'm hoping for the abolition of work.

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#114

> Avoid boring people. Corollary: people aren't always as boring as they may seem - digging in a little, asking questions - I often find what people are doing outside of work (which seems to be the default "interesting or not" metric) can be rather interesting.

I think you missed the point of that section, the meaning is "don't be boring, try to be interesting". But I agree with you (when assuming the other meaning).

yeah - I was thinking about the noun vs verb thing too - after my initial reaction & comment. hmmm.

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#115
post #27

Interesting read. Thank you very much for posting. I also read about a Hubble Extreme Deep Field image in December last year. I am still left flabbergasted that that image exposes only the space of the night sky covered by your thumbnail if you had to extend your arm straight in front of you. Just a thumbnail. And these are galaxies, not stars! Each one with hundreds of billions of stars.

On that point, the site hosted a low res version of it as far as I could tell. The actual image is hosted on NASA: https://www.nasa.gov/images/content/690958main_p1237a1.jpg

Thanks!

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#117
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What? This sounds profound but it's not true. Luxury goods are still status symbols, positions of authority are still status symbols. The universal status symbol is your net worth and anything that can display a high net worth is a status symbol. A Flexible schedule is not a status symbol. Let's be real. The people with the highest status in our world today aren't high status because of a flexible schedule. They are…

You are missing the point of that list, I think.. I believe it's a new way or thinking- people are realizing more and more that this old "american dream" where you somehow have millions and millions of dollars and 'power' is just silly. That's not the reality for almost all people. And it shouldn't be the goal! Maybe you work hard and get lucky? Ok great. But most people can work as hard as they want and still be jus…

Of course. Vying for high status is a cut throat game and not necessarily the path to happiness. Vying for status is, however, the only path to status and the fundamental symbols of status never change.

You can choose to live a simple life and be happy, or you can rule an empire and deal with the associated stresses. To each his own, but ALL humans recognize status, and almost all humans have an innate desire for more status.

The dilemma we face is whether we're willing to pay the price to attain said status. If status was offered without a cost most people will take it without hesitation.

You know plenty of people who have a lot of money but are miserable as fuck, so does that mean if you won the lottery for 10.5 million dollars you're not gonna take the prize because you learned your lesson from other "unhappy" rich people? Let's be real.

Status is status all you're saying is that more and more people are foregoing it for a less stressful life. This doesn't change the fact that we as humans still recognize status and that some part of us always will desire it to a certain extent.

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#118
post #110
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

As for the rest of your arguments... >Here you engage in the logical fallacy of 'whataboutery'. I'm not the one who started it. I simply brought up China's remarkable economic success, and you responded with a laundry list of "China Bad!" that mostly had nothing to do with economics. >If, instead of relying solely on GDP per capita, we factored human costs into our assessments Sauce for the goose. Rather than the abs…

> I simply brought up China's remarkable economic success, and you responded with a laundry list of "China Bad!" that mostly had nothing to do with economics.

You're right that I insufficiently explained what I meant with the links. I'll break down how I felt the list had economic relevance:

[0][1] ~55mm people died or were killed during the Great Leap Forward and the Chinese famine likely stemmed from it as well. Looking at a series of historical Chinese GDP data, you can see that these policies caused economic contraction of -26.6% at their peak. If evaluating the merits of economic systems, this is a clear failure.

[2] China uses its human rights abuses to further its economy. Consider the harvest and sale of human organs [`]. That's clearly economic activity. It's also mortifying. Ultimately though, I'd say it's relevant to the discussion.

[3] Industrial espionage has everything to do with economics. There's no doubt that China is the largest perpetrator of industrial espionage in the world. If you want to demonstrate that Western values aren't necessary to develop prosperity, it doesn't help to steal so much IP from the West.

[4] Chinese consumers do not trust many consumable Chinese goods. That's certainly related to economics. In fact, it indicates weakness in the Chinese regulatory regime. I'm not informed enough to posit why this is, but my understanding is that foreign consumable goods command a premium because of it.

[5] Science and technology are major drivers of economic growth. Fraudulent research undermines trust in the published body of research, making it more difficult to perform science in the future.

Hopefully you can see the economic relevance now. I'm happy to make lists of problems with Western economies, of which there are many, but I won't pretend China is a paragon of economic development.

> Sauce for the goose. Rather than the abstract theoretical exercise you presented, you should offer a measurable scale, so we can compare China to western nations. Otherwise, it's meaningless. Otherwise, I'll see your human costs and raise you a slavery.

The exercise was simply to demonstrate that an economy is more than just GDP. As for hard numbers, consider the 55mm killed in the Great Leap Forward. Although I had already mentioned slavery as an atrocity perpetrated by the US, I'll provide numbers. In 1860 there were 3.9mm slaves in the United States. Approximately 12.5mm slaves landed in the US during the slave trade [^]. Since we live in the present and not history, let me provide some current statistics. 1mm - 3mm people are currently in concentration camps in Xinjiang [!]. 70mm Falun Gong practitioners are prohibited from their beliefs [~].

Your argument still engages in whataboutism. In July you tweeted [#]:

> Whataboutism is a lazy and uninteresting argument. It’s what you use when you don’t like someone’s point, but don’t have a solid argument against it. If you’re using “But what about...?” as the basis of a rebuttal, check and make sure you’re not just being dumb.

And you are attempting to put words in my mouth here:

> If you'd stop thinking about why China is more evil than the west

I never stated that I believe China to be evil or western countries to be good. In fact, I consider China's economic development to be a phenomenal advancement for human welfare. However, that is not what's being discussed. We are considering whether China's prosperity could have occurred without the existence of Western values.

> A bad social structure eventually falls away and is replaced by a better one, and over the course of a couple of generations, the nation accelerates radically.

Ideally this is what happens. Economic growth models (like Solow) indicate that this is an expected outcome over time. However, there are no guarantees. Structural phenomena impact this quite a bit. Countries with better infrastructure, physical, legal, and otherwise, should enjoy higher rates of growth. Yet many developing countries have less developed infrastructure. This serves as an impediment to such economic convergence.

> seems to happen to nations regardless of their history, language, culture, government

This is obviously not true. Corruption appears to harm economic growth (most strongly in the medium term) [[`] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Organ_harvesting_from_Falun_Go...

[^] https://www.theroot.com/slavery-by-the-numbers-1790874492

[!] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Xinjiang_re-education_camps

[~] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falun_Gong

[#] https://twitter.com/davestagner/status/1021810579890159616

[https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1331677X.2016.11...

[>] https://panampost.com/marcelo-duclos/2018/04/14/in-1895-arge...

Re: Coolest Things I Learned in 2018

#119

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The bees would teach Thanos how stupid his idea was by surviving year after year, because cutting a population in half does almost nothing. This is one of the things that have irked me the most about the Avengers movies, they propagate his idea as somehow making any sense at all, when in fact it is doing a great disservice to the world by not teaching them about populations and use of resources. A reduction of the un…

They literally title him "The MAD Titan" because everyone agrees his plan is idiotic. I'm not sure it gets more obvious than that. That said, it made a lot more sense in the comics when he was doing it because he fell in love with Death herself.

Yes if they made him seem more crazy in the movie, I think that would have been a good tack. As is, it feels like we are supposed to take him seriously and he just seems too stupid to know his plan won't work so I can't. Maybe he is a thinly veiled reference to Trump, now that I think about it.
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