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Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

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31–40 of 267 posts

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#31
post #5

Another thing is the pre 2017 car-pool stickers for electric cars are expiring in the bay area. The newer stickers have income caps of $150k (single filing) or $300k (joint filing). I wonder what the impact will be on Tesla? The first change helps them but the second hurts them.

Wait, what? I was not aware of this. I guess driving in the carpool lane today was not a great idea…

OP is incorrect.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#32
post #19
post #3

Tesla is definitely hitting the demand ceiling. It's a good thing Musk isn't producing 10000 M3 per week. The current rate of ~4500 per week is enough to meet demand. In fact, expect continuous price drops from Tesla as it struggles to drum up enthusiasm

They're not even really selling outside North America yet, so that's silly. Of course there's a ceiling of expensive cars, they're selling more of them than anyone else, right?

Yes, it's called Pent up Demand. We don't what sustainable demand for M3 is yet. For US, you'll see that in Q1. For Rest of the world, Q2 will paint that picture. So, whatever profit (or loss) Tesla makes in Q2/Q3 are truer numbers. It would have also reached a steady state.

Tesla's marketcap should be at the most 100x Q2 profit. TSLA is definitely over-priced

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#33
post #20
post #5

Another thing is the pre 2017 car-pool stickers for electric cars are expiring in the bay area. The newer stickers have income caps of $150k (single filing) or $300k (joint filing). I wonder what the impact will be on Tesla? The first change helps them but the second hurts them.

Did they give any justification for the change? It makes absolutely no sense to me why you'd put an income cap on that - don't you wan to encourage EVERYONE to burn less fossil fuels, REGARDLESS of income?

What the GP posted is a bit misleading, you either get the rebate or the carpool lane stickers if you're over the cap but not both. It does suck but I think it's for the best. The hov lane in norcal is becoming relatively crowded lately since electric cars were a rarity before but not so much now.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#35
post #28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not sure if you're being sarcastic or not but Musk had become a liability for Tesla for certain. The once "Tony Stark" has had a serious of Twitter meltdowns and absurd business proposals.

lol...he had a spell with some poor choices no doubt, but calling him a liability is a little much. One hopes he learned from his episodes. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/19/neil-degrasse-tyson-elon-mus...

He caused the SEC investigation that probably impacted them enough to miss the targets mentioned in the article. He also has a DOJ investigation in progress against him and Tesla. He is a liability.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#36
post #16
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m not pro-Tesla, I think they’re horribly mismanaged, but let’s be real. The Model 3 is selling well, and ONLY in the US. Even if they hit peak demand they can just start selling to Europe and China (planned for later this year) and they’ll have plenty of new customers.

It's called Pent up Demand. US is the richest and most car friendly nation of the world. There aren't many countries in the world who can afford a $50,000 car especially when there are poor charging infrastructure.

There are enough countries, though.

Regarding charging infrastructure, have you seen this map lately?

https://www.tesla.com/findus?v=2&bounds=76.18385340904877%2C...

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#37
post #22
post #4

The production and delivery numbers they came out with were very good and higher than most had expected. These numbers will allow them another profitable Q4 likely higher than their Q3 numbers. The price cuts are likely to impact margins, but is in line with what Tesla had done with the Model S and X as production efficiencies allow them to reduce manufacturing costs. The reaction looks like a big overreaction as the…

At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits. It's clear Tesla has run through higher margin demand. There aren't many people in the world who can afford a $50,000 car. Tesla is a niche market car, but priced as a mass market (like iPhones) product. Expect Tesla's sustainable profit to be around $500 Mil per year and it's share price must be cut in half to justify that

> At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits.

LOL what?

Show me another company with $50B market cap growing at 50% a year on the top line to deliver $2B in profits.

I'll wait.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#38
post #22
post #4

The production and delivery numbers they came out with were very good and higher than most had expected. These numbers will allow them another profitable Q4 likely higher than their Q3 numbers. The price cuts are likely to impact margins, but is in line with what Tesla had done with the Model S and X as production efficiencies allow them to reduce manufacturing costs. The reaction looks like a big overreaction as the…

At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits. It's clear Tesla has run through higher margin demand. There aren't many people in the world who can afford a $50,000 car. Tesla is a niche market car, but priced as a mass market (like iPhones) product. Expect Tesla's sustainable profit to be around $500 Mil per year and it's share price must be cut in half to justify that

> At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits.

When Amazon reached that mark in 2009, their annual profit was slightly over 1B... And the car industry isn't famous for particularly high margins.

> Expect Tesla's sustainable profit to be around $500 Mil per year and it's share price must be cut in half to justify that

There are no such rules for share prices, especially with this kind of revenue growth. Nobody knows where Tesla will be in 5 years but most shareholders expect easily an order of magnitude higher revenues and possibly profits.

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#39
post #37
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits. It's clear Tesla has run through higher margin demand. There aren't many people in the world who can afford a $50,000 car. Tesla is a niche market car, but priced as a mass market (like iPhones) product. Expect Tesla's sustainable profit to be around $500 Mil per year and it's share price must be cut in half to justify that

> At $50B Market Cap, Tesla should be delivering at least $2B Annual profits. LOL what? Show me another company with $50B market cap growing at 50% a year on the top line to deliver $2B in profits. I'll wait.

Huh? Did you compare Q3 and Q4 numbers, the growth has pretty much reached steady state. 90,000 per quarter is what Tesla will be and probably 500 Million annual profit.

50% profit growth is delusional at this stage

Re: Tesla cuts prices as Model 3 deliveries narrowly miss estimates

#40
post #34

Seems like the bigger issue is that they once again missed their delivery targets, although only by a few percent this time.

Is not the historical lesson thus far maybe that the market does not care about missing them as long as the general growth story is still there?
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