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Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

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Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#221
post #166

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because there are several different kinds of decentralization and it's not black and white. Miner decentralization is important is the whole security model relies on nobody controlling >50% of hashrate. Developer centralization is another important point. BTC arguably fails at this when a small group, combined with extensive propaganda campaigns, artificially constrains Bitcoin's throughput. There are no valid argume…

>Developer centralization is another important point. BTC arguably fails at this when a small group, combined with extensive propaganda campaigns, artificially constrains Bitcoin's throughput. There are no valid arguments against raising the blocksize to 2MB for example. If a handful of people could effectively destroy a “currency” at any point... it’s not decentralized in any sense of the word that is important for…

That's not really true though. They didn't "destroy" it. They constrained it's development and hindered adoption.

They didn't do it by themselves either. They got miners and exchanges on board as well.

Also if you disagree and you think there's a better way to develop it you can by creating a fork or sell your coins. There is nothing stopping you.

> they’re talking about (imo) how it’s “safe” to put money into because “no one owns the crypto coin” and if anyone still believes that latter part, well, they probably aren’t paying attention.

There's a difference between believing nobody has significant sway over how the cryptocurrency should be developed and you personally having full control over your own coins.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#222
post #7

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're agreeing with him. He's responding to people saying "hey, why are you criticising ETH, don't you like this stuff?" And he's saying that even the "blue chip" cryptocurrency projects are still very experimental phases and he takes them seriously enough to criticize them.

I think the disagreement is on other cryptocurrencies. The author of the original Twitter thread has positive views of Bitcoin, e.g. this post which he linked in the thread: https://medium.com/@tuurdemeester/why-im-short-ethereum-and-...

ETH/BTC went up 7 fold after he wrote that, though it's back down a bit now. He seems a little biased against ETH.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#223
There's a reply to each of the 50 tweets by Vitalik Buterin on Reddit here https://www.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/aac4hr/tuurs_crit...

By the way, not much mentioned in the discussion but I'm for Ethereum and kind of anti Bitcoin because of the awful environmental impact of proof or work which the Ethereum folk are at least trying to find a solution to.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#224
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're missing the "extra dollars" that the central bank prints to fund the government's overspending. They call it "inflation" and tell you it is necessary and good for the economy. Before your government can create its next spending budget, it needs to pay off its debts with interest. A big chunk of every dollar of tax you pay is taken before the government can even think about what it is going to spend the rest on…

The US government is not printing money as part of its normal funding cycles. Where does this stupid notion come from? The normal funding cycle is this: government issues bond in exchange for cash now. These are treasury auctions and they happen constantly. There is no injection of money in this process. If you don’t believe that, ask yourself this. Why did the exact same process work when the US dollar was backed by…

I think the idea is, you buy a bond for $98 to get $100 back on maturity in a year (as an example). So $2 cash does get injected/"printed" when debt levels stay the same or go down. We just issue more debt though in practice.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#225
post #187
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

First, some Proof-of-Stake setup: 1. Assume we have some set of "validators" who control the global consensus process. They come to consensus on the current global state of the system. These validators are vaguely analogous to miners in Proof-of-Work consensus. 2. These validators have coins bonded as collateral in exchange for more voting power in the consensus process. One key idea necessary for Proof-of-Stake is t…

> 1. Assume we have some set of "validators" who control the global consensus process. This setup assumes there’s already consensus on a certain set of validators, but the challenge is arriving at this consensus in the first place. This is the general problem of proof-of-stake: it assumes the presence of consensus in order to arrive at consensus. This is because consensus is reached by utilizing the scarce resource t…

> This setup assumes there’s already consensus on a certain set of validators, but the challenge is arriving at this consensus in the first place.

The validator set changes as people bond or unbond coins in exchange for stake. Running a fair and secure initial distribution is a somewhat orthogonal problem; perhaps you can run an open auction. Any Proof-of-Work or Proof-of-Stake systems has issues with low security in the beginning. Consider that until late ~2012 the total hashrate of the Bitcoin network was less than the hashrate of a single Antminer S9.

> This is the general problem of proof-of-stake: it assumes the presence of consensus in order to arrive at consensus. This is because consensus is reached by utilizing the scarce resource that is the chain’s token, but without consensus in the first place this token isn’t scarce at all.

Consensus and scarcity are tightly related. The consensus process and protocol spec are what make the token scarce, since by definition the majority agree on the token's inflation rate, supply, block reward, etc.... What happens when validators try to fork and change these parameters? They are directly incentivized to do so, yet similarly, what happens when Bitcoin miners try to change the block reward? Of course, they don't hold all the power; with sufficient cause and collaboration, users can signal a user-activated soft fork, or simply choose to follow the original unmodified fork.

> Proof-of-work uses something external to its chain as the scarce resource that determines consensus (energy), while proof-of-stake uses something internal to its chain (the chain’s token). This means that when a PoW chain forks, the two chains have to share the external resource, while the resource is copied for PoS chain forks.

Yes, this is called the "nothing-at-stake" problem, and it is solved by punishing validators who equivocate. This enforces scarcity of voting power across forks. The point is they can't exercise their voting power on both chains. As soon as they vote on one fork, they are committed. The validators on the other fork are incentivized to delete their stake if they vote on the other fork simultaneously.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#226
post #208

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is successful about ethereum? The price?

What metric interests you? Number of stories in mainstream publications? Number of projects based on the tech in corporations? Amount of developer interest? Market cap? I agree that it is still in need of mainstream use cases, if that is your metric then you can justifiably argue no cryptocurrency is "successful".

Yes, real mainstream use cases are a good measure of tech success. At least, I'd want to see some plausible early mainstream use and a path for it to broaden.

It's very typical that spruikers of tech hype cycles focus on the amount of press coverage, the number of projects rushing into the space, the amount of developer interest, or highly extrapolated market numbers. It doesn't prove anything about whether the thing has any real value or will be around in 10 years.

Given the allegedgedly vast scale of cryptocurrency deployments, there ought to now be some real uses and I don't see any, other than black markets, money laundering, speculation, and ransomware. Those are always going to exist and may be a stable base but probably aren't enough to justify the hype.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#227
post #208

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What metric interests you? Number of stories in mainstream publications? Number of projects based on the tech in corporations? Amount of developer interest? Market cap? I agree that it is still in need of mainstream use cases, if that is your metric then you can justifiably argue no cryptocurrency is "successful".

Yes, real mainstream use cases are a good measure of tech success. At least, I'd want to see some plausible early mainstream use and a path for it to broaden. It's very typical that spruikers of tech hype cycles focus on the amount of press coverage, the number of projects rushing into the space, the amount of developer interest, or highly extrapolated market numbers. It doesn't prove anything about whether the thing…

Yeah, I agree that to a casual follower of the space, the lack of mainstream use cases should arguably raise some red flags.

However, as someone now deeply involved in the tech, I'm pretty confident that the use cases are coming and are delayed solely because of peculiar obstacles that will likely get resolved in the near future.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#228
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Look at how may people and companies lost crypto currency of one form or another. That suggests security is actually a major unsolved issues with crypto.

It's not the fault of crypto currency that people fall for phishing, have insecure infrastructure, or shitty backup strategies.

A technical system which in practice cannot be reliably operated securely, and which is prone to no-recourse losses, is worse than alternatives.

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#229
post #172

Earlier quoted context omitted.

As a new user in a Proof-of-Stake protocol, how do I determine which chain to follow? With PoW I can choose the 'longest' chain (chain with the most total work).

It's solved for Cardano (Genesis). A new user can determine which chain to follow without relying on third parties.

I'm skeptical of this claim.

From the Cardano paper [1] p. 47,

> Even if the attacker could find a strategy to generate an alternative chain with valid leader selection data, presenting this chain and its blocks generated at slots that are far ahead of time would not result in a successful attack since those blocks far ahead of time would be rejected by the honest stakeholders and the final alternative chain would be shorter than the main chain.

At first glance, the attacker then needs to gain the keys for almost all of the bonded stake at some point in the past. This is obviously a stricter requirement than holding keys for 2/3+ of the stake at some point in the past, but still seems remotely plausible when targeting the small set of validators in the early bootstrapping period. Remember also that these early validators could be totally cashed out of the system and thus have actually have no disincentive not to sell their keys.

Actually, even controlling only 2/3+ of some past stake, the attacker can likely grind on the randomness beacon outputs (since they control all the shares) to ensure his controlled keys have near 100% of the slots in the next epoch. Then the long range fork would be of a similar or possibly even greater length than the honest fork.

[1] https://eprint.iacr.org/2016/889.pdf

Re: Why I’m so “against” Ethereum

#230
post #38

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> In short, the crypto hate is a reaction to the crypto hype. Actually, as someone who was very interested in Bitcoin in the early days of 2011-2012, I disagree. If anything, the hate on HN was even greater back then, way before Bitcoin became hyped. So many people were convinced it was a pyramid scheme. It was clear to anyone familiar with the Bitcoin community back then that there were a lot of highly technical, ta…

> But even back in 2011, there was a very high number of HNers who seemed personally affronted by the very idea that money was a social agreement. They seemed to believe that money was some kind of official, government activity, end of story. And that anyone who believed otherwise was an evil heretic, to be ridiculed. This x10. If I were to anthropomorphise HN it would be a middle aged white collar worker, pretty sma…

I smiled at your characterization. Although, more realistically, our archetype has done modestly well by working for the man, and has 100k-low millions in index funds and company stock, and some comfort with +/- 30% swings y/y.

But let's also remember, that middle-aged character has seen the hype cycles many times before in previous decades, and recognizes the scam. The sky-high and unstable valuations, the co-dependent press coverage, the hand-waving distraction from the absence of realistic uses, the flurry of me-too startups, the enthusiasm of lay investors.

Hype usually indicates pure bullshit, but sometimes something useful emerges out of it. Most often the original projects are decimated.

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