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Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

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Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#101

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Citation please. https://www.google.com/search?q=co2%20plant%20nutrition >Naturalistic fallacy. "Industrial waste" isn't necessarily harmful. It is not a naturalistic fallacy. The things I mentioned are harmful. Industrial waste may not be necessarily harmful, but it is also not necessarily food. We consume it because it is industrial waste, not because it is food. It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it…

>Again, the people who still live in the stone age today and are healthier and happier than us right now, That’s a senseless statement. Nobody lives in the Stone Age today. That’s a period of time. If you’re referring to primitive tribes with no outside world contact, then you’ll need to provide evidence and definitions for healthier/happier. They have high infant mortality rates, they kill disabled children, they di…

>Nobody lives in the Stone Age today. That’s a period of time.

Yes they do. It is a period of technological development. There is no singular timespan that makes up the stone age or bronze age or iron age, those periods are different depending on the people.

>If you’re referring to primitive tribes with no outside world contact

They have outside world contact, they simply choose to continue living the way they prefer instead of adopting modernity.

>then you’ll need to provide evidence and definitions for healthier/happier

The dictionary already does.

>They have high infant mortality rates, they kill disabled children, they die from treatable illnesses, and they starve during bad years.

The first three things are not healthy, and the last thing is false.

>Of course they have mental illness, there is no evidence they are immune to Down syndrome, schizophrenia, or anything else.

Please attempt to read what is being said rather than intentionally taking an obviously contrary definition so you have something to argue about. I am talking about the modern "mental illnesses", note the quotes, like depression and social anxiety which are epidemic in modernity, and do not exist in primitive cultures.

>Ugh, you accidentally forgot to provide any evidence of its harm again

Almost as if this is a discussion and not me publishing a scientific paper. You are welcome to look up the data linking omega 6 polyunsaturated fats to the modern disease epidemic.

>You just preceded it with another naturalistic fallacy that implied that it must be harmful because it’s industrial.

Simply repeating the fallacy fallacy is not going to accomplish anything.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not dismissing medicine. But the existence of medicine now does not mean life centuries ago was a horrifying existence struggling to survive as popular culture suggests. There are still primitive people now, whose existence is far closer to that subsistence stereotype than medieval Europeans were. They are overwhelmingly happy and healthy. They eat better than we do, are healthier than we are, and work less than…

But they don’t have modern medicine, and they don’t have the means to deal with droughts, or other natural disasters. Indigenous tribes who have contact with society are overwhelmingly unhappy with some of the highest suicide rates in the world. The ones who don’t have contact don’t have their happiness measured in any meaningful or comparable way... because they don’t have contact. Additionally, if they are in any k…

>But they don’t have modern medicine

Yes, we've covered that haven't we? In the very post you just replied to, in order to add absolutely nothing to the discussion?

>Indigenous tribes who have contact with society are overwhelmingly unhappy with some of the highest suicide rates in the world.

No, indigenous tribes who have been forced into adopting modern lifestyles are: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s1291...

People like the indigenous Kitava have no such problems. Because they are not living as an underclass minority in another culture. They have contact with modern people, but they choose to live traditionally.

>Additionally, if they are in any kind of environment where they have to do manual labor for food

That would be every kind of environment...

>they work way more than most Americans do.

They do not. Again, see the Kitava. They barely have a concept of work.

>Standing around for 40 hours a week making coffees for people is a walk in the park compared to tilling a field with a hoe

Tilling a field with a hoe is a completely unnecessary act. Your cultural bias makes you assume this is some universal penance that must be paid in order to extract food from the soil. It is not.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#103

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Since modern states don't have an entrenched hereditary aristocracy We absolutely do, but because we are bombarded with propaganda telling us they "earned it" by "working hard" and "pulling themselves up by their bootstraps" we pretend it is just a co-incidence that the people born into the top 1% almost always remain there, and people born in the bottom 99% almost always remain there. >After public schooling became…

>that the people born into the top 1% almost always remain there, and people born in the bottom 99% almost always remain there. The former isn’t true for income and doesn’t remain true for wealth for more than a couple generations. The latter is of course true because... math. 99% of the people are always going to be in the bottom 99%. When you talk about the 1 percent for income, you are capturing doctors, lawyers,…

>The former isn’t true for income

Wealth inequality is not about income is it?

>doesn’t remain true for wealth for more than a couple generations

So, it only remains true for as long as it has existed?

>The latter is of course true because... math. 99% of the people are always going to be in the bottom 99%.

The statement isn't that 99% of people are in the bottom 99%, it is that it is the same people staying there.

>When you talk about the 1 percent for income, you are capturing doctors, lawyers, professors, and small business owners with your angst.

What part of "wealth inequality" would make you think repeating a deliberately misleading corporate propaganda piece about income would be productive?

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Even if we have less nutritious food, which is debatable It really isn't, it has been measured. With increased atmospheric CO2, plants grow faster and end up with a much higher calorie:micronutrient ratio. We also consume vast quantities of industrial waste products now like "vegetable oil", HFCS and soybean by-products. >we have an abundance of it, sufficient to feed us all and we don't suffer famines and shortages…

>but this debate in particular has overwhelming evidence in support of it being correct. Yet you provide none despite you making the extraordinary claims. Worrying about society overeating wasn’t even a thing in the US until the 50s.

I have not made any extraordinary claims, I have repeated the very standard scientific consensus, which is constantly repeated in the popular media. I do not presume that every piece of common knowledge is going to be considered an "extraordinary claim" by someone who hates search engines.

>Worrying about society overeating wasn’t even a thing in the US until the 50s.

So, our modern lifestyle is good because we've only been worried about it killing us since we've had it?

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> With increased atmospheric CO2, plants grow faster and end up with a much higher calorie:micronutrient ratio. Citation please. > We also consume vast quantities of industrial waste products now like "vegetable oil", HFCS and soybean by-products. Naturalistic fallacy. "Industrial waste" isn't necessarily harmful. > Famine wasn't as common as you seem to think it was, unless you include impoverished states, in which…

>Citation please. https://www.google.com/search?q=co2%20plant%20nutrition >Naturalistic fallacy. "Industrial waste" isn't necessarily harmful. It is not a naturalistic fallacy. The things I mentioned are harmful. Industrial waste may not be necessarily harmful, but it is also not necessarily food. We consume it because it is industrial waste, not because it is food. It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it…

> It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it did not even exist before the early 1900s.

Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful. Furthermore, harm is dose-dependent. Water is harmful if you ingest too much. There is little evidence that these are harmful in appropriate doses. Again, most of the harm stems from abundance.

> [Famine is killing] more [people] as a percentage.

Citation?

> Do you think nutritional deficiencies don't exist any more? Common deficiencies include iron, B12, D, calcium, A, iodine, magnesium, zinc and folate.

Now where's the evidence that these deficiencies were not prevalent or worse throughout history, which is what you're actually claiming.

> No, osteoporosis was not common then.

Wrong:

https://reliawire.com/history-osteoporosis/

Note they list "aging population" as the cause: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S875632820...

> You can't dismiss a problem by throwing out random conflicting excuses.

You mean like the baseless, uncited claims you're making? I've now provided far more citations demonstrating your claims are incorrect than you have. And the "excuses" aren't conflicting, they're exhaustive covering many possibilities, all of which undermine your narrative.

> "Type 2 diabetes" and heart disease both didn't even exist

Wrong: https://www.healthline.com/health/heart-disease/history#anci...

As for type 2 diabetes, you have literally no basis to make that claim. There is plenty of historical data confirming the existence of diabetes throughout history, but it's not possible to reliably distinguish them given the data: https://www.healthline.com/health/history-type-1-diabetes#4

> No, it is a disease of consumption of toxic omega 6 polyunsaturated fats.

Citation?

> Fat people existed in medieval times. They did not get "type 2 diabetes".

Citation?

> And those incidents were due to being cut off from supplies

And from food spoiling.

> Another army preventing your food from getting to you is not an indication that you are unable to grow enough food and thus "everyone is spending all day trying to stave off starvation"

Good thing I never said that.

> Except none of those things. [Winter] are the times they spent feasting. We still have several of the same traditional feasts, just renamed to pretend they are christian.

Wrong: "The winter solstice was immensely important because the people were economically dependent on monitoring the progress of the seasons. Starvation was common during the first months of the winter, January to April (northern hemisphere) or July to October (southern hemisphere), also known as "the famine months". In temperate climates, the midwinter festival was the last feast celebration, before deep winter began. Most cattle were slaughtered so they would not have to be fed during the winter, so it was almost the only time of year when a plentiful supply of fresh meat was available.[5] The majority of wine and beer made during the year was finally fermented and ready for drinking at this time."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_solstice#History_and_cu...

So basically the reason for the feasts is so they didn't have to waste precious food on keeping animals alive, because otherwise they'd all starve, like I said.

> Modern rates are higher than any other point in recorded history. We have poorer data from ancient times, but we do still have data. You even linked to some.

I linked to evidence that quite literally say we don't have enough historical data to infer the actual rates of suicide. So no, it doesn't at all indicate anything like what you claim.

> There is no reason to assume suicide rates were higher in medieval times just because you want to believe the iron age was some horrific time.

Except no one is making that claim. What I am saying is that your claim that modern rates are higher is baseless.

> Again, the people who still live in the stone age today and are healthier and happier than us right now and have essentially no modern "mental illnesses" like depression or social anxiety

Wrong:

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/jo...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_depression#Prehisto...

You've fallen into the common trap of romanticizing the past. Some aspects of older cultures indeed are healthier, but your apparent inclination to claim that rates of happiness and health are far worse today than they ever were is completely baseless.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#106

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Citation please. https://www.google.com/search?q=co2%20plant%20nutrition >Naturalistic fallacy. "Industrial waste" isn't necessarily harmful. It is not a naturalistic fallacy. The things I mentioned are harmful. Industrial waste may not be necessarily harmful, but it is also not necessarily food. We consume it because it is industrial waste, not because it is food. It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it…

> It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it did not even exist before the early 1900s. Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful. Furthermore, harm is dose-dependent. Water is harmful if you ingest too much. There is little evidence that these are harmful in appropriate doses. Again, most of the harm stems from abundance. > [Famine is killing] more [people] as a p…

>Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful.

Stop trying to reverse my statement because you think that will allow you to dismiss it. I said they are harmful, and they did not exist before the 1900s. Not they are harmful because they didn't exist before the 1900s. Their harm is known by the negative health effects of their consumption. Those negative health effects did not exist for people before the 1900s.

>Now where's the evidence that these deficiencies were not prevalent or worse throughout history, which is what you're actually claiming.

I see a pattern here where you state that common scientific knowledge is wrong unless I provide citations for it, then when I do you just ignore those citations and the entire subject and proceed to call some other common scientific knowledge wrong. You can use google too.

>https://reliawire.com/history-osteoporosis/

I am well aware that people post common misconceptions on their blogs. If I link to a blog post about how the earth is really flat will that make it so?

>Citation?

Again, this is not wikipedia. If you want to call someone a liar, do so. If you want to find out information, do so. You don't get to delete opinions you don't like if you spam "citation needed" enough in a conversation. The history of type 2 diabetes is easy to learn about, it did not exist until the early 1900s.

>And from food spoiling.

Which is obviously caused by being unable to produce enough food and requiring all adults to spend their entire lives toiling in the fields to avoid starvation, thus supporting your belief.

>So basically the reason for the feasts is so they didn't have to waste precious food on keeping animals alive, because otherwise they'd all starve

They didn't waste food, therefore they were all starving. Brilliant logic.

>I linked to evidence that quite literally say we don't have enough historical data to infer the actual rates of suicide

You linked to poor evidence for suicide rates. That is not the same as no evidence. This kind of tactic is just silly. "Oh, well the evidence that shows their suicide rate was much lower has limited sample sizes, so we should just assume that in reality they had much higher suicide rates".

>What I am saying is that your claim that modern rates are higher is baseless.

And yet you provided evidence to contradict your claim.

>Wrong

Neither of your links are even related to my statement, so going "DURRRR RONG!!11" seems a little odd.

>You've fallen into the common trap of romanticizing the past

That's possible. Or perhaps you've fallen into the much more common trap of romanticizing the present.

>but your apparent inclination to claim that rates of happiness and health are far worse today than they ever were is completely baseless.

Again, there's a big difference between "the evidence is not strong enough to know that with 100% certainty" which is the case and "completely baseless" which is what you wish.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> It is harmful, we consume it in vast quantities, it did not even exist before the early 1900s. Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful. Furthermore, harm is dose-dependent. Water is harmful if you ingest too much. There is little evidence that these are harmful in appropriate doses. Again, most of the harm stems from abundance. > [Famine is killing] more [people] as a p…

>Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful. Stop trying to reverse my statement because you think that will allow you to dismiss it. I said they are harmful, and they did not exist before the 1900s. Not they are harmful because they didn't exist before the 1900s. Their harm is known by the negative health effects of their consumption. Those negative health effects did not e…

> Stop trying to reverse my statement because you think that will allow you to dismiss it. I said they are harmful

And yet, you have provided no evidence of such. The evidence of harm is far from conclusive, and given the replication crisis, your stating these claims as facts is completely unjustified.

> Not they are harmful because they didn't exist before the 1900s.

What do you think the non-existence of these things prior to the 1900s proves exactly, that you keep bringing it up as if it's a relevant point? My points about the 1900s appear to be just as relevant to the discussion as your points.

> I see a pattern here where you state that common scientific knowledge is wrong unless I provide citations for it

I see a pattern where you keep claiming something is "common scientific knowledge" without any providing evidence of such a consensus.

> then when I do you just ignore those citations and the entire subject and proceed to call some other common scientific knowledge wrong. You can use google too.

When you do? When was that exactly? You've provided a single link to some articles that talk about CO2's effects on plant growth, completely ignoring the fact that I had already acknowledged that even if nutritional density were decreasing, the abundance is sufficient to feed the growing population.

Further, I'm not the one making dozens of unsubstantiated claims, you are. The burden of proof is on you here, not me to prove or disprove your claims, and yet I've gone out of my way to correct your misconceptions about history.

> I am well aware that people post common misconceptions on their blogs. If I link to a blog post about how the earth is really flat will that make it so?

Convenient that you ignore the paper that mentions the prevalence of osteoporosis is due to the aging population. Here's another one for you to deny: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24087808

> The history of type 2 diabetes is easy to learn about, it did not exist until the early 1900s.

Oh, do you mean it did not exist as a diagnosis? Because that seems like a fairly trivial point. If you literally mean that humans from history did not suffer from maladies that are a result of our biology, then that's a much stronger claim, so prove it.

> They didn't waste food, therefore they were all starving. Brilliant logic.

Nice how you just skip all the mentions of how common starvation was, and the actual justification for feasting in early winter.

> You linked to poor evidence for suicide rates. That is not the same as no evidence.

I asked for evidence. You have not provided any. Numerous sources I found all discuss how no robust evidence exists. Thus far, there is literally no reason to believe your claims, and considerable reason to disbelieve them.

> Neither of your links are even related to my statement, so going "DURRRR RONG!!11" seems a little odd.

You claimed that stone age hunter/gatherer societies were healthier. The first link I provided definitively proves otherwise.

You claimed that stone age hunter/gatherer societies didn't suffer from mental illness like depression. Historical documents discussing depressive symptoms are common. Are we to take this as evidence of some depression-like condition that's not depression? Are you seriously claiming that that's more believable?

> That's possible. Or perhaps you've fallen into the much more common trap of romanticizing the present.

Except I haven't made any such claims. At best, I've implied that there is no reason to think historical humans were much different in the maladies they suffered, except modern circumstances and abundance have clearly led to significantly lower infant and adult mortality. Which is actually well documented, commonly known fact, and runs contrary to what you have claimed.

> Again, there's a big difference between "the evidence is not strong enough to know that with 100% certainty" which is the case and "completely baseless" which is what you wish.

Since you've provided no evidence at all, and the evidence I've cited so far actually runs counter to what you claim, "baseless" is pretty accurate.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#108

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Many things didn't exist before the 1900s, that still doesn't entail they are harmful. Stop trying to reverse my statement because you think that will allow you to dismiss it. I said they are harmful, and they did not exist before the 1900s. Not they are harmful because they didn't exist before the 1900s. Their harm is known by the negative health effects of their consumption. Those negative health effects did not e…

> Stop trying to reverse my statement because you think that will allow you to dismiss it. I said they are harmful And yet, you have provided no evidence of such. The evidence of harm is far from conclusive, and given the replication crisis, your stating these claims as facts is completely unjustified. > Not they are harmful because they didn't exist before the 1900s. What do you think the non-existence of these thin…

>The evidence of harm is far from conclusive, and given the replication crisis, your stating these claims as facts is completely unjustified.

Then say "I don't believe that" instead of trying to engage in silly arguments that have no possibility of productive outcomes.

>What do you think the non-existence of these things prior to the 1900s proves exactly

That people did not consume them prior to that time. As I very clearly stated, multiple times.

>completely ignoring the fact that I had already acknowledged that even if nutritional density were decreasing, the abundance is sufficient to feed the growing population.

That's a problem, not a solution. "We have to consume too many calories to get the same amount of vitamins and minerals they did" is not solved by saying "but we have lots of low quality food!". Obesity is not a solution to nutrient deficiencies.

>The burden of proof is on you here

There is no burden of proof. This is a discussion.

>Convenient that you ignore the paper that mentions the prevalence of osteoporosis is due to the aging population

Because it is of no relevance at all. The increase in osteoporosis in recent decades is in part due to the increased average age. That does not contradict the fact that osteoporosis rates in the 20th century are far higher than we have archeological evidence for in any other period.

>Oh, do you mean it did not exist as a diagnosis?

No, it did not exist. Diabetes was entirely and solely the disease we now call type 1 diabetes. That was the only diabetes. "Type 2 diabetes" has no relation to actual diabetes, has nothing to do with pancreatic malfunction, and did not exist prior to the 1920s.

>Nice how you just skip all the mentions of how common starvation was

Because that was not fact, it was opinion. I am well aware of the popular misconception, pointing to someone else repeating it does not add anything.

>and the actual justification for feasting in early winter.

That is not what it says. It claims people starve later in winter. Feasting before that would not change that outcome, and the quote you presented does not suggest it would.

>I asked for evidence. You have not provided any.

You did.

>Numerous sources I found all discuss how no robust evidence exists.

Again, stating that all available evidence points to A but is "not robust enough" therefore we should assume the opposite of A is absurd.

>The first link I provided definitively proves otherwise.

The first link does not look at a single hunter/gatherer society. It looks at minority indigenous populations living as second class citizens in modern countries. Amerindians living on reservations are not hunter/gatherers.

>You claimed that stone age hunter/gatherer societies didn't suffer from mental illness like depression. Historical documents discussing depressive symptoms are common.

No they are not, they are rare, not from hunter/gatherer societies, and they describe the condition as one of cities. Almost as if what I said about it being caused by human settlements exceeding the population humans evolved to handle is correct.

>Except I haven't made any such claims.

You have, repeatedly. You romanticize our disease rates, our abundant toxic waste which we can consume so much of and become morbidly obese and die, thus proving how great modern society is and how healthy we are.

>Which is actually well documented, commonly known fact, and runs contrary to what you have claimed.

No it is not. Average life expectancy has increased almost entirely due to antibiotics. Lots of people lived to their 80s, and did not suffer from the modern diseases we now pretend are just part of being old. Indirectly saying "but lots of people died of bacterial infections" does not mean we can simply pretend those infections were "type 2 diabetes".

>and the evidence I've cited so far

None? Linking to something irrelevant is not citing evidence.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But they don’t have modern medicine, and they don’t have the means to deal with droughts, or other natural disasters. Indigenous tribes who have contact with society are overwhelmingly unhappy with some of the highest suicide rates in the world. The ones who don’t have contact don’t have their happiness measured in any meaningful or comparable way... because they don’t have contact. Additionally, if they are in any k…

>But they don’t have modern medicine Yes, we've covered that haven't we? In the very post you just replied to, in order to add absolutely nothing to the discussion? >Indigenous tribes who have contact with society are overwhelmingly unhappy with some of the highest suicide rates in the world. No, indigenous tribes who have been forced into adopting modern lifestyles are: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles…

Talking 'life centuries ago'. Almost every living person tilled a field with a hoe.

Re: Knowledge from small number of debates outperforms wisdom of large crowds (2017)

#110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>But they don’t have modern medicine Yes, we've covered that haven't we? In the very post you just replied to, in order to add absolutely nothing to the discussion? >Indigenous tribes who have contact with society are overwhelmingly unhappy with some of the highest suicide rates in the world. No, indigenous tribes who have been forced into adopting modern lifestyles are: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles…

Talking 'life centuries ago'. Almost every living person tilled a field with a hoe.

No they didn't. We have books on farming that are 2000 years old, people have read them even. Just because movies show dirty peasants hoeing fields doesn't mean that was reality.
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