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Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

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Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#151
post #84
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you point to a commercial operation recovering lithium from seawater? Demand for lithium is high and expected to go much higher, so a seawater extraction plant should at least be in development if it's feasible to do that. If it's purely a future technology, just like zinc-air batteries, then we should be allowed to look at future nuclear technologies as well, some of which are very much in development.

Can you point to a commercial operation recovering lithium from seawater No, because it's exactly like with tar sands: it will happen when it's commercially viable. At this point it's much cheaper to "mine" the brines in Chile. If it's purely a future technology, just like zinc-air batteries Thing is - it isn't. Here's a company making grid-scale Zinc-Air batteries: https://eosenergystorage.com They figured it out in…

I'd be happier with reference to EOS if I had been hearing more about them. They seem to have fallen off the map the last couple of years, which does not fill me with confidence.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know what it is about the idea of the far future that makes people so willing to throw out fundamental physical laws. The relevant point here would be that there are fundamental limits to heat transfer, and a finite amount of work which can be done on Earth-as-we-know-it for a given unit of time, irrespective of the energy source. An "unlimited" source of energy would be in practice limited by its heat output…

Improbable is not the same as impossible. We didn't even know about atoms for a huge stretch of science, and now we're smashing them together to break them apart looking for smaller things. Is it completely out of the question that some discovery will be made that invalidates our current understanding of physics?

Even without new physics, processes can be improved with new tech. As far as I know current computers are based in the same foundations as in the past century, but they're many orders of magnitude more powerful. Then, after some threshold, quantitative changes become qualitative ones.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#154
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you point to a commercial operation recovering lithium from seawater No, because it's exactly like with tar sands: it will happen when it's commercially viable. At this point it's much cheaper to "mine" the brines in Chile. If it's purely a future technology, just like zinc-air batteries Thing is - it isn't. Here's a company making grid-scale Zinc-Air batteries: https://eosenergystorage.com They figured it out in…

I'd be happier with reference to EOS if I had been hearing more about them. They seem to have fallen off the map the last couple of years, which does not fill me with confidence.

They tend to do that - a rapid surge in press releases and after that up to a year of silence.

I've stumbled upon them years ago back when they were promising 1MW/6MWh modules, 10k cycles and usage in EVs.

They backed down on these promises somewhat since, so I guess what they have now is a real product.

I expect some more news late summer when the construction of the plant will be - hopefully - already in progress.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#156

QUOTE "I took this fusion class when I was at Georgia Tech and I will never forget it. We started studying and I go, "Man, this is really hard." Charged particles don't want to get near each other. Bare nuclei are both charged, positive charged, they want to avoid each other. And my professor had a really great way of putting it. "It's like going to the mini golf." He says, "You know how in mini golf you've got the v…

Re: ..."Man, this is really hard." Charged particles don't want to get near each other. Bare nuclei are both charged, positive charged, they want to avoid each other.

Are you sure you didn't accidentally quote my college dating experiences?

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#157

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't know what it is about the idea of the far future that makes people so willing to throw out fundamental physical laws. The relevant point here would be that there are fundamental limits to heat transfer, and a finite amount of work which can be done on Earth-as-we-know-it for a given unit of time, irrespective of the energy source. An "unlimited" source of energy would be in practice limited by its heat output…

Improbable is not the same as impossible. We didn't even know about atoms for a huge stretch of science, and now we're smashing them together to break them apart looking for smaller things. Is it completely out of the question that some discovery will be made that invalidates our current understanding of physics?

Yes, it's absurd to consider that there will be any large-scale violation of thermodynamics in the indefinitely far future. Literally, nothing is less probable.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#158
post #153

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Improbable is not the same as impossible. We didn't even know about atoms for a huge stretch of science, and now we're smashing them together to break them apart looking for smaller things. Is it completely out of the question that some discovery will be made that invalidates our current understanding of physics?

Even without new physics, processes can be improved with new tech. As far as I know current computers are based in the same foundations as in the past century, but they're many orders of magnitude more powerful. Then, after some threshold, quantitative changes become qualitative ones.

Physical processes cannot be made arbitrarily more efficient. There are thermodynamic limits to computation, the same as any other form of work.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#159

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Improbable is not the same as impossible. We didn't even know about atoms for a huge stretch of science, and now we're smashing them together to break them apart looking for smaller things. Is it completely out of the question that some discovery will be made that invalidates our current understanding of physics?

Yes, it's absurd to consider that there will be any large-scale violation of thermodynamics in the indefinitely far future. Literally, nothing is less probable.

Literally nothing is less probable? Alright then. I don't know why we bother with science any more since you've apparently got this one in the bag.

Re: Why is nuclear fusion so hard?

#160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Controlled fusion has always been 5 to 10 years away, just as we've always been at war with Eurasia.

I remember distinctly reading a popular science magazine article when I was young (it had that great plasma picture with all the plasma arcs fizzing over the floor of a giant lab) that stated that we could have fusion power plants in 25 to 50 years. That was 30 years ago.

It seems I was indeed wrong about the deadline but not about the "forever" part, see [1] and [2].

[1] https://www.newstatesman.com/sci-tech/2014/11/forever-20-yea...

[2] http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/crux/2016/03/23/nuclear-fu...

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