Quite apart from the math and science of deterministic physics and probabilistic quantum physics, there's a broader evolutionary question. Why would we evolve this hallucination that we have free will, if in fact we fundamentally don't? It seems like a lot of effort and metabolic energy on a moment-by-moment basis to maintain the illusion. I guess you could make an argument we're in some sort of simulation the maker…
As a close analogy, we've all said something like, "My car wants to pull to the right." Nobody claims the car has free will, but "wanting to pull to the right" is a useful way to both communicate and to think about it. What is is in the car's makeup that causes it to want to pull to the right?
There are plenty other examples where people have false beliefs yet still cling to them. If you ask drivers if they are better or worse than average, about 10% will say worse. My point is, having false beliefs doesn't always exert a strong evolutionary pressure.