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Why Are Japan’s Cherry Blossom Trees Blooming in Fall?

smithsonianmag.com

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Re: Why Are Japan’s Cherry Blossom Trees Blooming in Fall?

#62

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The population of Kyoto has been over 1 million since 1932.

It was also hardly a backwater... The Fall of Edo was only 150 years ago and before that Kyoto was the seat of the Emperor.

Not a political or historical backwater, but also not the booming metropolis that was Tokyo. It was a backwater in terms of urbanization and urban heat island impacts.

Re: Why Are Japan’s Cherry Blossom Trees Blooming in Fall?

#63
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is an interesting figure. Naturally, the sharp decline in the last 100 years or so captures one's attention, and would fit in with globally rising temperatures. However, one other thing differentiates the older and newer epochs: The variance is much larger for older data. On the one hand it could be that increased variance is due to natural phenomenon (cooler weather?) or random error of less reliable measuremen…

It looks like the confidence interval is larger in earlier years because there are fewer data points. Whats interesting to me is how big the spread is until the 1900s where not only is the blossom date trend increasing, but the individual blossom dates are grouping much closer together as well. I wonder if this is an error in measurement or if there is natural explanation for this variance reduction in the last 100 y…

Ignore the error bars for a bit and look at the actual data points. The distribution is much broader than it is for the last 50 or so years.

Re: Why Are Japan’s Cherry Blossom Trees Blooming in Fall?

#64
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're not necessarily arguing directly against the other person, you're also playing the room. Every time you talk to someone who denies climate change is another chance to convince them and everyone who is reading of what you believe. So in my opinion it's best to cite your own evidence regardless of how accepted your beliefs are by an establishment, rather than just saying the other side has the burden of proof. W…

Feel free to - but asking people to show their evidence for generally accepted stuff is a great way for trolls to waste your time with useless questions - literally why the term sealioning was invented. If you want to bring up new evidence and arguments that are not settled then go for it, but asking everyone to post their pedigree to talk about evolution or climate change is just catering to an american audience who…

Generally accepted and the US government continually passes legislation that doesn't agree. I'm not sure I agree with "generally accepted".
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