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U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

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61–70 of 124 posts

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#61
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Japan has run much bigger deficits relative to GDP for a long time and yet inflation and bond yields are rock-bottom.

But their GDP hasn't been growing much either. They've been fighting deflation (or non-wage inflation) for a long long time. I'm not sure a deflation is good for us.

It doesn't follow that the deflation has been due to the deficit.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#62
post #21

Is it just me or has the HN front page been more overtly political in the last few days? This is #1, some fear-mongering about China from Bloomberg is #2 (as if we forgot their technical fear-mongering about China the other day), and both of the stories are mainstream news (explicitly discouraged in the Guidelines) and have no particular "hacker" angle, except insofar as many hackers participate in the world economy…

There are now 5 million visitors a year. So it's not really shocking that more "mainstream" stuff does better these days than it might have done back in the day. I tend to feel like I have no idea whatsoever what will do well here. I sometimes decline to post some article because I think it's not HN worthy, only to see it on the front page later. I sometimes get accused of posting political pieces when, to my mind, t…

Yeah, HackerNews seems to be getting closer to Reddit by the day.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#63
post #21

Is it just me or has the HN front page been more overtly political in the last few days? This is #1, some fear-mongering about China from Bloomberg is #2 (as if we forgot their technical fear-mongering about China the other day), and both of the stories are mainstream news (explicitly discouraged in the Guidelines) and have no particular "hacker" angle, except insofar as many hackers participate in the world economy…

I suspect there is something at play here. I've also noticed the front page is constantly bombarded with economic/political news. Everyday is a new nytimes article, bloomberg twice a day, etc.

It's as if startups have slown down and programming novelties have died off, and it's being padded with politically driven articles.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Look at relative debt to GDP ratio rather than absolute numbers.

Also look at the interest paid on the debt, which is also low relative to historical levels

it's rising though, and will, I assume, rise faster as interest rates rise and the cost of the debt rises along with it (either immediately or in the near future). IIRC, current interest on debt is something like $400B, which is more than the budgets of many entire depts (dept of energy budget is ~$30B for example).

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#65
post #21

Is it just me or has the HN front page been more overtly political in the last few days? This is #1, some fear-mongering about China from Bloomberg is #2 (as if we forgot their technical fear-mongering about China the other day), and both of the stories are mainstream news (explicitly discouraged in the Guidelines) and have no particular "hacker" angle, except insofar as many hackers participate in the world economy…

Both of these are about economics moreso than politics. A lot of HN readers are interested in economics, since the current state of the economy can have huge impacts on startups.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are now 5 million visitors a year. So it's not really shocking that more "mainstream" stuff does better these days than it might have done back in the day. I tend to feel like I have no idea whatsoever what will do well here. I sometimes decline to post some article because I think it's not HN worthy, only to see it on the front page later. I sometimes get accused of posting political pieces when, to my mind, t…

Yeah, HackerNews seems to be getting closer to Reddit by the day.

I don't know what you mean by that. I participate on Reddit. I experience HN and Reddit as completely different animals. I see them as very extremely an apples to oranges comparison.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think they mean the one that is #2 right now about China's hidden debt.

Economics is totally fair game IMO. But if we start seeing articles about, say, midterm elections, that would suck. :)

I would like it if submitters could tag their posts in three different categories or so; pure tech, economics, and politics. Users could then configure their settings to see the content they want.

I think that this approach could be taken too far so that we would end up with a reddit clone, but a step in this direction seems to be in order now.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#68
post #21

Is it just me or has the HN front page been more overtly political in the last few days? This is #1, some fear-mongering about China from Bloomberg is #2 (as if we forgot their technical fear-mongering about China the other day), and both of the stories are mainstream news (explicitly discouraged in the Guidelines) and have no particular "hacker" angle, except insofar as many hackers participate in the world economy…

The upvote threshold for getting out of "new" is tiny. And the US is now so polarized that almost nothing is truly apolitical.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#69
post #49

That economic growth came at a pretty severe cost though. The budget deficit blew out by 17% in 2018 as a result of the tax cuts.

For a long time I couldn't wrap my head around why defecits matter to the US when we print our currency. To be honest I still don't fully understand the hand wringing over a balanced budget and reading more about modern monetary theory is leading me to believe that for a superpower which issues it's own currency the defecit is more of a political issue that a concrete one. The defecit just keeps ballooning but the on…

Neither extreme viewpoint is good.

On the one hand, you are very correct to point out that the US is not a company or household, and that the US is a superpower that prints currency. Too many people ignore this. Another point, shared with less-sovereign governments, is that the US can impose tariffs and fees and other taxes.

On the other hand, the deficit leads to interest payments on debt. Defaulting crashes the economy, as does going to extremes printing money.

Re: U.S. Is World’s Most Competitive Economy for First Time in a Decade

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are now 5 million visitors a year. So it's not really shocking that more "mainstream" stuff does better these days than it might have done back in the day. I tend to feel like I have no idea whatsoever what will do well here. I sometimes decline to post some article because I think it's not HN worthy, only to see it on the front page later. I sometimes get accused of posting political pieces when, to my mind, t…

Yeah, HackerNews seems to be getting closer to Reddit by the day.

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