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patrickcollison.com

401–410 of 493 posts

Re: Questions

#401

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are plenty of places, such as western European countries and Japan, that have strong safety regulations and still manage to complete large-scale infrastructure projects quickly. Another way to look at this is to ask why the United States seems incapable of even maintaining existing projects. For example, look at the current state of the New York City subway. I suspect slowness in building new infrastructure, an…

>> American voters don't expect their governments to be good at this kind of thing. European voters would vote politicians out of office if their transit systems got as bad as the NY subway has become. It would be seen as a failure to execute one of the basic duties of government. Americans often vote those people out of office and their replacements are equally useless or worse.

Unfortunately that's often not accurate. The vast majority of the time the incumbent wins. We vote by party here and if the incumbent is our party rep. we will vote for them regardless of track record as we assume the other party is worse.

We have created a system where results often don't matter as long as there is the correct capital letter next to your name on the ballot.

Compounding this further is that politicians know that they can count on your vote but they rely on the money of industry and lobbyists to campaign. Thus the very industry that is supposed to be fixing the problem under contract is able to overcharge and take longer than agreed becuase our politicians rely on them for funding.

https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/reelect.php

Re: Questions

#402
post #147

"Why are certain things getting so much more expensive?" Because we are lying about inflation. It's not a conspiracy, just a mutually agreed-to delusion. By pretending inflation is lower than it is, the poor feel like they are standing still instead of sinking ...though instinctively they know. And the people just keeping up get to feel richer. Since technology and efficiency improve, the people staying in the same p…

I have a different take. Healthcare, education, construction costs are all regulated by governments. Unlike companies, governments are systems of people who thrive from complexity. More complexity = more work, more power, more benefits (direct on indirect). To give you an example from construction, a company producing a complex part is "giving away" 3 day training in fancy locations, with all hotel & meals paid by th…

[deleted]

Re: Questions

#403
post #191

> The Empire State Building was built in 410 days At least one reason is that we have substantially different safety regulations since we're not accepting of deaths on a project like that. 5 people died on that project. 11 died to build the Golden Gate. Original Bay Bridge? 24. They actually had a rule of thumb at the time: 1 death for every $1M spent on a project[1]. Any metric like that would be absolutely unaccept…

China built their national high speed rail in remarkable time. Like less time to cover their entire country, than it will take California to build one high speed rail line. The difference seems to be that autocracy gets shit done.

Re: Questions

#404

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I tend to believe in some of Stephen Krashen's notions of language acquisition. Specifically that there is a difference between learning (being able to remember and repeat something) and acquisition (being able to use it fluently). Also that acquisition comes from comprehension. I also believe that language acquisition is no different than any the acquisition of any other skill. Many people don't agree with these ide…

> it takes 95% comprehension of the text in order to acquire new grammar and vocabulary strongly disagree. learning chinese by youtube. I comprehend 15% but I pick up new patterns and words all the time.

That's interesting. I'm definitely interested to understand what you are doing. Are you watching Chinese videos or Chinese language instruction videos? Are you able to use the language fluently?

Re: Questions

#405
post #212
post #191

> The Empire State Building was built in 410 days At least one reason is that we have substantially different safety regulations since we're not accepting of deaths on a project like that. 5 people died on that project. 11 died to build the Golden Gate. Original Bay Bridge? 24. They actually had a rule of thumb at the time: 1 death for every $1M spent on a project[1]. Any metric like that would be absolutely unaccept…

This will sound horrible but is it rational? E.g. say you are building a huge hospital and due to the above it will take 4 years longer at 2x the cost so basically you could loose X lives due to hospital not being there and due to increased cost of care.

The premise that people will die if the hospital takes longer to build is false. The same work can be done in another building

Re: Questions

#406

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because monetary policy is only one of a multitude of factors that influence inflation. Regulations, subsidies, tax laws, trade agreements, labor laws, immigration policy are just some of the other things that have wildly disjointed effects on industries, markets and prices.

You're confusing inflation with rising real prices. Inflation doesn't discriminate -- the price of everything rises by the same proportion.

He's not confusing it.

> the price of everything rises by the same proportion

Due to regulation, that's simply not the universal case - e.g. rent control. The economy is conceptual, but prices are concrete leading to some ironic situations.

Re: Questions

#407
> Why is US GDP growth so weirdly constant?

It's just a made up output with a wildly manipulated function. This is not unique to the USA.

Re: Questions

#408
post #237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not about nationality: Ashkenazi Jews in general -- Israeli or not -- tend to be smarter. ~20% of Nobel prize winners are Jews compared to less than 1% of the global population. So either there's a Jewish conspiracy (which some people believe...) or Jews tend to be smarter. Some people would say that this is cultural. I doubt it -- I think it's genetic. Intelligence is a physical attribute determined by genes, j…

> So either there's a Jewish conspiracy (which some people believe...) or Jews tend to be smarter. You're assuming that intelligence is the determining factor in winning a Nobel prize, which seems spurious at best. Work ethic and training, particularly early in life seem, to me, like they'd be better predictors. I'd posit that Jewish culture is better at nurturing intelligence before I'd conclude that there's some et…

You used the term "ethnic superiority". That's you making a value judgement about intelligence. It has absolutely nothing to do with what I wrote. Personally, I don't think intelligence is a good proxy for "value of a human being".

While there isn't a bullet-proof case, there is quite a bit of evidence for an ethnicity-intelligence correlation.

Re: Questions

#409
post #406

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're confusing inflation with rising real prices. Inflation doesn't discriminate -- the price of everything rises by the same proportion.

He's not confusing it. > the price of everything rises by the same proportion Due to regulation, that's simply not the universal case - e.g. rent control. The economy is conceptual, but prices are concrete leading to some ironic situations.

Inflation is when the currency itself loses market value. There's no such thing as inflation that only affects some goods and not others. The prices of some goods do fluctuate relative to each other, but that's not inflation!

Re: Questions

#410
post #112

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm an Israeli and it comes from a few factors: 1. Israelis basically have no choice. If you want to make a good income, working hard in a technology startup(we have very few big tech companies) is one of the very few good options. 2. The army: at a very young age,a decent percentage of Israelis who join the army lead, in high value, high risk situations. That creates a sense of responsibility and strong ambition at…

>> and possibly higher intelligence I heard that a lot of times from mostly uneducated people. All nations have equal level of intelligence. The difference might be access to education, environment, common wealth, and social inequality.

All subspecies of apes have equal level of intelligence.

All breeds of dogs have equal level of intelligence.

Neither of the above are true so how does one arrive at the conclusion that humans are the only exception in nature?

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