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SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

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Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#841

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The narrative shifts constantly because the narrative is anti-Tesla. So it has to shift, whenever they make it past another hurdle. It started with them being ridiculous for even trying to make an electric car. Then it became that they couldn't mass produce. Now they are being mass produced. It sometimes shifts towards their safety, but it isn't a preferred avenue of attack because the stats show that the cars are sa…

The narrative shifts constantly because the narrative is anti-Tesla. So it has to shift, whenever they make it past another hurdle. Or from another perspective, the narrative shifts constantly because the delivery date for my $35,000 car keeps shifting :)

That perspective would be a refreshing one, but the short interests which are pushing the current narratives are oftentimes not the ones who hope to see your car delivered. Their profits are maximized, not by the delivery of your car, but by volatility in the Tesla stock produced by negative news about a story stock.

I'll give an example. An often repeated story about Tesla is that they are not making a profit off any vehicle they make. It's a false narrative of a very particular type with a very particular goal: it generates confusion about the benefit of infrastructure investment.

It's clearly a false narrative. Investment in infrastructure is obviously a wise move for a company with ambitions as vast as Tesla. So why do you hear this false narrative? It comes down to the company being valued according to the assumption that the company will make these infrastructure investments. There is a causal link between the stock price and the infrastructure investment. If confusion and doubt exist about the value of that infrastructure investment, then it produces volatility which can generate money for the short position.

In truth, these people should be disregarded. However, unfortunately, negative news tends to get more attention than positive news. So the news tends to end up favoring these short-interest fueled stories as a consequence. Plenty of people realize that climate change is real and that we all stand to benefit from Tesla succeeding in its mission. Many people don't realize that the majority of news about Tesla is being fueled by interests who stand to profit from causing harm to the company.

The submarine of the ICE industry pieces on Tesla at least I think people are savvy enough to grasp fairly easily. They tend to have a more obvious structure, with the way a rival auto-industry expert will be brought on to breathlessly talk about how their competitor in Elon Musk is so crazy that he ought to be removed from leading the company or how electric vehicles are impossible or not ready or some other nonsense. Anything to harm their competition. They're just acting according to their own self-interest.

But the amplification of confusion generated by short interests? It was much harder for me at least to understand where that was coming from. I thought the people saying it were idiots up until I got so annoyed with it I downloaded the analysis of Tesla by a firm that was shorting it in which they laid out the way Tesla was a story stock and explained its subsequent volatility. It was really eye opening, because I had expected them to be idiots saying things that were false because they truly believed them, rather than explaining that they figured Tesla would do well, but that their was potential to profit off volatility. It helped me understand the strangeness of the news. The pieces amplifying confusion have more to do with the profit model of news and its relationship with attention, rather than value creation, and some people being clever enough to abuse that.

It's what motivated some of the interest Elon Musk had in going private. These things haven't been done under a rock. The Tesla board has called out the news for their amplification of these lies. Elon Musk has called it out. Plenty of green sector focused news have been calling it out. It's pretty sad that people are struggling to understand it. When tangentially related subjects have been brought up on Hacker News in the past, it was described as paranoia on Elon Musk's part. I guess its easy for Hacker News to understand the submarine that Paul Graham wrote about, since people read his writing, and harder for it to figure it out the rest of the bias, because someone didn't lay out the forces clearly enough. I'm not as good a writer as Paul Graham. I can't get across what I've noticed with as much eloquence. Hopefully people like him continue to be thoughtful and share their thoughts, so that everyone can benefit.

Tesla is the most shorted stock on the stock market. Tesla is a leading player in electrification of transportation. Climate change is leading nations to ban ICE vehicles. Something about these three statements, taken together, is odd. People point to Elon Musk being a fraud, but meanwhile he was so effective in his role at SpaceX that the superpower of Russia can no longer compete with his company in the sector that it is focused on. People say he is incompetent to reduce dissonance, meanwhile his friends and engineers insist otherwise even in the discussions in this news item and even on topics related to engineering rather than business.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#842

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>"We need him in this world to save us from ourselves." He can't even save himself from his own bad impulses. This whole fiasco being a case in point among many. What an absurd statement to make. Speak for yourself.

No one is perfect. Perhaps we should look past flaws like this when more important problems are handled with skill.

>"No one is perfect. Perhaps we should look past flaws like this..."

Exactly, which to say he's just a regular person not some savior who is capable of "saving us all" as the OP stated.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#843

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm very curious about the Stanford thing. Do you mean that he was never admitted? Or simply that he never officially enrolled? I tried my hand at googling this but found nothing but re-hashes of the same story of how he left after two days.

He wanted to work on super capacitors in his PhD, but he realized that somebody would work on it anyways, and it's better for him to work on Paypal. Watch the video of Sal Khan(fron Khan Academy) interviewing Elon musk.

Mostly right :). He actually thought it better to be involved in creating an internet company. This led to the founding of Zip2 (a kind of precursor to Yelp whose pivots ended up trying to help newspapers get online). The money from that led to the founding of X (think, transaction), which later took over and ultimately merged with its competitor, PayPal.

I second the recommendation of watching the interview. There is way too much misinformation surrounding Tesla and Elon Musk.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#844

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What exactly did the shorts do here? Musk has brought on all this scrutiny himself. The shorts didn't bail out Solar City, miss nearly every production target, use TSLA as a way to personally finance a lavish lifestyle, or commit securities fraud. The shorts are all over this stock because of issues like the above. They were not the cause of those issues.

The idea that Tesla is drastically missing its production targets is overstated. It originally claimed that what was later named the Model 3 would begin production in 2017. This claim was made as far back as 2014. This occurred as projected. It has since been ramping up steadily. The rate of that ramp up has been slower than initially projected, but is well within the long-term projected numbers. Critically, Tesla ra…

> Enough idiots were convinced to bet against renewable energy and now they're going to do their best to damn the rest us.

No one is betting against renewable energy. They are betting against a company drowning in debt that has been poorly ran with a CEO who has been charged with securities fraud.

And please do not try to compare Musk to some modern day Jesus Christ. My bible studies are a little rusty, but I do not remember Jesus buying up multiple mansions [1], doing shady bail outs for family like Solar City [2], or leveraging himself to the hilt on a company that is in a crisis [3].

[1] https://variety.com/2016/dirt/real-estalker/elon-musk-bel-ai...

[2] https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcollins/2018/08/09/solarcity...

[3] https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimcollins/2018/05/18/musk-has-...

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#845

Earlier quoted context omitted.

He wanted to work on super capacitors in his PhD, but he realized that somebody would work on it anyways, and it's better for him to work on Paypal. Watch the video of Sal Khan(fron Khan Academy) interviewing Elon musk.

Mostly right :). He actually thought it better to be involved in creating an internet company. This led to the founding of Zip2 (a kind of precursor to Yelp whose pivots ended up trying to help newspapers get online). The money from that led to the founding of X (think, transaction), which later took over and ultimately merged with its competitor, PayPal. I second the recommendation of watching the interview. There i…

Yes, I recall him saying something similar. I was writing from my memory.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#846

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is baffling to me is the length that some HN commenters will go to to tear down people like Elon and Steve Jobs. Maybe you don't like him, maybe you don't like how much attention and praise he gets. But to be so dismissive of what those companies have accomplished with him at the helm, to me is just unwarranted bitter negativity. In your mind, what companies are doing staggering heart-breaking Copernican-revolut…

>Pretty bleak outlook if pushing the bleeding edge of rocket technology forward is humdrum small potatoes. Yes, the world's outlook is pretty bleak.

Well I genuinely hope you find something that gives you enough joy to change your perspective.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#847
post #573

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Amazingly, Musk apparently had reached a settlement with the SEC over this, then blew it up : https://twitter.com/tomgara/status/1045472592595996672 I don't understand people who defend him as head of a public company.

I guess there's a difference between "head of a large public company" and "founder of a large public company". His track record at the latter speaks for itself. But the fact that someone who founded a company isn't necessarily the best person to run it long term is uncomfortable. Especially on a website like this one, with so many aspiring founders.

Why is that uncomfortable? I don't think anybody takes issue with the idea that some engineers are great at being engineers but not great at being managers, and so it's important to have a career track for senior engineers to continue doing the engineering work that they're great at instead of forcing them into a role that's not fulfilling.

That idea shouldn't be more uncomfortable just because the engineer is a founder. It should be reasonable for a founding engineer to let somebody else come in and do the boring management work that a CEO has to perform while the engineer continues doing the work that got them to where they are.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#848

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I certainly don't want Tesla or SpaceX to fail. Nor do I want Elon to fail however he screwed up big time as the CEO of a major, public corporation and should be held accountable like everyone else. Celebrities, even ones trying to make the world a better place, shouldn't get a pass. My personal opinion is Elon should find someone to run Tesla. He proved good electric cars can be built, but now we need someone to tur…

Will Tesla (their share price) even survive Elon not being in charge?

Share price will almost certainly take a major hit. It already has based on this news. But I don't think it is the end of Tesla.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#849

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Tesla Roadster 2008

Nissan Altran EV, sold in California and fleet-tested, 1998. Nissan Garbage Collecting Truck, mainly sold to the Yokohama city government, 1988. Just saying. https://www.nissan-global.com/EN/ZEROEMISSION/HISTORY/

Those were "compliance cars," not attempts to seriously invade the mass market with an EV.

Re: SEC Sues Musk and Seeks Ban for His Tweets on Go-Private Deal

#850

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This has been true for me until the last generation (Touchbar) Macbooks came out in 2016. They seem to be vastly more expensive than the older generation was and are usually quite a bit more than a comparable non-Apple Laptop. A well equipped 15" used to be around 2500 EUR, nowadays it's 600+ EUR more.

Yeah the touchbar really drives up the price, it's basically an apple watch built into a macbook (big oled screen, fingerprint reader and the apple watch's chip, plus all the interconnects required). So adding the price of an apple watch to a macbook pro makes sense.

sadly it's mostly useless
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