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Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

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11–20 of 36 posts

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#11
post #6

These guys should take some clues from quantum mechanics, where observing or trying to control the system observed screws it up. “Physics found we can take advantage of Facebook to spread opinions and control people’s minds” - “oh shit, we polarized the people, and now we’re on the verge of WWIII”

"These guys" have been considering biases introduced by injecting an observer into a social space for a long time now. I think you might have missed the point of the article and the social sciences.

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#12
post #8
post #5

It’s cool to have some mathematical rules of thumb to describe crowds and so on if it is backed up by experimental data. I did an economics undergrad. One thing that really frustrated me about the whole subject was how they kept calling it a social “science” and yet there was no experiment or predictions. Everything was a retroactive explanation for something, e.g. the financial crash or the affect of a minimum wage.…

Here we go, another HN comment that's awfully quick to dismiss the history of economic methodology and economics as science because they took one undergraduate class in Neoclassical Microeconomics 101. Please, this is exactly like a first year psychology student trying to psychoanalyse you: Absolute bullshit. Economics has a lot more to offer than supply-demand curves, and it has been evolving greatly in many differe…

>Here we go, another HN comment that's awfully quick to dismiss the history of economic methodology and economics as science because they took one undergraduate class in Neoclassical Microeconomics 101.

HN comment? There are lots of books by respected authors written on the subject.

Just because the field exists and gets grants and gets to dictate policies and so on doesn't mean its scientific. Anything scientific in economics is just the math part, which are orthogonal to economic behavior and markets.

>* Economics has a lot more to offer than supply-demand curves, and it has been evolving greatly in many different directions and sub-fields like behavioural economics (especially living its golden age right now).*

The main things it has to offer is salaries for economists and favorable policy suggestions to politicians.

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#13
Humans adapt their behavior by observing it. Looking at sth. doesn't affect the outcome, but instead the observation adds to the set of exogenous variables that will determine future behavior. We're not an ant colony that acts in an entirely exogenous setting, we change the setting both through the (un)intended consequences of the observed behavior and our attitudes toward them.

The allocation of scarce ressources did neither begin with capitalism nor economics. Many formal descriptions of foundational economic principles can (edit: be traced back to) ancient Mythology [1]. How societies applied these principles has differed greatly. Trade has been an important factor of human behavior since the dawns of civilization. In a framework of linear progress one might be tempted to search for deterministic laws in human behavior, but it might make more sense to just interpret phenomena case-by-case with a rather loose set of theoretical beliefs.

[1] Tomas Sedlacek - Economics of Good and Evil

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#15
Paul Krugman is a Nobel laureate, but so is F.A. Hayek:

"The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design."

The work described in the article can be interesting as far as it goes, but it seems to me that a lack of humility coupled with insufficiently accurate models can be a dangerous combination.

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#16
Applying physics to understand human behavior is same as applying human intuition to explain physics. Any correlations found, which are anyway "fitted", are bound to breakdown.

Firstly we don't understand physics fully. We have only more breadcrumbs but no answer to the ultimate "why", and are basically unable to answer a pesky kid who keeps repeating that. Now, we are applying this to explain another equally intractable problem, that of understanding human behavior. It is a strange case of reductionism. I wonder why people engage in such futile activities. May be this line in the article is the answer.

> Results like these have obvious value for corporate marketers.

A bunch of maths equations and charts presented in the form of a paper that promises to crack the human behavior with further research is too good for the corporates to let go. Ergo funding. Well done. I won't be surprised if all this started out as a joke that the corporates lapped up.

To be clear, there is nothing wrong with trying to quantify an observation or a phenomenon, and in fact is always welcome, but bringing in incongruent things into the mix reduces the gravity.

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#17
post #8
post #5

It’s cool to have some mathematical rules of thumb to describe crowds and so on if it is backed up by experimental data. I did an economics undergrad. One thing that really frustrated me about the whole subject was how they kept calling it a social “science” and yet there was no experiment or predictions. Everything was a retroactive explanation for something, e.g. the financial crash or the affect of a minimum wage.…

Here we go, another HN comment that's awfully quick to dismiss the history of economic methodology and economics as science because they took one undergraduate class in Neoclassical Microeconomics 101. Please, this is exactly like a first year psychology student trying to psychoanalyse you: Absolute bullshit. Economics has a lot more to offer than supply-demand curves, and it has been evolving greatly in many differe…

Here we go, another HN comment that is quick to insult and dismiss someone else in order to feel smug. If you took as much time to read their comment as you took to insult them, you'd know that they majored in economics, they didn't just take 1 class.

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#18
post #12
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Here we go, another HN comment that's awfully quick to dismiss the history of economic methodology and economics as science because they took one undergraduate class in Neoclassical Microeconomics 101. Please, this is exactly like a first year psychology student trying to psychoanalyse you: Absolute bullshit. Economics has a lot more to offer than supply-demand curves, and it has been evolving greatly in many differe…

> Here we go, another HN comment that's awfully quick to dismiss the history of economic methodology and economics as science because they took one undergraduate class in Neoclassical Microeconomics 101. HN comment? There are lots of books by respected authors written on the subject. Just because the field exists and gets grants and gets to dictate policies and so on doesn't mean its scientific. Anything scientific i…

[deleted]

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#19

Paul Krugman is a Nobel laureate, but so is F.A. Hayek: "The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design." The work described in the article can be interesting as far as it goes, but it seems to me that a lack of humility coupled with insufficiently accurate models can be a dangerous combination.

Hayek got his Nobel in 1974 Krugman in 2008. to illustrate the point further: who do you think knew more about quantum mechanics when they died Niehls Bohr or Richard Feynman?

Re: Sociophysics and Econophysics, the Future of Social Science?

#20
post #6

These guys should take some clues from quantum mechanics, where observing or trying to control the system observed screws it up. “Physics found we can take advantage of Facebook to spread opinions and control people’s minds” - “oh shit, we polarized the people, and now we’re on the verge of WWIII”

There are several famous examples of this in economics. See for example:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawthorne_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucas_critique <-- Treating relationships between variables as structural and changing one to influence the other will affect the supposed underlying structural relationship.

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