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A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

portsmouthctc.org.uk

81–90 of 194 posts

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#81
Transportation cyclist here. This is a great article, but it only indirectly touches upon one of the most effective tools a cyclist could have: an air horn.

I have an Air Zound air horn and I feel much less safe riding without it. I'll often give a few toots before approaching an intersection to increase the chance that I am seen. And it has probably saved me from some major crashes when I lay down the horn on someone. Many drivers seem to automatically brake when I honk.

The horn is also great for giving bad drivers feedback. Most people who drive poorly around cyclists seem oblivious.

Some drivers unfortunately see horn use as hostility. I have dealt with a few road raging drivers who were very angry that I honked at them. I am pretty certain most of these drivers would be angry with or without the horn, so it doesn't much matter to me. The safety benefits also are far too large even if these folks would not tend to be angry either way.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#82
post #5

Interesting read, up until this point. “[As a cyclist], look at the head of the driver that is approaching or has stopped. The head of the driver will naturally stop and centre upon you if you have been seen.“ Please, please do not rely on this. Correlation is not causation, a driver’s head might face your direction for lots of reasons (focusing on something behind/in front of you, spacing out, looking at their phone…

One of the campaigns here about truck drivers and the blind spot of trucks has focused on “if you see me, I see you” which, while not an absolute guarantee, still helps me as a cyclist to get some indication whether I would be visible in the first place. As sibling post mentions: lots of little things that can help you mitigate risks.

I like the reverse better: "If you can't see me, I can't see you".

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#83
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if every vehicle had lights on you would no longer stand out From reading this article I don't think that applies. It's typically only one car or bicycle that needs contrast against the background so that you don't miss them. It's not about trying to pick out one car amongst a sea of other cars. Even then as long as you're aware there's something there you can avoid the psychological problem of assuming nothing is…

Effectiveness of daytime motorcycle headlights in the European Union, 43 page report https://www.swov.nl/sites/default/files/publicaties/rapport/... . In the summary section it says the conspicuity of motorcycles is improved with daytime lights although may be less if cars have daytime lights. It’s been a long time since I read that report but it has lots of real data and research. Cars are easier to spot regardless…

More reading, although I'm having difficulties getting links for pdfs:

"Motorcycle Conspicuity and the Effect of Fleet Daytime Running Lights"

> The annual number of motorcycle rider fatalities in the United States has more than doubled from 2294 in 1998 to 5290 in 2008 (National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, 2009). Many multi-vehicle motorcycle crashes involve right-of-way violations where another vehicle turns in front of, or crosses the path of an on-coming motorcycle. Improving the frontal conspicuity of motorcycles with forward lighting may reduce these types of crashes. On the other hand, widespread use of DRL on passenger vehicles may reduce the safety effectiveness of daytime headlamp use by motorcyclists. Research is needed to address these questions. This study involved testing the Fleet DRL Hypothesis that widespread use of daytime running lights (DRL) among the motor vehicle fleet is associated with an increased risk for certain types of multi-vehicle motorcycle crashes. This hypothesis is based on the assumption that the conspicuity of motorcycles (which normally run with their headlamp illuminated all the time) is effectively reduced during the daytime when a high proportion of other vehicles have DRL illuminated. To test the hypothesis, crash data from Canada where DRL use is mandatory were compared to crash data from the northern United States where DRL use is not mandatory and fleet penetration of DRL has been modest. Based on several specific assumptions, we developed a set of ten testable predictions that follow from the hypothesis. We compared crash data from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) for 24 northern United States for the period of 2001 – 2007 to fatal crash data from the Canadian National Collision Data Base (NCDB) provided by Transport Canada for the same years. Crash scenarios that were plausibly relevant to frontal conspicuity of the involved vehicles were defined as DRL-relevant. The proportion of DRL-relevant crashes was modeled by country, year, and whether the crash involved a motorcycle. We fit separate models for crash data that occurred in four groups defined by time of day (Day, Night) and location (Rural, Urban) of the crash. The results supported seven of ten predictions indicating that the Fleet DRL Hypothesis may be true for urban roadways (but may not true for rural roadways). These results suggest that there could be negative consequences for motorcycle riders of widespread DRL use in the vehicle fleet. For urban roadways especially, the proportion of two-vehicle fatal motorcycle crashes that are relevant to frontal conspicuity of the vehicles (DRL relevant) is higher in Canada than in the USA. This result and other related predictions verified by the modeling results support the Fleet DRL Hypothesis for urban roadways, that widespread use of DRL in the vehicle fleet increases the relative risk for certain types of multi-vehicle motorcycle crashes. This conclusion should be interpreted cautiously in light of some limitations of the analysis approach.

"The Effects of Motor Vehicle Fleet Daytime Running Lights (DRL) on Motorcycle Conspicuity"

> As a group, motorcyclists experience a high fatality rate, a significant number of which are attributable to right- of-way violations by other drivers. One factor behind the high crash rate is insufficient conspicuity of motorcycles, which is now of greater concern because of the increasing use of Daytime Running Lights (DRL) in the vehicle fleet. The hypothesis is that the additional lights on all vehicles will degrade the conspicuity of the previously unique DRL signal used by motorcycles. The main goal of the current study was to evaluate the effects of motorcycle conspicuity treatments on other drivers’ left turn gap acceptance. This study was comprised of three phases. In Phase 1, a test track study measured participants’ left turn gap judgment as a function of motorcycle DRL treatments. This study was designed to determine which treatments yielded the largest gaps, thereby making that treatment a good candidate for the on-road portion. No treatment was clearly better, so lighting systems currently in use on motorcycles were selected for the on-road study. In Phase 2, an on-road study measured gap acceptance, then followed up with intercept surveys of observed drivers. This phase included data collection in the United States (low fleet DRL use) and Canada (high fleet DRL use) in order to evaluate the effect of DRL use in the vehicle fleet. However, due to concerns about the comparability of the U.S. and Canadian data, the results are inconclusive, and additional research is suggested. In Phase 3, motorcycle side conspicuity treatments (retro-reflectors and marker lamp) were compared. Results indicated that there were no differences in detection distance between the treatments.

"Effects of 24-Hour Headlight Use on Traffic Safety"

> Effect of Automobile DRLs on Motorcycle Safety Minnesota law requires motorcyclists to use their headlights during daylight hours, and opponents of DRLs have argued that requiring headlight use for all vehicles could make motorcycles less conspicuous. A NHTSA study on this topic, Motorcycle Conspicuity and the Effect of Fleet Daytime Running Lights, is expected to be complete by the end of 2010.

> The findings of the 2008 NHTSA study regarding motorcycles were not statistically significant, and the 2004 NHTSA study found that DRLs reduced daytime opposite direction fatal crashes of a passenger vehicle with a motorcycle by 23 percent.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#84
post #5

Interesting read, up until this point. “[As a cyclist], look at the head of the driver that is approaching or has stopped. The head of the driver will naturally stop and centre upon you if you have been seen.“ Please, please do not rely on this. Correlation is not causation, a driver’s head might face your direction for lots of reasons (focusing on something behind/in front of you, spacing out, looking at their phone…

If I'm approaching a junction where a vehicle is waiting to pull into my path, I watch their front wheels. I find this often gives an earlier indication that the driver is about to move than their head or eye movements, as you can see the change in weight distribution when a driver prepares to move away.

Exactly. It's much more reliable since drivers are very unreliable when it comes to using their turn signals.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#85
post #30

Not too long ago, I was very close to having a "constant bearing, decreasing range" (CBDR) accident that the article is talking about. I failed to slow down adequately to a T-junction and almost drove straight in front of a truck, despite having looked in that direction twice before entering the intersection. I'm pretty sure my vision was (partially) occluded by the corner pillar and/or a snow pile on the side of the…

> All it takes is a change in speed to avoid this accident.

Together with moving your head slightly both ways to try to look from additional angles around both sides of the pillar.

Although rarer, CBDR can occur even when reducing speed if the other vehicle also happens to reduce his speed at the same time, which can be surprisingly common on intersections where priority is unclear or there's a curve leading to it. Happened to me on a T junction on a mountain road, luckily we were at low speed and (surprise!) stopped face to face. As the article suggests: "Move your head — or you’re dead". The other vehicle speed can't vary as fast as you peeking left and right around the pillar.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#86
post #33

As a former pilot wannabe I do apply a similar set of practices and they do work wonders. Some other tips I carried over from training: - Don't look at bright lights at night, look slightly off, for two reasons. First retina persistence will occur somewhere in your (larger) peripheral vision, rather than in the small hi-res patch of your retina that is critical to conscious sight. Second we are naturally driving towa…

Awesome comment. The bit I find I don't have time for and/or simply do not have the discipline for is to do a walk around every time I get into the car, but modern tech will save you quite a bit of those checks (brake fluid level, tire pressure). And proper maintenance will help you there as well.

But even the slightest thing out of order or hitting a kerb or something like that and I'll definitely inspect to ensure nothing funny happens at speed. Even a blow-out on a tire can completely ruin your - or someone else's - day.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#87
post #24
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's actually mandatory in most (if not all?) of the EU. You must have your headlights on at all times.

In Croatia it's only during winter time for cars.

The EU has required DRL's on all new cars since 2011. As an EU member state this applies to Croatia too.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#88
post #80
post #3

This was eye opening (pun not intended) and make me a bit worried as a recreational cyclist - many of my clothes are dark and it seems worth investing in brighter ones. As a driver, I found that using BGE setting of the side mirrors (it's wider out, slightly overlapping with rearview mirror), coupled with keeping an eye on the road gives me a much better situational awareness, and prevents the need to turn my head in…

Just to be clear, you still have to look over before you do change lanes. It's just that you don't have to look as often to figure out that you can't change lanes yet.

This is in contrast to what the article from NHTSA says:

"With this new setting, it is no longer necessary to turn and look into the blindzones."

... which is in contrast to what the original article quite emphatically says:

"... move your head or you're dead ..."

I like the novel mirror arrangement and will try it but I hope people will follow the advice of the fighter pilot, and not NHTSA, and continue to move their heads.

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#89

To mods: A complete aside, but I posted this yesterday (say 30 hours ago) not today. is this some reset for labour day or other deeply cunning ranking algorithm? Or maybe i fat fingered it ...

HN's article submissions/promoting algorithm is shit. If I had to guess, they give priority to articles submitted by certain users (either based on fake internet points or ??).

Re: A Fighter Pilot’s Guide to Surviving on the Roads

#90
post #66

> Remember, lights are just as much about being seen as being able to see I cannot emphasis this enough. It's terrible the amount of drivers who think "I can see fine, I don't need to put on my headlights". Whenever I'm driving on open roads (100 km/h areas) I'll always turn my headlights on. Like aeroplanes, I think that anything on the road should have lights on it for visibility.

Long ago, running as twilight came on, I noticed something odd. Those driving east had the sun behind them, and were more visible, yet they had their lights on because they were facing a darker sky. Those driving west were less visible against the darkening background, yet they faced a lighter sky and did not turn on their lights.

Turns out I always turn lights on in such HDR situations producing low-contrast areas: if you have a hard time seeing those in front of you, those behind you have a hard time seeing you. Same goes for haphazard tree shades, even though it looks like it's bright enough, the alternating areas of bright and dark makes you difficult to see. Also, I have excellent eyesight which biases me into what is seeable and what is not, but I try to take into account those who don't, and act accordingly.
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