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After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

nytimes.com

121–130 of 143 posts

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#121
post #113

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That looks like skillful manipulation to me. There is an important difference with the most recent bubble -- now bitcoin is a household name. Where is the next pool of gamblers coming from?

Institutional investors via Bitcoin futures ETFs[0]. It will likely result in a lot of money flowing into the market via funds and investment houses where investors seek to diversify their investments. That will probably bring the cryptocurrency market back up to $20K and above. It probably won't happen until 2019 or 2020, though. The SEC is still on the fence about it, but I see it as an eventual inevitability. [0]:…

Good grief, I hope that does not happen. I think any professional financial services people who blatantly speculate with clients' funds should be on the hook for criminal penalties. It's one thing for Joe Blow to play the speculation game with his own money, it's entirely different for a professional to do it with everyone else's.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, last year when my 76 year old mother asked me about bitcoin, I knew the bubble was about to pop. I've never been a bitcoin gambler myself, and I told my mom to stay the hell away as well. That continues to be my advice. I still think it looks like a big well-constructed scam designed to pull vast amounts of money from starry-eyed naive people and transfer it to a very small number of sharks.

that is not a reliable indicator though. I remember a lot of non-tech people talking about bitcoin in 2013. Even at $100-250/coin it was getting a lot of media coverage.

It raised up to $1000 at that time and followed by a great drop to 100-ish and stay that level... but I don't know why it went up so much this year.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#123
post #90
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because of minimizing risk, and minimizing transaction fees. If you buy 100 stocks and 10 of them go to 0 you are out 10%. However, if the other 90 stocks are up more than 15% then you have gained a little money. But, if you buy 100 different stocks by hand then you pay 100 different transaction fees and have to keep track of them independently for tax etc.

I'm pretty sure you still need to pay taxes on the dividends even if you're reinvesting them.

Sorry, your right.

There are tax advantages, but it's more complex than simply not paying short term capital gains on dividends.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#124
post #107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That isn't what they were saying at the time. Even level-headed forums like Hacker News had a lot of comments (gathering positive votes, although I suspect not all were organic) trying to describe with a wide-array of pseudo-science why Bitcoin was the king of a new world of inherently superior currencies. Of course it was nonsense, as anyone who'd read about previous bubbles could tell you. But it was a mad time las…

I know people who still think there is value there and it will go back up.

Yes, I am one of them. This is what, the fourth Bitcoin bubble that has burst? The December bubble bursting is no surprise for most level-headed folks that have been following this for a while -- just for the newbies making extremely risk bets at the top of the latest bubble.

Also, most of us are not deluded enough to think it going up to $100k+/BTC is a certainty; there are a number of reasons the larger BTC experiment/bubble could deflate for good one day. But there's also rational arguments for betting otherwise.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#125
post #19
post #14

> Now, eight months later, the $23,000 he invested in several digital tokens is worth about $4,000, and he is clearheaded about what happened. > “I got too caught up in the fear of missing out and trying to make a quick buck,” he said last week. “The losses have pretty much left me financially ruined.” I think it's distasteful to criticize the decisions that lead to someone's downfall, but maybe someone will read thi…

I don't think any investor saw this as anything else than a bubble, they just wanted to enjoy the ride up. I would go all-in in a bubble if I had the confidence someone would tap on my shoulder to let me know when it's going to crash. Investing requires discipline.

That's the definition of speculating.

Investing requires more research and analysis.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yep. Axiom 1: whatever you invest can disappear... So easily forgotten.

My personal take on that is: don’t invest money you can’t afford to lose.

What are you going to do with your savings then? It's enough to not put all your eggs in one basket. It also helps to listen to experienced people who were warning about crypto currency left and right.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#127

I don't like that gambling (on an obviously ponzi like scheme) is called investing.

That started a long time ago. Buying stocks that pay no income is also referred to as investing, even though it is more accurately gambling as well. At least with stocks there is something with a more convincing value proposition.

C'mon, some stocks don't pay anything because there are better ways invest their profit. You still own equity in something tangible and generating value most of the time.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My personal take on that is: don’t invest money you can’t afford to lose.

What are you going to do with your savings then? It's enough to not put all your eggs in one basket. It also helps to listen to experienced people who were warning about crypto currency left and right.

I have a diversified retirement portfolio, thank you very much.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just out of curiosity, how does it make you feel knowing your gains were at the expense of not very fortunate or rich people losing out around the world - unprotected because of the newness of the “investment” type - by investment laws. I made a modest return on a bitcoin investment, felt shit about it, and donated all the return to charity.

Nobody had a gun to the buyers/sellers head. Everyone knows what they are getting into, and markets are a zero-sum game. I have no ethical issues with making profit from trading. I'm sorry that you were not able to take the win. Maybe you should not play games?

You’re right, no-one got their guns out. But that isn’t how confidence tricks tend to work. I think the reality for a lot of the losers -globally - is that they were kind of desperate, desperate enough to believe that there was some immediate answer to their cash needs. I started off believing in the crypto dream, but last year started to realise it was not what I thought it was.

Re: After the Bitcoin Boom: Hard Lessons for Cryptocurrency Investors

#130
post #72

Isn't this kind of thing the whole reason we have accredited investor laws? This might be an unpopular opinion, but if we want to protect people from themselves, maybe we should stop banning people from investing in private equity and start worrying more about exotic stuff like crypto. It seems utterly absurd to me that I'm not allowed to buy a single share of Uber or SpaceX, while sinking my life savings into whatev…

Regulations were never designed to protect the working class. They're designed to protect the bourgeoisie from the working class.

Regulations rarely work as advertised; however, their 'unintended' side effects do seem to be quite effective in terms of creating artificial barriers to prevent the working class from moving up.

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