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Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

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Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#51
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Education would be a good start. Guess who can decide about what we are taught? Governments.

People know their personal largest impact is cars and meat. But personal convenience has always beaten doing the right thing.

The anti-meat crusade is really strong these days on here, but that is not a concern that even registers in most peoples' heads.

Very few people have the luxury of considering anything outside their immediate circle of concern.

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

People know their personal largest impact is cars and meat. But personal convenience has always beaten doing the right thing.

The vast majority of people I know (Texas) couldn't live a productive life without a car. Some people certainly could but not most. Meat, though, they could definitely do without—and for most of them it'd be healthier.

[deleted]

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#53

I have been hearing this since the mid 1980s. I wouldn't have heard of it before, because before then scientists were telling us that the climate was going to get a lot cooler...

> I wouldn't have heard of it before, because before then scientists were telling us that the climate was going to get a lot cooler...

That's massively misleading.

The scientists that predicted that predicted it because they forecast that the cooling effect from particulate pollution such as smog would be bigger than the warming affect from greenhouse gases.

Not long after, we actually made fairly strong clean air laws and greatly cut back the particulate emissions, thus changing the assumptions that the cooling predictions were based on. The scientists that had predicted cooling, which had only been a small minority, then agreed with the rest that we'd have warming (assuming we didn't also get the greenhouse gases dealt with).

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#54
We all know by now CO2 and CH4 leads to a warmer planet. We also know what's driving greenhouse gas levels to rise across Earth. Contributors are deforestation, intensive animal farming, and primarily the combustion of carbon fossil fuels like coal, tar sands, oil, natural gas etc. But here is the underlying problem, despite us knowing how bad things are, (97+% of scientists who study this field agree we are causing the planet's climate to shift away from the temperate climate we thrived in) not enough is being done at present to truly solve the problem. What really is disheartening and what no one in the media and government is talking about is how in 2015 CO2 levels rose by the largest amount in human recorded history. 3.05 PPM http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/gr.html We are being lied to and mislead by our governments that uniform actions are being performed to save the planet for the future of man. Vested interests in the fossil fuel industry continue to drive climate change. Yes, solar energy is starting to become incredibly efficient but not enough of it is coming online in proportion to fossil fuel burning that persists and is also installed annually. If we do not rally against it, our ability to live on this planet is at stake. The lives of our posterity are also at risk because of the burning. It will not be until we take extreme actions not on a country level but as humanity together that we will slow the burning and save ourselves. What are these actions you might ask that will actually be effective? These can range from banning fossil fuels entirely, global carbon pricing system, banning deforestation, changing human diets, extreme uniform investment in renewable energy and potentially fourth generation nuclear reactors, more funding for developing nations to install alternative energy sources, and to shift the transportation grid towards sustainability.

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#55

I have been hearing this since the mid 1980s. I wouldn't have heard of it before, because before then scientists were telling us that the climate was going to get a lot cooler...

A few scientists thought global cooling could be an issue. It was an immature theory and was ultimately rejected when more work was done.

The science underpining the theory of global warming on the other hand is far, far more robust. I don't feel the need to recount how robust it is but I'll just note that it has withstood "red teams" funded by the Koch brothers, as well as Exxon and the other major oil companies who now all accept the science behind global warming.

It is highly disingenuous to equate it with global cooling.

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#56
post #13
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/global-an... > According to different observational records of global average annual near-surface (land and ocean) temperature, the last decade (2008–2017) was 0.89 °C to 0.93 °C warmer than the pre-industrial average, which makes it the warmest decade on record. Of the 17 warmest years on record, 16 have occurred since 2000. The year 2017 was one of the world’s thre…

But 100-200 years is very little time for comparison isn't it? Is there any presumed data on what it was before that?

First you yourself start talking about "the last decade", and now one or two centuries isn't long enough.

You also say you think the last decade seemed colder, the reply you got was that 16 of the 17 hottest years since recording began were after 2000. But you ignore that part of the reply.

You are working for the forces that want to stop our mitigation of the problem, you are the enemy.

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#57

I have been hearing this since the mid 1980s. I wouldn't have heard of it before, because before then scientists were telling us that the climate was going to get a lot cooler...

Back in the 70s there was indeed a concern (no stronger than that) that we might have been heading for a new ice age over the next few centuries. That concern was based on the fact that we are in an interglacial period and ought to start thinking about how and when it might end, and what we might do about it. Ice ages and interglacials are caused by variations in the Earth's orbit and tilt, and calculations suggested that the current interglacial is coming to an end.

However it then turned out that global warming due to CO2 was happing way faster and way more than any potential cooling. The scientists weren't wrong: the cooling effect is still there. Its just completely swamped by all the things we are doing to the atmosphere.

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is absolutely not true. People don't know that. Ask 2000 people on the street in a southern red state what their contribution to climate change is. I bet you get 0s back. "Taht fake thing isn't real" - "My car doesn't pollute you schmuck" - "the Earth is here for us to pollute it, that's what god said", etc. People do not know that their largest personal impact is cars and meat. They just don't know that at all…

Go to a highly educated Silicon Valley tech company. Survey around. How many of these people eat beef? How many take frequent vacations via plane? Per capita, especially due to the plane travel, their emissions are probably as high as someone in a southern red state. Personal convenience beats doing the right ting.

[deleted]

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#59
post #8

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You as a concerned citizen can do plenty on your own. Most people could cut down their emissions and other environmental impacts by 50% easily if they really cared. The problem is that most people don't really care that much when push comes to shove, and in aggregate this is the reason for why we're moving so slowly on climate change.

There are limits to what individuals can do. Take automobile fuel efficiency. Cars these days are way more efficient and cleaner than they were fifty years ago, and they perform far better. Consumer choice would never have made this happen in response to market forces. You couldn't buy an efficient, high-performance car in the late 60s even if you wanted to. Companies needed an incentive to invest for the long-long t…

Yeah let's take fuel efficiency. If Americans all still drove cars with 60s fuel economy, but only drove as much per year as Germans do, they'd still (give or take) be emitting the same amount as they are now[2][3].

Now, why do they drive so much and drive such inefficient cars? It's largely because fuel is so much cheaper in the US than in the EU.

What I was trying to get at in my original comment is not that we should all solve climate change by personal action, and that public policy shouldn't be involved. I wish I could pay more taxes so the country I'm living in would migrate to renewables faster.

Rather, it's that if you look at how concerned people are politically about climate change, and then look at their revealed preferences, both when it comes to what they do personally and what they'd really stand for politically, it turns out that in the aggregate they don't take the problem seriously.

How many people who say "we must do something" in the US would say put up with a 100% increase in fuel taxes (bringing it in more in line with the EU)? I bet you'd go from 50% approval to 5% approval pretty fast.

1. http://internationalcomparisons.org/environment/transportati...

2. http://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/fact-sheet...

Re: Earth at risk of becoming 'hothouse' if tipping point reached, report warns

#60
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Lol, looks like the Google result of "convert 4C to Fahrenheit". In the authors defence, it isn't their fault the Americans still use Fahrenheit.

Wasn't 100 Fahrenheit the temperature of a chicken on tuesday in the sunshine? Can't quite remember how that scale was created.

I always heard it was the rectal temperature of a cow, but that's not what wikipedia tells me, so someone probably made that up. One advantage of the Fahrenheit scale is that the range from 0 to 100 roughly corresponds to temperatures people normally deal with.
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